Sat TV Trends: 12th May 2012

Lingfield Switch To The AW On Sat

More trends and stats as Andy Newton looks at the LIVE C4 races this Saturday.

Haydock (C4/RUK)

2.00 – Pertemps Network Long Distance Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 2) (4yo+) CH4 Soft 3m

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Ran within the last 2 months
7/7 – Returned 11/2 or bigger in the betting
6/7 – Aged 6 or older
5/7 – Carried 11-0 or less
4/7 – Had won over 3m before
4/7 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/7 – Had run at Haydock before (2 won a race there)
4/7 – Returned a double-figure price
3/7 – Won their last race
0/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 years is 13/1
The Pipe stable won the race in 2005, 2006 & 2007 –
Philip Hobbs won the race in 2008 & 2011 –

3.40 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Registered As The Swinton) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Soft 2m

10/10 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
10/10 – Had run within the last 2 months
10/10 – Had won over 2m before
9/10 – Didn’t win their last race
8/10 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/10 – Had not run at Haydock before
6/10 – Finished in the top three last time out
6/10 – Carried 10-4 or less (2 won out of the handicap)
5/10 – Won by a 5 year-old
4/10 – Ran at Aintree last time out, including 3 of the last 4
4/10 – Returned a double-figure price
2/10 – Winning favourites
4 of the last 6 winners retuned 16/1 in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
Nicky Henderson has won the last 2 runnings

Lingfield (C4/ATR)

2.10 – Betfred Mobile Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) Winner £31,191 CH4 Standard 7f

Saeed Bin Suroor has a 55% record (6 from 11) with his older horses here – DYSPHONIA
Tom Dascombe has a 26% record with his older horses at the track – LIBYS DREAM
Sir Henry Cecil is 4 from 13 (31%) when running older horses here – CHACHAMAIDEE
Paul D’Arcy is 6 from 24 (25%) with his older horses here – NIGHT LILY
John Gosden has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds at the track – FALLEN FOR YOU
William Muir is just 5 from 58 with his 3 year-olds here – VILLENEUVE
Frankie Dettori is 7 from 12 (58%) when riding older horses at the course – DYSPHONIA

2.40 – Betfred “The Bonus King” Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £22,684 CH4 Standard 1m4f

9/10 – Failed to win another race in England after winning this
8/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/10 – Came from stall 4 or higher
6/10 – Had a previous run that season
5/10 – Favourites finished second
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites
0/10 – Had run at Lingfield before
0/10 – Had won over 1m4f before
0/10 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
John Gosden won the race in 2010 – DINVAR DIVA & APOTHECARY
John Gosden has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds here – DINVAR DIVA & APOTHECARY
Roger Charlton is just 1 from 30 with his 3 year-olds here – ESTRELA
Frankie Dettori has a 26% record when riding 3 year-olds here – ZIMIRA
William Buick has a 21% record when riding 3 year-olds here – DINVAR DIVA
Pat Dobbs is just 2 from 51 when riding 3 year-olds at the course – VARNISH

3.10 – Betfred Derby Trial Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £34,026 CH4 Standard 1m4f

9/10 – Came fourth or better last time out
8/10 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Epsom Derby (Aqaleem 3^rd in 2007)
7/10 – Returned 11/4 or less in the betting
7/10 – Had run already that season
7/10 – Won from stalls 1-3
6/10 – Favourites were unplaced in the race
3/10 – Won their last race (but none of the last 7)
3/10 – Winning favourites
1/10 – Won over this trip before
0/10 – Never raced at Lingfield
The last 7 winners of this race failed to win another race
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2
John Gosden has a 27% record with his 3 year-olds here – SHANTARAM
David Lanagan has a 23% record with his 3 year-olds at the track – MAIN SEQUENCE
Andrew Balding has a 20% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds here – GOLDONI
William Buick has a 21% record when riding 3 year-olds here – SHANTARAM
Kieren Fallon has a 23% record on 3 year-olds at the track – HALLING’S QUEST
Richard Mullen has a 21% record on 3 year-olds here – CAVAEIRO
Pat Dobbs is just 2 from 51 when riding 3 year-olds at the course – ROUGEMONT

Ascot (C4/ATR)

2.20 – John Doyle Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £18,714 CH4 Heavy 1m4f

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 6 or younger
5/6 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
5/6 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
4/6 – Had a previous run that season
3/6 – Won their last race
3/6 – Won by the favourite
2/6 – Had won over this 1m4f trip before
John Gosden won the race in 2009 – AIKEN
John Gosden has a +£30 level stakes profit with his older horses at Ascot – AIKEN
Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 30 with his older horses here – TAMEEN
Darryll Holland is just 1 from 32 when riding older horses at the track – TWIN SOUL

2.50 – Bovis Homes Fillies´ Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+) Winner £29,111 CH4 Soft 1m

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Didn’t win their previous race
5/6 – Finished 2^nd, 3^rd or 4^th last time out
5/6 – Returned 6/1 or bigger in the betting
5/6 – Had a previous run that season
5/6 – Had won over a mile before
4/6 – Carried 8-11 or more
3/6 – Aged 4 years-old
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 15/2
Richard Hannon is just 2 from 85 with his 3 year-olds at the track – FREE VERSE
Wlliam Jarvis is 2 from 6 with his older horses here – DIVERTING
Mick Channon is just 1 from 49 with his older horses at the course – FORK HANDLES
Harry Bentley has a 21% record when riding older horses here – DIVERTING
Martin Lane is just 1 from 21 when riding older horses here – MOONE’S MY NAME

3.25 – Betfred Victoria Cup (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) Winner £52,913 CH4 Soft 7f

10/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 – Had a previous run within the last 2 months
8/10 – Carried 8-13 or less
8/10 – Didn’t win their last race
7/10 – Won over 7f before
6/10 – Aged 4 years-old
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/10 – Had run at Ascot before
3/10 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
David Simcock is just 1 from 31 with his older horses here – FATHSTA
Richard Fahey is only 2 from 62 with his older horses here – BRAE HILL
Jim Goldie is just 1 from 26 with his older horses here – HAWKEYETHENOO
Jeremy Gask is 4 from 20 with his older horses here – COOL MARBLE
Darryll Holland is just 1 from 32 when riding older horses at the track – PASTORAL PLAYER
Martin Dwyer is only 3 from 57 when riding 4+year-olds here – FATHSTA

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Note: All jockey and trainer stats correct before racing on Friday