Stat of the Day, 16th July 2012

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day: 16th July 2012

Three winners on the bounce now (excluding the non-runner on Friday), after Passato won gamely from the front, as predicted right here. Mondays are always tough, and today is no exception, so it’s with a laboured eye that I scanned the card for an opportunity. The  most presentable of a moderate lot was in the…

3.15 Southwell

Again, it’s a horse for course stat, and a horse which can be expected to improve on recent form figures of 067.

The horse in question is called Flying Pickets, and he’s running in a seven furlong Southwell claimer. His last three runs were over a mile and a quarter on heavy turf, six furlongs here, and seven furlongs at Wolverhampton.

On the first two of those he was plum last – unsurprising, considering how different from his favoured conditions those were. But then, last time out, although only finishing seventh, he was actually beaten just two and three-quarter lengths.

Today, over seven at Southwell, he’s expected to be ready. Indeed, his form figures at today’s track/trip are 21112, which looks a little more appealing, no?

His record in claimers is 3224122. Clearly, he’s game enough, even if his running style doesn’t lend itself especially well to Southwell (he’s a closer on what is generally a speed favouring track). Today’s race has some early toe in it, courtesy of Vogarth, Elusive Warrior, and particularly Nezami, so he might just get his head in front if they go off lovely and quick, and come back to him.

Even if he doesn’t, I’m very hopeful he’ll at least make the frame, which means 13/2 with Skybet is worth a look.

Those good old Skybet boys will also give you a completely free tenner bet if you don’t have an account with them. Just click the banner below and you can have a fiver each way on them. 🙂

Alternatively…

Click here for the latest odds for the 3.15 Southwell.