Venetia Williams rewarded followers with a 75/1 double at Huntingdon last week, but who’s on Andy Newton’s hot trainers list this week?
JOHN GOSDEN (4 winners from his last 6 runners, 67% strike-rate): We’d normally expect to see the Gosden team on the hot trainers list in the summer months, but the Newmarket-based yard have got their all weather runners is such good form that it’s hard not to give them a plug. Okay, a lot of their runners are well-fancied in the betting, and their runners at this time of the year would have been handpicked to pay their way. That said, bookmakers still let one of their winners go off a huge 16/1 a few Saturday’s ago and although they’ve only got one runner on the horizon (Rasheed, Kempton on Sunday), you can expect to see a lot more being sent to the track as the weeks go by – they notched 23 AW winners from just 101 runners in 2011.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Kempton (40 from 208, 19%)
MARCO BOTTI (3 winners from his last 6 runners, 50% strike-rate): Based in Newmarket the Italian handler has certainly hit the ground running with his runners in 2012 with 3 winners from just 6 sent to post. All of those three successes came at Wolverhampton, while of those 6 recent runners I’m including two that he ran at Meydan, Dubai. Neither of those were winners, but he’s bound to have a few victories at the Carnival in the coming months. Last season they ended with their best-ever tally of 46 winners and stable star Excelebration was the main reason they won over £630,000 in total prize money. Big things are again expected this year as they try and break the 50 winners in a season mark in this country, while of those 46 winners in 2011 a massive 27 came on the all weather tracks.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Wolverhampton (46 from 243, 19%), Lingfield (18 from 135, 13%) & Kempton (36 from 230, 16%)
JOHN FERGUSON (5 winners from his last 10 runners, 50% strike-rate): A handler I mentioned last week and he sent followers home happy on Saturday after his potentially useful Cotton Mill won a decent race up at Warwick. For those that don’t know Mr Ferguson is Sheikh Mohammed’s racing manager and, therefore, spends a lot of time jetting between here and Dubai, while this is the reason most of his runners are well-bred flat cast-offs. The yard have now sent out 18 winners from just 45 sent to post (40%), and with 26 of those 45 finishing third of better then that’s a 58% strike-rate on their runners running into a place – not bad! Jack Quinlan rides 99% of their horses and has been on all their recent winners, and, finally, don’t forget to look at the NH Flat races too as they are 5 from 12 in that area too.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Taunton (2 from 2, 100%), Ascot (2 from 2, 100%), Market Rasen (0 from 1) and Wetherby (0 from 1)
JEREMY SCOTT (3 winners from his last 6 runners, 50% strike-rate): This yard made an appearance towards the backend of last season after a good start to their campaign and after a tiny lean spell it looks as if they are back in business. They do extremely well with their limited string and have already sent out more winners (15) than any other season. More importantly though they are showing a +£43 level stakes profit so far and have ended the past two seasons ahead on that front too. Nick Schofield and Matt Griffiths are the jockeys to look out for, while it could also pay to keep their NH Flat runners on side too – this season they are 3 from 10 in that sphere.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Taunton (1 from 21, 5%), Ludlow (0 from 10), Chepstow (2 from 21, 10%) & Wincanton (2 from 22, 9%)
PETER HIATT (3 winners from his last 9 runners, 33% strike-rate): Don’t have many runners, but they are a fairly steady outfit – having won anywhere between 17 and 29 races for every season going back to 2002. Of their nine recent runners 6 have finished third or better, while it could pay to know that jockey Chris Catlin has ridden two of those current winners. They also tend to do better on the all weather tracks, so now could be a good time to catch them – last year of their 23 winners, 14 came on the sand surfaces. They also have the odd jumper, with 2 wins from 36 so far this season, but are better known for their flat runner. Finally, of the four all weather tracks they are currently boasting positive level stakes profits at them all expect Wolverhampton (Kempton +£47, Lingfield +£30, Southwell +£11)!
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Lingfield AW (14 from 89, 16%), Market Rasen (1 from 14, 7%), Towcester (3 from 41, 7%) & Wolverhampton (8 from 85, 9%).
BRIAN ELLISON (5 winners from his last 16 runners, 31% strike-rate): A trainer that you will see operating over both codes at this time of the year and with 3 from 6 on the flat in 2012 so far and 25 from 141 over the sticks this NH season then things are going well for the Yorkshire-based yard. In fact those 25 NH successes mean this will be their best-ever season over jumps, with 21 last term their previous best tally. Of those 25 wins 18 have been over hurdles and 7 over fences, but a word of caution – they are 0 from 10 in NH Flat races. On the level they sent out 51 winners in 2010 and 53 in 2011, so you can expect them to get very close to those numbers again and with 4 of their last 6 finishing second or better (2 wins) on the flat then they’ve already made a great start to 2012. They tend to use a variety of jockeys over both codes, but Barry McHugh has ridden three winners from his last 4 rides for the yard. Finally, being based in the north it’s no real surprise that they do better at Southwell with their all weather runners – they are currently 53 from 217 (24%) there.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Catterick (4 from 12, 33%), Wolverhampton (23 from 157, 15%), Haydock (2 from 9, 22%) & Market Rasen (7 from 42, 17%)
VENETIA WILLIAMS (6 winners from her last 21 runners, 29% strike-rate): Without blowing my trumpet too loudly I brought the good form of Venetia’s yard to your attention last week and they duly obliged with a 75/1 double at Huntingdon last Friday. Like I said last week Aidan Coleman is their main man in the saddle – he’s been on 5 of those last 6 winners – Harry Challoner was on the other. This current purple patch now means they are on 19 winners for the season, still a bit on the skinny side but considering just what a poor start to the season they had then it’s not all bad. There is still enough of the season left for them to get near the 40-50 mark – a tally that I’m sure they would have on their mind at the beginning of the season, while former Grand National winner could be heading for the Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock this weekend.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Lingfield (3 from 32, 9%), Taunton (16 from 69, 23%), Ludlow (12 from 58, 21%), Chepstow (11 from 88, 13%), Catterick (no runners), Ascot (3 from 46, 7%), Haydock (6 from 56, 11%), Towcester (17 from 110, 15%) & Market Rasen (5 from 22, 23%).
MARK JOHNSTON (7 winners from his last 26 runners, 27% strike-rate): This powerful yard should always be feared at the all weather meetings at this time of year and with a near-on 34/1 treble at Lingfield then it looks like their horses mean business at the moment too. I guess the only downside when these big yards get into top gear is because they have plenty of runners then it’s sorting the wheat from the chaff. Jockey Joe Fanning, who after a spell on the sidelines last year, is back riding as well as ever, while with 54 of their 179 winners in 2011 coming on the all weather tracks then this is another positive stat for this time of year. They do well at all four of the AW courses, but are 7 from 25 (28%) at Lingfield, 76 from 339 (22%) at Wolverhampton and 64 from 266 (24%) at Southwell, so it could pay to keep these three on your side over Kempton.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Lingfield (7 from 25, 28%), Wolverhampton (76 from 339, 22%) & Kempton (43 from 316, 14%)
IAN WILLIAMS (6 winners from his last 22 runners, 27% strike-rate): After flagging this yard up last week then hopefully a few of you were on their 30/1 double at Wolverhampton on Monday. That brace took them to 6 from just 19 (32%) in 2012 and with leading owner Dr Marwan Koukash giving the yard plenty of support then I think we can expect big things from this stable over the next year. The signs were there in 2011 when they recorded 41 wins (their best ever), but I confidently think they will break the 50 barrier this year and should also have a few big handicaps in them. Jamie Spencer is a big asset in the saddle – he was on their Wolverhampton double earlier in the week. Also don’t forget they also do very well with their jumpers – they are currently on 20 for the season and need just 5 more to better last season’s NH total (their best ever NH tally was 51 in 2002-03).
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Lingfield (0 from 4), Ludlow (2 from 30, 7%), Taunton (1 from 15, 7%), Wolverhampton (AW) (30 from 212, 14%), Chepstow (2 from 26, 8%), Market Rasen (6 from 30, 20%), Kempton (AW) (17 from 103, 17%) & Towcester (9 from 53, 17%).
SYLVESTER KIRK (3 winners from his last 12 runners, 25% strike-rate): They only bagged 25 winners from 328 sent to post last year, so considering since 2008 they’ve gone 50, 39 and 30 they will be hoping for betting things in 2012 – and they are certainly off to the right start. All three of their recent winners have come at Kempton, but it’s at Southwell that they boast their best AW strike-rate (12 from 55, 22%, +£49). Jockey Liam Keniry has done the steering on all three of those winners too, while it might be worth noting that 2 of their last 3 to be sent off favourite won.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Wolverhampton (26 from 257, 10%) & Lingfield (14 from 138, 10%)
This Week’s Cold Trainers……
BILL TURNER (80 days and 59 runners without a winner)
MICHAEL SCUDAMORE (58 days and 33 runners without a winner)
Click on a trainer’s name to see all their up-coming entries