Well I Declare! 5th July 2012

Well, I Declare! 5/7/12

Well, I Declare! 5/7/12

Today’s action comes from Epsom, Haydock, Newbury & Yarmouth, following the abandonment of the Perth card.
Here’s a reminder of Mal Boyle’s notes for the day



General stats: Jonathan Portman (3/6) and Sir Mark Prescott (10/23) boast really impressive stats at one of the most difficult venues to snare winners throughout the UK. 

Class 5 twelve furlong handicap scheduled for 6.20: Only one of the five favourites has finished in the money to date which was the successful 3/1 market leader back in 2006.  All five winners were returned at odds of 8/1 or less however.

Juvenile event scheduled for 6.35: Four favourites have prevailed during the last six years during which time, both Richard Hannon and Mick Channon have saddled two winners.

Class 3 all aged handicap over six furlongs scheduled for 7.10: Although all eight winners during the last decade have been recorded at odds of 9/1 or less, only one (4/6) favourite has prevailed.  Four market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period whilst seven gold medallists were burdened with a minimum weight of 9-2.  David Nicholls has saddled two of the last six winners and his only option at the five-day stage was Tax Free.

7.45: Space Station has won the last two renewals of this contest and having been declared as a four-time winner under fast and soft conditions, Simon Dow’s local raider should figure prominently again. It’s also worth noting that Simon saddled the 2005 winner of the race at odds of 16/1.  Five of the last six winners have carried 9-2 or more, whilst two of the last three favourites prevailed.  Four of the ten favourites (via eight renewals during the last decade) finished in the frame.

8.50: Four of the five favourites in the finale have finished in the money, statistics which include three successful market leaders.  Two of those victorious favourites (both sent off at odds of 6/5) represented Mark Johnston and the northern based trainer held five options at the penultimate entry stage.



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Stats from the three-day meeting last year:

20 races

Favourite details (23 market leaders): 2 winners–10 placed–11 unplaced

All three odds on favourites were beaten at 30/100, 8/11 and 10/11

16 of the 20 winners were returned at 10/1 or less

Other gold medallists scored at 11/1-12/1-14/1-14/1

Thursday: John Dunlop secured a 25/1 double on the day

Just two other trainers saddled two winners during the three days, namely Roger Varian and Willie Haggas

Ruth Carr was the only trainer to saddle two beaten favourites

Toteplacepot returns:

Thursday: £1059.40 (average dividend over the last ten years: £300.10)

Friday: £133.00 (average dividend over the last nine years: £371.27)

Saturday: £221.00 (average dividend over the last nine years: £817.61)



General stats: It remains to be seen if Mickael Barzalona rides here or at Haydock where the jockey was also booked for one ride at the time of writing.  If riding at Newbury however, it’s worth noting Mickael’s 3/7 ratio thus far. 



General stats: Ian Williams has quietly produced decent 4/13 figures here at Yarmouth in recent times, though Roger Varian has quickly taken up the positive gauntlet left by Michael Jarvis at the track.



General stats: Tim Vaughan can be added to the positive Gordon Elliott and Nigel Twiston-Davies trainers list north of the border.

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