Well I Declare, 7th July 2012

Well I Declare, 7th July 2012

The torrential downpour continues to wreak havoc with the racing calendar. Meetings at Carlisle, Leicester & Nottingham scheduled for today have already been abandoned, whilst both Beverley & Haydock must face a 7am inspection before announcing whether any action wil take place.

These were Mal Boyle’s thoughts about the day, before the spate of abandonments kicked in.

SATURDAY 7/7:

Beverley:

General stats: David Lanigan was mentioned in dispatches earlier in the analysis and his record of 6/11 here at Beverley also makes for interesting reading.

Carlisle: NOW ABANDONED

General stats: James Turner is an unfamiliar name to keep in your black book, especially here at Carlisle where the trainer has saddled two of just five runners to winning effect.

Haydock:(7AM INSPECTION!)

General stats: Look at Friday’s comments which could be relevant to Saturday’s meeting, whilst throwing in the fact that Charlie Hills (25% strike rate) has done well at Haydock during his first year of training.

Mile and a half 3YO handicap scheduled for 2.20: We still await the first successful favourite following five renewals of this opening event.  Only one of the last five market leaders has secured a toteplacepot position, a 2/5 favourite being listed among the casualties.

Lancashire Oaks scheduled for 2.55: Although eight winners of the Lancashire Oaks during the last decade were returned at odds of 13/2 or less, only two favourites have scored.  John Gosden has saddled three of the last nine winners and only his potential representative Great Heavens was ‘jocked up’ (Robert Havlin) on Tuesday morning.

The Old Newton Cup scheduled for 3.25: Four-year-olds have won seven renewals of the Old Newton Cup during the last decade, whilst just two market leaders have obliged during the study period.  Luca Cumani held two options earlier in the week with the trainer having saddled three of the last eight winners of this Class 2 event.

Two-year-old handicap event scheduled for 4.00: Happy days are here again as the Nursery season has arrived though unfortunately this is a new race on the racing calendar, whereby we will have to wait for a contest with trends in place.  Watch this (Nursery) space.  If it is of any help to you, Richard Hannon was responsible for three of the sixteen five-day declarations, two of which figured in the top three ratings by the assessor, though Rod Millman’s Indesatchel colt Yes Two took pride of place at the top of the handicap off a mark of eighty-five at the time of writing.

Six furlong conditions event scheduled for 5.10: Six-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick having secured three of the last five renewals, whilst three favourites have won via nine contests during the last decade. Eight of the gold medallists were returned at odds of 6/1 or less, whilst just one of the last five market leaders has finished in the money.

Leicester: NOW ABANDONED

General stats: Saeed Bin Suroor has long since ruled the Leicester roost as his recent 41% strike rate confirms.  Keep any Gary Moore runners on the right side as well given Gary’s 5/16 ratio. 

Nottingham: NOW ABANDONED

General stats: Michael Appleby’s 5/16 ratio catch the eye as do the fifty-four level stake profits of Roy Bowring down the years at Nottingham.

Sandown:

General stats: Clive Cox is the man for the LSP readers among you having produced a positive figure of thirty-three points at the Esher venue in recent years.  Sir Mark Prescott (36% strike rate) looked set to have representatives at the course later in the week via Monday’s penultimate stage declarations.

‘Coral Eclipse’ scheduled for 3.45: Aidan O’Brien has saddled four winners during the last decade and his four representatives on Monday were headed up last year’s half length winner So You Think who was an odds on chance at the time of writing.  Favourites have won the last three renewals before which time, six renewals had slipped by without a successful market leader having been registered.  Eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the last decade.