Well I Declare, 6th July 2012

Well I Declare, 6th July 2012

Apologies for the lateness of this piece today. The terrible weather has played havoc with the power supply in my area and with the racing in general!

Warwick has already gone and Beverley will inspect at 2pm to see if this evening’s card can take place. Racing is however, currently scheduled to take place at Beverley (eve), Doncaster, Haydock (eve) and Sandown. If you’re venturing out to any of the Northern tracks, wrap up well and wear your wellies!

FRIDAY 6/7:

Beverley:

Stats from the two-day meeting last year:

14 races:

Favourite details (17 market leaders): 2 winners–5 placed–10 unplaced

The only odds on favourite was beaten at odds of 1/4

All fourteen winners were returned at 10/1 or less

The only trainers to saddle two winners were Mark Johnston and Willie Haggas, the latter named handler having secured a 22/1 double on Saturday.

Richard Fahey and Ollie Pears both saddled three beaten favourites

On the Friday of the two-day fixture, all seven favourites finished out of the frame

Toteplacepot returns:

Friday: £1921.40 (average dividend over the last ten years: £557.07)

Saturday: £31.40 (average dividend over the last ten years: £537.67)

Doncaster:

General stats: We went for a touch with Ironically at Doncaster via David Lanigan’s impressive 6/13 stats at Doncaster in recent times though unfortunately, the horse was withdrawn because of softening conditions.  Ironically was just touched off at odds of 11/1 at Windsor on Monday night. Let’s hope we have better luck with Dutch Master (scheduled to contest the 3.35 event) this time around.

Haydock:

General stats: William Jarvis is the ‘dark horse’ at Haydock given his 4/11 figures in recent times.  Roger Varian (37%) and William Haggas (31%) have more predictable positive strike rates. John Holt (4/10) is another trainer who should be kept on the right side.

Class 5 all aged five furlong handicap scheduled for 6.45: Two of the five favourites (via four renewals) have finished in the frame, statistics which include a 5/2 winner.  Four-year-olds have won three of the contests thus far, vintage representatives having secured five of the eleven available toteplacepot positions to date.

All aged maiden event over one mile scheduled for 8.45: Seven of the eight winners to date were returned at odds of just 3/1 or less, statistics which include three successful favourites.  William Haggas has saddled three of the last six winners and his Mr Greeley newcomer Sir Palomides was William’s only option at the time of writing.  Related to our 2000 Guineas winner Footstepsinthesand (winner of the only three races he contested), Sir Palomides would have to be of interest if given the green light to run by the trainer.

Sandown:

Stats from the two-day meeting last year:

13 races:

Favourite details (14 market leaders): 3 winners–5 placed–6 unplaced

Both odds on favourites obliged at odds of 4/6

12 of the 13 winners were returned at 10/1 or less (other winner returned at 16/1)

Andrew Balding saddled a 500/1 treble on the Saturday of the two-day fixture

Jeremy Noseda secured a 22/1 double on the opening day, whilst Sir Michael Stoute secured two victories during the course of the meeting (5/1 & 9/2)

Luca Cumani saddled two beaten favourites

Toteplacepot returns:

Friday: £151.40 (average dividend over the last ten years: £357.63)

Saturday: £100.20 (average dividend over the last ten years: £247.83)

Warwick: ABANDONED

General stats: Barry McHugh was due to ride Best Times in the scheduled 4.20 event, the jockey having ridden three of his five mounts at Warwick to winning effect thus far.  Best Times also held an engagement at Haydock on Thursday however whereby you should check your race cards this week.