Well I Declare, 28th June 2012

Well, I Declare! 28h June 2012

Good Morning!

Today’s action comes from Hamilton, Leicester, Newcastle, Warwick & Yarmouth and once again we’ve got Mal Boyle’s view on the day’s events.

THURSDAY 28/6:

Hamilton:

General stats: Given that Joe Fanning has ridden one hundred and thirty-four horses at Hamilton during the last five years, his 25% strike rate is an impressive figure to boast.  On the training front, Elaine Burke’s 25% strike rate is backed up by an LSP figure of over twenty points.

Leicester:

General stats: Gary Moore’s 31% strike rate is worth noting though this is another Leicester fixture which could be lost to a waterlogged track.

Newcastle:

Stats from the three-day meeting last year:

20 races–21 winners via one dead heat:

Favourite details (25 market leaders): 7 winners–6 placed–12 unplaced

Two odds on favourites: Winner at 4/11 & placed at 5/6

16 of the 21 winners were returned at 15/2 or less

Other gold medallists scored at 11/1-12/1-16/1-18/1-25/1

Doubles on the relevant days:

Thursday: Brian Ellison (25/1–one of his winners dead heated)

Friday: Jim Goldie (11/1)

Brian saddled one more winner on another day to be leading trainer at the meeting

No other trainers saddled more than one winner during the three-day ‘festival’.

Ruth Carr, David O‘Meara, Brian Ellison and David Nicholls all saddled two beaten favourites

Toteplacepot returns:

Thursday: £48.10 (average dividend over the last ten years: £459.15)

Friday: £29.00 (average dividend over the last ten years: £595.82)

Saturday: £1,869.20 (average dividend over the last ten years: £911.18)

Warwick:

General stats: Sir Henry Cecil’s 42% strike rate in recent times stands out from the crowd, statistics which have enabled Tom Queally to steal the riding honours on a regular basis. 

Yarmouth:

General stats: Three of William Knight’s last seven runners have finished second and his LSP figure of nearly seventy points at Yarmouth suggests that another decent priced winner could be on the horizon.