TV Trends: Sat 14th Jan 2012

Is 6 The Magic Number In The Lanzarote?

Did you know that a 6 year-old has won Saturday’s Lanzarote Hurdle 12 times since 1992? Andy Newton gives you all the trends that matter for the weekend’s LIVE C4 races…….

KEMPTON (RUK & C4)

2.15 – williamhill.com Novices´ Handicap Chase (CLASS 4) (5yo+ 0-120) CH4 Good 3m

6 previous runnings
5 of the last 6 winners were aged between 7 and 9 years-old
5 of the last 6 winners carried 11-8 or MORE
4 of the last 6 returned 15/2 or SHORTER in the betting
2 of the last 6 won their previous race
2 of the last 6 winners ran at Folkestone last time out
No winning favourite
Gary Moore won this race in 2008 – REBLIS
In-form Ian Williams won the race in 2005 – CROAN ROCK
Nicky Henderson has a 36% strike-rate (25 from 70) with his chasers here – CARABINIER
Barry Geraghty has a 34% strike-rate (15 from 44) when riding over fences at the track – CARABINIER
Wayne Hutchinson has a 21% record (3 from 14) over fences here – LIKE A HURRICANE

2.50 – William Hill Lanzarote Hurdle Handicap (CLASS 2) (4yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 2m5f

2 winning favourite in the last 9 runnings (1 dead heat)
4 of the last 5 winners were aged 6 years-old
All of the last 9 winners were aged between 5 and 7 years-old
6 of the last 9 winners carried 10-13 or LESS
6 of the last 9 winners returned 10/1 or SHORTER in the betting
5 of the last 9 winners finished UNPLACED last time out
4 of the last 9 winners won their previous race
Ruby Walsh rode the winner in 2003 and 2008
Nicky Henderson has a 25% record over hurdles here – RADHANI EXPRESS & BUSKER ROYAL
Paul Nicholls has a 23% strike-rate with his hurdlers at the course – DOMTALINE & AMERICAN TRILOGY
Jonjo O’Neill is only 2 from 39 with his hurdlers here – EASTLAKE
Barry Geraghty is 17 from 44 (39%) when riding hurdlers here – ACT OF KALANISI
Daryl Jacob is 7 from 30 (23%) when riding hurdlers at the track – AMERICAN TRILOGY
Tom Scudamore is just 1 from 25 over hurdles here – DECOY
Sam Thomas is only 1 from 20 over hurdles at the course – LIGHTNING STRIKE

3.20 – William Hill – Home of Betting Handicap Chase (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-135) CH4 Good 2m4f110y

4 of the last runnings went to the favourite
8 of the last 9 winners were aged 7 or OLDER
Only 1 double-figure aged winner in the last 9 runnings
7 of the last 9 carried 11-4 or LESS
8 of the last 9 DIDN’T win their previous race
5 of the last 9 finished UNPLACED last time out
Gary Moore won this in 2008 – FIX THE RIB & PEPLUM
Jonjo O’Neill won the race in 2006 – ALFIE SHERRIN
Henrietta Knight won the race in 2004 – SOIXANTE
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2005 – SAFARI JOURNEY
Charlie Mann is 0 from 23 with his chasers here – FINE PARCHMENT
Barry Geraghty has a 34% strike-rate (15 from 44) when riding over fences at the track – TRIANGULAR
Nick Schofield is 5 from 17 (29%) when riding over fences here – DOUBLE THE TROUBLE
Jamie Moore is 8 from 37 over fences here, but also has a +£38 level stakes profit – FIX THE RIB
Sam Thomas is only 1 from 22 over fences at the track – GOT ATTITUDE

WARWICK (RUK & C4)

2.00 – Betfred The Bonus King Handicap Chase (for the Edward Courage Cup) (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-135) CH4 Good To Soft 2m

No previous runnings
David Pipe has a 31% (5 from 16) record with his chasers here – ROI DE ROSIE
Charlie Mann is 4 from 14 (29%) with his chasers at the track – MOON OVER MIAMI
Tom George is 2 from 7 (29%) with his chasers at the course – BACK BOB BACK
Noel Fehily has a 32% (7 from 22) record when riding over fences here – MOON OVER MIAMI
Tom O’Brien is 3 from 13 (23%) when riding over fences here – MARODIMA
2.30 – Pertemps Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) (CLASS 2) (5yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 3m1f

2 of the last 7 went to the favourite
5 of the last 7 winners returned 5/1 or SHORTER in the betting
6 of the last 7 aged 9 or YOUNGER
6 of the last 7 carried 10-12 or LESS
5 of the last 7 finished UNPLACED last time out
MOBASSSHER won the race last year
Venetia Williams won this 12 months ago – AACHEN & LIGHTNING STRIKE
Nigel Twiston-Davies won this in 2004 & 2008 – SOUTH O’THE BORDER & PETTIFOUR
The Pipe stable won the race in 2005 – WATER GARDEN
David Pipe has 23% record (7 from 31) with his hurdlers here – WATER GARDEN
Paddy Brennan is 6 from 28 (21%) when riding over hurdles here – THE HILLOFUISNEACH
Aidan Coleman is 5 from 24 (21%) when riding over fences at the track – SIMONSIDE

3.05 – Neptune Investment Management Leamington Novices´ Hurdle Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 2m5f

6 previous runnings
5 of the last 6 went to the favourite
5 of the last 6 returned 2/1 or SHORTER in the betting
4 of the last 6 were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
ALL of the last 6 winners finished either 1^st or 2^nd last time out
4 of the last 6 came second in their previous race
Emma Lavelle won this in 2007 and 2011 – HIGHLAND LODGE
Jack Doyle is 0 from 21 over hurdles here – HIGHLAND LODGE
Noel Fehily is 0 from16 over hurdles at the track – LAYLA’S DANCER
Nigel Twiston-Davies is 7 from 38 (18%) with his hurdlers at the course – SAME DIFFERENCE
3.40 – Betfred Classic Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) Winner £31,323 CH4 Good To Soft 3m5f

1 winning favourite in the last 7 runnings
4 of the last 7 returned a double-figure price
5 of the last 7 were aged 9 or OLDER
6 of the last 7 carried 11-1 or LESS
4 of the last 7 carried 10-9 or LESS
5 of the last 7 finished 1^st, 2^nd or 3^rd last time out
6 of the last 7 winners ran at either Newbury (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
Alan King won this in 2008 & 2011 – BLAZING BAILEY
Nigel Twiston-Davies won this in 2005 – HELLO BUD & MAJOR MALARKEY
David Pipe has 31% (5 from 16) record with his chasers here – SONA SASTA & FAASEL
Colin Tizzard is 4 from 14 (29%, +£29) with his chasers here – HEY BIG SPENDER
Charlie Mann is 4 from 14 (29%) with his chasers here – BENCH WARRENT
Ian Williams is 2 from 7 with his chasers at the track – FREDO
Paddy Brennan is 6 from 21 (29%) when riding over fences here – MAJOR MALARKEY

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