Sat TV Trends: 5th May 2012

Aidan Just 3 from 36 With His 3-year-olds at HQ

Did you know that Aidan O’Brien is currently just 2 from 36 with his 3 year-olds at Newmarket?

NEWMARKET (RUK/C4)

2.00 – Makfi Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 1m1f

7 previous runnings
Only 1 winning favourite in the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 7 years is 8/1
All 7 winners were aged 4 or older
4 year-olds have won 4 of the last 5 runnings
6 of the last 7 winners carried 9-0 or less
2 of the last 7 winners were previous course winners
3 of the last 7 had won over at least this trip in the past
4 of the last 7 winners were having their first run of the season
5 of the last 7 finished fourth of better last time out (2 won their last race)
Paul Cole is 0 from 40 with his 3 year-olds at the track – CIRCUMVENT
William Haggas has an 18% (+£24) record with his 3 year-olds here – FURY
Luca Cumani boasts a £27 level stakes profit when running 3 year-olds at the track – DANADANA
Jimmy Fortune has a 20% (+£39) strike-rate when riding 3 year-olds here – TULLUIS
Hayley Turner is just 1 from 21 when riding 3 year-olds here – DANADANA

2.30 – Qatar Bloodstock Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 1m4f

6 of the last 10 runnings went to the favourite
7 of the last 10 winners returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
All 10 recent winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old
4 of the last 10 returned 7/4 fav in the betting
8 of the last 10 winners finished fourth or better last time out (3 won their last race)
9 of the last 10 had not won before at the track
9 of the last 10 had won over at least this trip before
6 of the last 10 had a previous run already that season
8 of the last 10 had won at Listed or better level in the past
6 of the last 10 were previous Group Race winners
Andre Fabre won the race in 2006 & 2008 – MEANDRE
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
John Gosden is 5 from 23 (22%, +£29) when running older horses at the track – MASKED MARVEL
Roger Charlton has a 26% (+£33) record with his older horses here – AL KAZEEM
Luca Cumani is only 3 from 39 with his 4+ year-olds here – QUEST FOR FAME
Johnny Murtagh is just 1 from 25 when riding older horses here – DUNADEN
Ryan Moore has a17% record and is +£57 when riding older horses at the track – FIORENTE

3.10 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (204th Running) (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) CH4 Good To Soft 1m

Only 2 winning favourites in the last 10 years
4 of the last 10 had won over a mile before
6 of the last 10 runnings have gone to an Irish-based trainer
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
8 of the last 10 won their last race
All of the last 10 winners finished third or better in their previous race
3 of the last 6 winners ran at the Curragh last time out
7 of the last 10 had not won a race at the track (Rowley Mile) before
6 of the last 10 were having their first run of the new season
9 of the last 10 had won in Group company previously
Aidan O’Brien won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006 & 2008 – CAMELOT, POWER
Aidan O’Brien is just 2 from 36 with his 3 year-olds at the track in recent years – CAMELOT , POWER
French trainer Mikel Delzangles is 1-from-1 with his 3 year-olds at Newmarket – HERMIVAL
John Hills has a 19% record (+£44) when running 3 year-olds here – BOOMERANG BOB
Frankie Dettori has a 22% strike-rate when riding 3 year-olds at the track – TALWAR
Seb Sanders is 5 from 25  (+£58) when riding 3 year-olds here – BOOMERANG BOB
Johnny Murtagh is only 1 from 33 when riding 3 year-olds at the course – BORN TO SEA

3.45 – Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) CH4 Good To Soft 5f

4 of the last 10 runnings went to the favourite
8 of the last 10 winners returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or younger
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
7 of the last 10 winners won their previous race
4 of the last 10 winners ran at Newmarket last time out
9 of the last 10 had won before over 5f
4 of the last 10 had won a race before at the track
9 of the last 10 finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
6 of the last 10 had a previous run that season
Bryan Smart won the race in 2008 & 2011 – MOVE IN TIME
Tom Eaves won the race in 2008 & 2011 – MOVE IN TIME
Roger Charlton has a 26% (+£33) record with his older horses at the track – DEFINIGHTLY
Richard Fahey is just 1 from 41 with his older horses here – MAYSON
Bryan Smart is 2 from 9 (22%) with his 4+year-olds here – MOVE IN TIME
Ryan Moore has a 17% record and is +£57 when riding older horses at the track – DEFINIGHTLY
Paul Hanagan is just 1 from 24 on older horses here – MAYSON
Jim Crowley is only 1 from 40 when riding older horses at the track – SPIRIT QUARTZ
Jamie Spencer is just 2 from 38 on 4+ year-olds here – MASAMAH

GOODWOOD (RUK/C4)

2.15 – Betfred The Bonus King EBF Daisy Warwick Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Soft 1m4f

Only 1 previous running
John Gosden won the race 12 months ago
Last year’s winner was a 4 year-old
Nicky Mackay rode last year’s winner
Sir Henry Cecil is 8 from 24 (33%) with his older horses here – VITA NOVA
Neil Callan is just 2 from 38 when riding older horses at the track – SHIMMERING SURF
Luke Morris is only 2 from 35 when riding older horses here – TAMEEN
David Probert boasts a +£38 level stakes profit when riding older horses at the track – TWIN SOUL

3.30 – Betfred Mobile Sports Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-105) CH4 Soft 1m6f

Only 2 previous runnings
Both winners were aged 5 years-old
Both winners carried 9-3 or more
Both winners returned at a double-figure price
Both winners ran at Cheltenham over hurdles last time out
Amanda Perrett is just 2 from 41 with her older horses at the track – FOUR NATIONS
David Simcock is only 2 from 31 with his older horses here – NO HERETIC
Gary Moore is just 5 from 95 with his older horses here – WOOLFALL TEASURE
Ted Durcan is only 2 from 43 when riding 4+year-olds at the course –
Luke Morris is only 2 from 35 when riding older horses here – FOUR NATIONS

NEWMARKET – SUNDAY (RUK/C4)

3.15 – Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) CH4 Good To Soft 1m

3 of the last 10 went to the favourite
All of the last 10 winners came third or better last time out
6 of the last 10 won this on their seasonal reappearance
7 of the last 10 were previous course winners
6 of the last 10 returned a double figure price in the betting
3 of the last 10 ran fourth in the Epsom Oaks later that season
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
5 of the last 10 favourites finished unplaced
8 of the last 10 won their previous race
5 of the last 10 ran at Newmarket last time out
Only 1 winners in the last 10 went onto win the Oaks (Kazzia)
7 of the last 10 had not won over a mile previously
8 of the last 10 had won at Group 3 level or better before
3 of the last 10 had run in the Cheveley Park Stakes the season before
3 of the last 10 went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
Aidan O’Brien has only won the race once (2005) – MAYBE, HOMECOMING QUEEN
Godolphin took the prize in 1998, 2002 & 2011 – LYRIC OF LIGHT, DISCLOUSURE
Mahmood Al Zarooni is 10 from 34 (29%, +£42) with his 3 year-olds at the course –
Aidan O’Brien is just 2 from 36 with his 3 year-olds at the track in recent years – MAYBE, HOMECOMING QUEEN
Frankie Dettori has a 22% record when riding 3 year-olds here – LYRIC OF LIGHT
Jimmy Fortune has a 20% record (+£39) when riding 3 year-olds at the track – STARSCOPE
Mickael Barzalona is 5 from 17 (29%) when riding 3 year-olds at the course – DISCOURSE
Johnny Murtagh is just 1 from 33 when riding 3 year-olds here – LIGHTENING PEARL
Eddie Ahern is only 2 from 42 when riding 3 year-olds here – DIALA

All trainer and jockey stats are correct from 4^th May 2012