Trainer Stats: 24th May 2012

Tregoning's Horses On The Mark......

With 5 winners from his last 12 runners Marcus Tregoning’s horses are in cracking form at present.

BILL TURNER (6 winners from his last 12 runners, 50% strike-rate): The Turner yard showed just how good their horses are running at the moment after they managed to get Ansells Pride to win after a lengthy absence at 14/1 down at Brighton on Tuesday, but that was their sixth win in the last few weeks and their second one to go in at 14/1. Young jockey Jake Payne, who claims a handy 7lbs, is getting plenty of opportunities for the team, but also keep an eye on Ryan While too – his last three rides for the yard have all been winners! In terms of numbers it’s hard to believe they only managed 18 wins last season and 16 the year before, so with 16 already for 2012 I’m sure they are going to make this their best-ever campaign – they’ve got 24 (2004) to beat. With 12 of their 16 winners coming with their juveniles it looks as if Turner has hit the jackpot with his batch of youngsters this season, with their Lady Phil, who has won her last two starts, looking particularly useful.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Yarmouth (4 from 22, 18%)

MARCUS TREGONING (5 winners from his last 12 runners, 42% strike-rate):  For one of the bigger yards they’ve struggled in recent years with just 21 winners last season, but these things can go in cycles and, like I’ve said before, it only takes a year or two of slightly below-par juveniles to come through the yard and it can take 2-3 years to get back on track. Anyway, it looks like the Tregoning team could be heading that way with 7 winners already this season from just 40 runners and with their recent successes returning 8/1, 6/1, 9/2, 3/1 and 10/1 then it could be that with a few lean years behind them the bookmakers are taking a few more risks with their horses. Esteddaama, under a power-packed Frankie, looked good when winning at York last week and despite only getting up to win by a neck is one to note next time – especially if her proven stamina is utilized once more. Another yard that are yet to have a juvenile runner, but they’ve only had 13 successes in that sphere over the last 3 years anyway and, therefore, it’s better to focus on their 3 year-olds or older.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Haydock (2 from 9, 22%), Sandown (4 from 42, 10%), Salisbury (2 from 26, 8%), Goodwood (7 from 67, 10%), York (3 from 11, 27%), Chester (0 from 6), Lingfield AW (14 from 93, 15%)

ROGER CHARLTON (7 winners from his last 17 runners, 41% strike-rate): The yard are being quite selective with their runners at present, but what we do know is the ones they are sending to post mean business – backed up again with the well-backed Clowance Estate winning a decent-looking maiden at Lingfield on Wednesday. Yes, three of their 7 recent winners have started favourite, but if you add in 33/1 and 16/1 successes too then their followers have been more than rewarded. Jockey-of-the-moment James Doyle gets the bulk of their rides these days, but it is worth pointing out that of their 7 recent winners he’s only been on 3 of them – Frankie, Jamie Spencer and George Baker, who also rides their Bated Breath in the Temple Stakes on Saturday, have been given the leg-up on the others. That’s 10 winners from 42 runners so far, and with 9 coming with their 3 year-olds this is certainly another angle to make note of. They are also yet to have any 2 year-old runners but over the last 5 years they are 42 from 281 (15%) with their juveniles. The previously mentioned, Bated Breath, is still currently entered in Saturday’s Temple Stakes, and if he lines up at the Merseyside track is sure to be well supported with form figures that read 1-1-2 at the course.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Goodwood (9 from 45, 20%), Haydock (9 from 37, 24%), Salisbury (10 from 57, 18%), Sandown (4 from 41, 10%), Curragh (2 from 7, 29%), Newbury (24 from 147, 16%)

COLIN TIZZARD (4 winners from his last 10 runners, 40% strike-rate): Again being a NH yard they are not having reams of runners at present, but with 4 winners from just 10 sent to post, including a 7/1 shot going in at Newton Abbot on Monday then the limited few they do run should be noted. They’ve got a few engaged up at Wetherby o Thursday and one at Fakenham on Sunday to look out for. All four recent winners have been with their chasers, while it’s no real surprise Joe Tizzard has ridden all-bar-one of those (David Crosse the other). If they do honour their current engagements at Wetherby and Fakenham it will be interesting as they’ve not had a runner at Fakenham in the last 5 years, and are 0 from just 1 runner at Wetherby. Upcoming entries and track stats: Fakenham (no runners), Wetherby (0 from 1)

REBECCA CURTIS (6 winners from her last 16 runners, 38% strike-rate): Since they started out in 2007-08 they’ve managed to increase their winners year-on-year, with last season’s tally of 39 their best yet. Being already on 8 for the new campaign, from just 18 runners (44%), then it looks as if everything is in place for that trend to continue, especially as the yard is attracting more and more owners and better class horses. It’s no secret that when AP McCoy gets the call to ride one of theirs then it’s generally fancied to go close – backed up again this term as the champs recent rides for the stable read a staggering 1-F-1-1-2-1! Again, it’s no real secret that they also do extremely well with their bumper horses – in the last 5 seasons they are 28 from 90 sent to post (31%), with 59% of those runners finishing third or better. More of the same looks likely again in those races as they are already 2-from-5, but away from that it’s their hurdlers that pay the bills – they are 6 from just 8 runners already this season, in contrast to the 0-from-5 they are with their chasers. They also have the odd runner on the flat these days and at look to have won entered up at Salisbury on Thursday.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Salisbury (0 from 1)

JONJO O’NEILL (5 winners from his last 15 runners, 33% strike-rate): The stable burst into life on Monday with a Newton Abbot double, to provide AP McCoy with two of his 4 winners that day, but the signs were there after sending out a 15/2 winner at Uttoxeter on Saturday and a 9/4 winner at Market Rasen on Sunday. Last season’s Gold Cup winning yard ended with 97 successes and with 9 already this term from just 40 sent to post then they are clearly trying to make hay while the horses are still in fair form – backed up again on Tuesday with another 8/1 winner up at Towcester. Of their successes so far this campaign more have come with their hurdlers, but it’s worth noting that they are 3 from just 9 over fences (33%), while 7 of those 9 have finished fourth or better. Looking ahead this week they’ve got some engaged at Towcester and Wetherby – both are tracks they like to have winners at.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Wetherby (8 from 36, 22%), Towcester (20 from 103, 19%)
 

NICKY HENDERSON (10 winners from his last 33 runners, 30% strike-rate): Got a headline mention last week and despite a slow start he finally came up trumps with winners over the weekend, including one at a tasty 13/2. They’ve since followed that up with a 9/2 double at Newton Abbot on Monday and with AP showing no sign of letting up the Seven Barrows yard are using him as much as they can. Add in the ever-improving Jeremiah McGrath, who incidentally out-battled McCoy in a tight finish on Monday, and Andrew Tinkler then they are both getting plenty of chances for the yard too. That puts them on 10 winners already for the 2012-13 campaign, from just 36 runners, while 21 of those 36 (58%) have finished fourth or better.  They had a few fancied NH Flat horses turned over at the backend of last week, but they made amends on Monday with another bumper winner – and that puts them on 3 from just 9 in those races? Also, for those that are interested in where the term ‘bumper’ comes from – it goes back to the days when these races were for amateurs only and due to their inexperienced riding style many of them ‘bumped’ up and down in the saddle a lot! Finally, keep an eye on anything they send to Fakenham on Sunday – they currently boast a 39% strike-rate there.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Wetherby (4 from 16, 25%), Towcester (14 from 55, 25%), York (1 from 3, 33%), Chester (0 from 3), Fakenham (14 from 36, 39%)

MICHAEL BELL (8 winners from his last 33 runners, 24% strike-rate): The 2005 Derby-winning trainer is certainly a man to have on your side at the moment – and those that backed his 33/1 (Momentary – entered for the Ribblesdale) winner at Newbury last week will be backing that up. Add in four more successes since, including with his only runner on Wednesday, then with Epsom and Royal Ascot just around the corner it looks like they are hitting top form at just about the right time. In fact they are already on 17 for the season, and that’s just 27 shy of last terms tally of 44. Yes, they had a really lean spell towards the end of the 2011-12 campaign, but that was due to most of the yard having a virus, so it’s a virtual certainty they will better last season’s tally and will have the 72 wins back in 2008 as a firm target. Of their 17 winners so far, a massive 13 have come with their 3 year-olds, while at the time of writing they are 0-from-5 with their juveniles.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Goodwood (2 from 46, 4%), Sandown (6 from 36, 17%), Salisbury (4 from 31, 13%), Haydock (9 from 51, 18%), Catterick (0 from 4), Chester (5 from 22, 23%), York (8 from 46, 17%), Lingfield (3 from 16, 19%), Newbury (6 from 66, 9%), Lingfield AW (15 from 94, 16%)

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