Betfair Killer System Review
Another day, another system, dear reader, and this one is called Betfair Killer. It’s not a horse racing system but, rather a series of football systems. It costs £27 – the new ‘de facto’ price for this production line, it seems – and I wasn’t expecting much…
Firstly, I was refreshed to see that there was no nasty video on the sales page, and no ‘tripwire’ upsell after purchase. Good news.
However, on the Betfair Killer download page, it does say at the bottom, “To your forex success”. Clearly, this guy has forex products as well. No big deal, just a slightly careless oversight.
Now then, the product. It’s a 27 page ebook, with the first six and the last four given over the padding (how to understand decimal odds, using a bot, etc). In the seventeen pages of ‘meat’ in Betfair Killer, there are actually five football trading strategies.
To clarify for those who aren’t sure, trading is about backing or laying something, with a view to making a subsequent opposite bet later, to guarantee a profit whatever happens. For instance, if I back the Racing Post Pricewise horse as soon as I know it at 13.0 on Betfair, and then when the ‘paper is published, the odds plummet to 8.0, I can lay the same horse at the shorter odds to either recoup my stake and have a free bet at the difference in odds, or to lock in a smaller profit irrespective of the outcome of the race.
There are some errors in the way the examples have been put together (e.g. a reference to Arsenal scoring when Blackburn had, and a profit stated as guaranteed on the ‘wrong’ eventuality in method three), and I do have a couple of areas of uncertainty, as follows:
1. I’m not convinced that methods four and five will work long term (and they’re not what I’d personally want to bet/trade in any case)
2. There is a clear liquidity issue with method five
For all that, and despite my scepticism, I actually really like method one. In fact, I did some digging on it, and I discovered that you’d have been able to trade out for a nice profit in 104 out of 143 Premier League games last season; 121 out of 171 games in 2008/9; and 121 out of 156 games in 2007/8.
In total, that’s 346 matches out of 470 where you would have traded for nice profit (73.6% of games).
Given the average liability of 1.7 (i.e. odds of 2.7) points per game, this looks an extremely promising angle, and I plan to trade this in the coming season.
[N.B. my figures include any appropriate score at the point of trade and not just the one stated in the example.]
Methods two and three are moderately interesting to me, and I couldn’t easily find a way to test them, so I can’t say if they’ll work long term or not.
But in my opinion they’re irrelevant anyway. This guide is all about method one, which is simple enough and seems to work.
I give Betfair Killer the thumbs up on that basis. Obviously, I need to wait for the season to start before trading it, and you might not want to wait a month to get involved, but I do reckon this is definitely worth a look for football punters / traders.
To clarify for those who aren’t sure, trading is about backing or laying something, with a view to making a subsequent opposite bet later, to guarantee a profit whatever happens. For instance, if I back the Racing Post Pricewise horse as soon as I know it at 13.0 on Betfair, and then when the ‘paper is published, the odds plummet to 8.0, I can lay the same horse at the shorter odds to either recoup my stake and have a free bet at the difference in odds, or to lock in a smaller profit irrespective of the outcome of the race.
You can check it out here.
Matt
Leave a Reply
Want to join the discussion?Feel free to contribute!