Sat TV Trends: 11th Feb

Musselburgh Comes To The Rescue

Musselburgh comes to the rescue for NH fans this Saturday and we’ve got all the key trends, betting & stats for EVERY race at the Scottish track.

 

 

Musselburgh (C4 and RUK)

 

1.30 – John Smith´s Novices´ Hurdle (CLASS 4) (5yo+) RUK Good To Soft 2m4f

No previous runnings
Lucy Normile is only 1 from 30 with her hurdles at the track – EDINBURGH GIN TIME
George Charlton is just 2 from 44 (5%) with his hurdlers here – DARK EXILE
Jason Maguire is 7 from 38 (18%) when riding over hurdles here – EBANOUR
Alexander Voy is just 1 from 28 when riding over hurdles here – EDINBURGH GIN TIME

2.05 – John Smith´s Scottish Triumph Hurdle (A Juvenile Hurdle) (CLASS 3) (4yo) RUK Good To Soft 2m

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6 of the last 8 runnings went to the favourite
6 of the last 8 winners returned 2/1 or SHORTER in the betting
4 of the last 8 winners ran at Musselburgh last time out
ALL 8 had won previously over at least 2miles
6 of the last 8 WON their previous race
Trainer Brian Ellison won the race in 2005 – RED INCA
Trainer John Quinn is 2 from 11 with his hurdlers at the course – UNCLE BRYN
Jockey Denis O’Regan is 17 from 59 (29%) when riding over hurdles at the track – RED INCA
Peter Buchanan is only 5 from 62 when riding over hurdles here – CADORE

2.35 – John Smith´s Stayers Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-140) RUK Good To Soft 3m110y

No previous runnings
Kate Walton is 3 from 15 (20%) with her hurdlers at the track – EVERAARD
Chris Grant is only 1 from 33 with his hurdlers at the track – SENDALI
Jockey Richie McGrath has a +£16 level stake profit when riding over hurdles here – EVERAARD
Peter Buchanan is only 5 from 62 when riding over hurdles here – DEVOTION TO DUTY
Jockey Denis O’Regan is 17 from 59 (29%) when riding over hurdles at the track – SENDALI

3.10 – John Smith´s Scottish Champion Chase (A Handicap) (For The Bowes-Lyons Cup) (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-140) CH4 Good To Soft 2m

Only 1 previous running
Trainer Brian Ellison won the race 12 months ago – ULTIMATE
Brian Ellison is 2 from 4 with his chasers here – ULTIMATE
Ferdy Murphy is 8 from 41 (20%) with his chasers at the track – DE BOITRON
Lucinda Russell is 8 from 40 (20%) with her chasers at the course – QUITO DU TRESOR, SAFARI ADVENTURES & SANTA’S SON
Donald McCain is 3 from 15 (20%) with his chasers at the course – TARA ROYAL
Jason Maguire is 3 from 16 (31%) when riding over fences here – TARA ROYAL
Campbell Gillies is 5 from 17 (29%) when riding over fences here – SAFARI ADVENTURES
Lucy Alexander is 4 from 9 (44%) when riding over fences here – CARRIETAU
Brian Hughes is only 3 from 33 over fences at the track – WIND SHUFFLE
Peter Buchanan is just 2 from 31 when riding over fences here – SANTA’S SON

3.45 – John Smith´s Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap) (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-140) CH4 Good To Soft 2m

Only 1 winning favourite in the last 10 years
9 of the last 10 returned 8/1 or LESS in the betting
ALL 10 recent winner were aged 8 or YOUNGER
6 of the last 10 were aged 6 years-old
7 of the last 10 carried 11-0 or MORE
All 10 recent winners FAILED to win their previous race
9 of the last 10 had won previously over at least 2m
9 of the last 10 hadn’t run at Musselburgh before
Jockey Graham Lee won this in 2002 & 2005 – DIVERS
John Quinn won this in 2006 – PALAWI
Tony Carroll won the race in 2007 – ZAFRANAGER
Richard Fahey won the prize in 2004 – INGLEBY SPIRIT
Richard Fahey is 7 from 35 (20%) with his hurdlers here – INGLEBY SPIRIT
Micky Hammond is only 1 from 28 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track – ALSAHIL
Chris Grant is only 1 from 33 with his hurdlers at the track – NINE STORIES
Kate Walton is 3 from 15 (20%) with her hurdlers at the track – RUMBLE OF THUNDER
Denis O’Regan is 17 from 59 (29%) with when riding over hurdles here – STORMY WEATHER
Kyle James is 2 from 5 when riding over hurdles here – DONTPAYTHEFERRYMAN
Wilson Renwick is just 1 from 45 when riding over hurdles here – NINE STORIES

4.20 – John Smith´s Future Champions Novices´ Chase (CLASS 3) (5yo+) RUK Good To Soft 2m4f

Only 3 previous runnings
All 3 returned 5/2 or SHORTER in the betting
All 3 carried 11-4 or MORE
2 of the 3 returned as favourite (1 joint)
All 3 failed to win their previous race
All three had run at Musselburgh before
All three had won over at least this 2m4f before
Donald McCain won the race in 2010 – CHESTER LAD
Chris Grant is only 1 from 21 with his chasers here – DOUBLE EXPRESSO
Lucinda Russell is 8 from 40 (20%) with her chasers at the track – BOLD SIR BRIAN
Donald McCain is 3 from 15 (20%) with his chasers at the course – CHESTER LAD
Jason Maguire is 5 from 16 (31%) when riding over fences here – CHESTER LAD
Peter Buchanan is only 2 from 31 when riding over fences here – BOLD SIR BRIAN

4.50 – John Smith´s Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-130) RUK Good To Soft 2m4f

Only 1 of the last 9 went to the favourite
7 of the last 9 winners returned a double-figure price
No real age trend with 5, 6, 7, 11 & 12 year-olds all winning in the last 9 renewals
5 of the 9 had won over at least 2m4f previously
5 of the last 9 were placed in their previous race
4 of the last 9 ran at Musselburgh last time out
Micky Hammond is only 1 from 28 (4%) with his hurdlers at the track – DANCEINTOTHELIGHT
Alexander Voy is just 1 from 28 when riding over hurdles here – SCRIPTWRITER
Harry Skelton is 1-from-1 when riding over hurdles here – COTILLION

 

 Compare all the latest odds from the leading bookmakers by clicking on each race title

 

 

 

 

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