This week Andy Newton gives you five flat and five NH yards to look out for……….
Flat Stables to Note:
ROBERT COWELL (3 winners from his last 8 runners, 38% strike-rate): With stable-star Prohibit hoping to defend his King’s Stand title at Royal Ascot next Tuesday then he could hardly have a more in-form yard behind him. He’s around 16/1 in the betting at this stage to land back-to-back Ascot races, so at that price and with the yard in such scintillating form then he’s bound to appeal to the each-way players. Their best-ever season came in 2010 with 21 successes and with 14 already bagged then it’s looking good for them breaking that record, especially as they’ve only had 61 runners too. Before Ascot they’ve got several entered at Sandown on Friday that could go well, most notably two of their recent winners – Cats Eyes and Cardinal – but they also have excellent track stats at both Bath and Leicester and currently have a few engaged there on Saturday too.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Haydock (0 from 9), Sandown (3 from 20, 15%), Bath (2 from 3, 67%), Leicester (3 from 10, 30%)
DAVID BARRON (9 winners from his last 29 runners, 31% strike-rate): Another winner at the weekend means they’ve fired in eight successes already this month and although their well-fancied Pearl Ice was a big disappointment at Newmarket last Saturday that race might have come a bit too soon after running just three days ago – with a bit of a break he shouldn’t be written off. Keep a look out for 5lb claimer Luke McNiff getting the leg-up – his last three rides for the yard have all been winners. They sit on 22 wins now for the season, with 57 to better from 2011 and 76 (2006) their best yet. Looking to Ascot, Waffle, who was runner-up in the Wokingham 12 months ago, looks like being their best chance of a winner should he take his chance once again – it is, however, worth noting they are currently 0-from-24 at the course.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Haydock (10 from 66, 15%), York (10 from 84, 12%), Sandown (0 from 5), Leicester (4 from 10, 40%), Doncaster (8 from 72, 11%)
SIR HENRY CECIL (5 winners from his last 17 runners, 29% strike-rate): 12 of their last 17 runners have finished fourth or better and with the whole world watching Frankel put his unbeaten record on the line again next week then if he does get beaten they certainly can’t blame stable form. Thomas Chippendale, who was a very easy winner last weekend, could be another to look out for next week at Royal Ascot, as will Frankel’s full brother Noble Mission and the classy mare Chachamaidee. The Warren Place yard rarely leave a Royal meeting without at least one winner and with Frankel looking certain to uphold that record in the Queen Anne I suspect we could see at least one more Cecil success next week at the Berkshire track too. They are on 19 now for the season and with their string looking stronger than it’s been for a long time you would think last year’s tally of 55 looks well within range. It might be worth noting they’ve not yet had a 2 year-old runner this season, but you can expect this to change very soon – over the past 5 seasons have sent out 50 juvenile winners from 236 (21%). Looking ahead to the weekend they don’t send many runners over to Ireland, but do have both Vita Nova and Wild Coco entered in Sunday’s Noblesse Stakes (G3) at Cork.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Newbury (17 from 86, 20%), Nottingham (9 from 51, 18%), Sandown (10 from 57, 18%), Goodwood (13 from 64, 20%), Bath (1 from 7, 14%), Doncaster (10 from 36, 28%), Salisbury (7 from 25, 28%), Cork (no runners)
JOHN GOSDEN (13 winners from his last 50runners, 26% strike-rate): Again, despite still having a decent strike-rate at the moment it’s actually a lot better with 12 of those winners coming in the last two weeks, including a Doncaster double last Saturday and two more winners on Wednesday this week. With 51 winners already then they are right on track to get near the 99 they managed last season and will be aiming at the 113 they notched in 1992. Around 69% of their runners so far this campaign are also finishing fourth or better, but in terms of jockeys there’s only one man – William Buick – he’s been on all-bar-one of their winners this month. Expect a big crew heading to Royal Ascot next week, including The Fugue, who was so unlucky in the Epsom Oaks earlier this month. However, before next week if they send any to Yarmouth on Thursday then take note – they have a 24% strike-rate at the track.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Yarmouth (24 from 101, 24%), Newbury (23 from 140, 16%), Nottingham (11 from 70, 16%), Haydock (14 from 69, 20%), York (8 from 54, 15%), Sandown (25 from 148, 17%), Goodwood (17 from 117, 15%), Salisbury (6 from 47, 13%)
MICHAEL DODS: (8 winners from his last 31 runners, 26% strike-rate): In fact with 4 of their last 10 runners going in then these stats are actually a whole lot better than they look. A big-priced treble went in for the yard up at Newcastle on Saturday, but they’ve already followed that up with a 9/2 winner at Pontefract on Mondaysuggesting it’s all smiles at the Dods yard at present. After this good run they now sit on 17 for the season, and will certainly have 50 winners as a firm target – something they’ve yet to achieve, with 49 their best (2008/2009). 9 of their 17 winners have been with their 3 year-olds, but they are also 3-from-just 7 with their 2 year-olds. Looking ahead they’ve got plenty of entries, especially at Nottingham on Thursday where they will be hoping to improve their current track stats of just 2-from-46. They do also have a few entered at Ascot next week, but their record at the Berkshire course needs touching up too – they are just 1-from-18.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Nottingham (2 from 46, 4%), Haydock (7 from 84, 8%), Musselburgh (9 from 50, 18%), York (5 from 72, 7%), Doncaster (11 from 150, 7%)
NH Stables to Note:
VENETIA WILLIAMS (3 winners from her last 6 runners, 50% strike-rate): Being very selective with their runners at the moment, but the ones they are sending to the track mean business. Recent Uttoxeter winner Tuskar Rock is entered on both Thursday and Friday this week, so connections seem keen to run him again, while although no immediate entries it could be worth looking out for Aachen, who dotted up by 25 lengths on Bank Holiday Monday. With 14 winners already then they’ve given themselves a nice cushion for the season as they look to chase down last term’s tally of 52 winners. They are also 1-from-2 with their NH Flat runners, but it’s their chasers we should all keep an eye out for – they are currently 8 from just 14 over fences. Finally, the yard are obviously eager to run Zamdy Man, an unraced 3 year-old, on the level – he’s entered at both Sandown (Sat) and Windsor (Mon).
Upcoming entries and track stats: Uttoxeter (6 from 76, 8%), Hereford (18 from 98, 18%), Aintree (3 from 65, 5%), Sandown (0 from 3), Windsor (no runners)
CHARLIE MANN (4 winners from his last 9 runners, 44% strike-rate): Yes, they’ve had 4/6 ad 11/8 winners of late, but add in an 18/1 return too then followers of the Mann team will be sitting pretty at the moment. Jockeys Sam Thomas and Gavin Sheehan have ridden all the yard’s recent runners – with two winners apiece. This puts them on 8 from just 28 sent to post (29%), while that recent 18/1 winner is the main reason they are also sitting at +£20 level stakes profit too. It could pay to know that 6 of their 8 winners were with their hurdlers, but the only downside is they don’t seem to have any entries on the horizon – maybe they will next week and the bookies will have forgotten about the form they are in! Ffos Las, Ludlow, Lingfield, Taunton, Worcester, Uttoxeter, Warwick, Towcester and Plumpton have all been lucky tracks for them in the past.
Upcoming entries and track stats: No entries
DONALD MCCAIN (11 winners from his last 25 runners, 44% strike-rate): Back for more and seemingly no let-up in the form of the McCain yard. We are not even halfway through June and they are already on 24 winners for the new jumps season from just 81 runners (30%), and you would think that with the rain set to continue the NH yards will continue to capitalize. The stable’s number one jockey Jason Maguire is still ever-present too having ridden the bulk of their recent winners, with John Kington, Richard Johnson and Callum Whillans the others. Don’t forget they do also have the odd flat runner – afterall they’ve already bagged the Chester Cup at their local track – with Overturn also entered at Royal Ascot in the Gold Cup, while Ile De Re, their Chester Cup winner, is already a leading fancy to follow up in the Northumberland Plate on June 30th.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Nottingham (0 from 1), Uttoxeter (37 from 220, 17%), Hereford (9 from 51, 18%), York (0 from 1), Aintree (11 from 120, 9%), Hexham (14 from 91, 15%)
WILLIE MULLINS (9 winners from his last 22 runners, 41% strike-rate): Ireland’s champion NH trainer is another who we would forgive taking his foot off the pedal around this time of the year – wrong! They are still banging in the winners at an impressive rate, with Thousand Stars even going over to France to win on Sunday. Ruby is also still riding a lot of theirs and with the Galway Festival only a month or so away then you can expect the Mullins team to be heading there in tip-top order. That puts them on 24 from just 68 runners this new season as they motor on towards breaking the 100 mark again – something they’ve done for the past 5 campaigns (146 their best in 2009-10). Plenty to look out for in the coming days, especially any hurdlers they send to Limerick as they are 20 from 49 over the smaller obstacles there.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Clonmel (26 from 85, 31%), Navan (34 from 112, 30%), Limerick (33 from 96, 34%), Cork (0 from 4 – flat).
PAUL NICHOLLS (4 winners from his last 11 runners, 36% strike-rate): Another of the ‘big gun’ yards that are keeping things ticking over at present, and, like I mentioned before, with the ground a lot softer than it normally is at this time of year we can expect to continue to see their horses on show. Yes, all the main stable stars are enjoying a well-earned rest, but they’ve still got a nice string of summer jumpers to go to war with. Jockey Daryl Jacobs is being rewarded too with Ruby mostly staying over in Ireland at the moment – the Grand National-winning jockey has been on all of their recent winners. Indian Daudaie has landed two of their recent 4 winners, and should be turned out again soon to land the hat-trick, while it’s interesting that the yard have Brampour, last season’s Champion Hurdle seventh, and American Trilogy still entered in the Northumberland Plate in a few weeks on the flat.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Hereford (12 from 55, 22%)
Note: All trainer stats correct from 14th June 2012
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