Andy Newton is back with nine in-form flat trainers to look out for in the coming weeks……
PETER CHAPPLE-HYAM ( 4 winners from his last 10 runners, 40% strike-rate): King’s Warrior landing the John Smith’s Cup at 33/1 was a big bonus for followers of this yard, but with three winners prior to that big Saturday win the signs were already there. Veteran jockey Robert Havlin was doing the steering on their John Smith’s Cup winner and has actually been on a lot of their runners of late. I also wouldn’t give up on their Maxentius, who was third in Saturday’s Superlative Stakes – a return to quicker ground can see exciting-looking 2 year-old bounce back to winning ways. They are now on 11 wins for the season, and, yes, a long way off bettering their best tally of 52 (1993), but this Derby-winning yard certainly know the time of day and can often go a bit under the radar these days. The bulk of their winners this season have been with their youngsters (10 aged 2 or 3), but with 5 juvenile winners from just 10 runners and 9 of those 10 finishing fourth or better then it could certainly pay to keep their youngsters on your side.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Nottingham (3 from 26, 12%), Ascot (5 from 34, 15%)
SAEED BIN SUROOR (8 winners from his last 24 runners, 33% strike-rate): Nothing much to shout about at last week’s Newmarket July Festival, but they actually only had two runners over the meeting. However, their Soul was an impressive winner of a Group 3 at Newbury on Saturday and that was their eighth winner from their last 24 runners. Prior to that they sent out a Frankie treble at Kempton last Wednesday and despite only being on 28 now for the season their horses are in good heart and we can expect a big second half to the campaign. In terms of prize money they are closing in on the £750,000 mark, so with 3 or 4 big winners before the season is out the £1million barrier is certainly a realistic target. They’ve had four 2 year-olds successes from just 10 runners, but with three entered at Lingfield on Wednesday – a track they have a 53% strike-rate at – then it will be a huge shock if they can’t bag a few more winners at the southern venue.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Hamilton (1 from 8, 13%), Brighton (4 from 11, 36%), Epsom (13 from 44, 30%), Doncaster (13 from 88, 15%), Nottingham (18 from 49, 37%), Ascot (11 from 123, 9%), Newmarket July (24 from 112, 21%), Ripon (1 from 14, 7%), Haydock (6 from 47, 13%)
TOM DASCOMBE (3 winners from his last 10 runners, 33% strike-rate): In fact 7 of their last 10 runners have managed to finish third or better, suggesting anything they run at present should be respected. It’s no surprise stable jockey Richard Kingscote has ridden all three of their recent winners, while this current purple patch puts them on 32 for the season. 58 in 2009 is so far their best tally, with 51 last term – if they continue in this vain they might be confident of getting close. Just 7 juvenile winners from 67 runners is a slight worry as they normally do so well with their youngsters, but 54% have managed to finish fourth or better – meaning wins for those placed runners might not be too far away.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Brighton (1 from 12, 8%), Bath (5 from 51, 10%), Epsom (0 from 23), Doncaster (2 from 44, 5%), Haydock (16 from 88, 18%), Ascot (5 from 41, 12%), Newmarket (July) (3 from 34, 9%), Pontefract (6 from 31, 19%), Haydock (16 from 88, 18%), Curragh (0 from 4)
CLIVE COX (5 winners from his last 16 runners, 31% strike-rate): A Newbury double last weekend, including Poet in a Listed contest, was a clear sign the Cox team continue to have their string in fine order, and that now puts them on 14 wins for the season. Yes, they are still some way short of last year’s tally of 52, and now that we are almost into August it’s unlikely they will get near that figure. That said, in terms of prize money they are ticking along nicely with over £250,000 in total funds won. Keep a close eye on any 2 year-olds they run at the moment too as they are 3 from just 13 (23%) with their juveniles, while the way their Shades Of Grey won last time out (5 lengths), suggests he won’t have much trouble landing the hat-trick if turned out again in the coming weeks. Looking ahead they could have their first runners up at Hamilton this Thursday, while they’ve still got Miracle Maid entered in the Irish Oaks on Sunday at the Curragh.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Hamilton (no runners), Bath (10 from 74, 14%), Epsom (1 from 10, 10%), Doncaster (7 from 64, 11%), Haydock (5 from 59, 8%), Newmarket July (2 from 31, 6%), Ascot (11 from 88, 13%), Lingfield (3 from 16, 19%), Curragh (0 from 6)
SIR MICHAEL STOUTE (5 winners from his last 17 runners, 29% strike-rate): Fiorente winning last week’s Princess Of Wales’s Stakes at HQ was a big highlight and the yard will be hoping Sea Moon, who beat that horse at Royal Ascot last time, can follow up in the King George on Saturday. The yard have a great record in that Group One contest, winning it five times, and in what looks one of the best renewals for a long time he’ll be popular with punters should he take his chance. After a slow start to the year, they are now on 31 winners, which will still seem a lot off what this powerful yard used to get, but after a few barren years with their youngsters they are still on somewhat of a recovery mission. They’ve still banked over £500,000 in total prize money and a win for Sea Moon on Saturday will see them break a million, while they also have Shada entered at this stage for Sunday’s Irish Oaks, and Carlton House could head to Ascot later in the week. No 2 year-old winners yet from just 9 runners, but 4 did manage to finish fourth or better – 27 of their 31 winners have been with their 3 year-olds!
Track stats and up-coming entries: Hamilton (0 from 3), Leicester (11 from 57, 19%), Epsom (4 from 21, 19%), Doncaster (10 from 68, 15%), Nottingham (10 from 56, 18%), Ascot (19 from 132, 14%), Haydock (10 from 46, 22%), Newmarket (July) (14 from 115, 12%), Ripon (1 from 12, 8%), Lingfield (6 from 28, 21%), Curragh (2 from 7, 29%)
TIM EASTERBY (10 winners from his last 35 runners, 29% strike-rate): Okay, so the yard are having plenty of runners at the moment, but with 21 of their last 30 runners finishing third or better, plus a number or decent winners including Grissom (14/1) and Hamish McGonagall (5/1) were two highlights from four Saturday winners last week. Stable jockey David Allen is their main man in the plate and has been on most of their recent winners, with James Sullivan and Duran Fentiman other pilots to look out for. After three more successes on Tuesday they are now on 44 for the season, and with 98 and 90 in their last two campaigns they we can expect their tally to continue to rise over the next few months. So far they’ve fired in 10 juvenile winners, but the bulk (26) has been with their 4+year-olds. The final thing to note is that they’ve also got a few entered over the sticks last this week too (Cartmel and Market Rasen).
Track stats and up-coming entries: Doncaster (16 from 241, 7%), Haydock (13 from 170, 8%), Ascot (1 from 23, 4%), Nottingham (6 from 66, 9%), Pontefract (12 from 154, 8%), Market Rasen (4 from 49, 8%), Ripon (33 from 318, 10%), Cartmel (0 from 2), Redcar (28 from 323, 9%)
JOHN HILLS (3 winners from his last 11 runners, 27% strike-rate): Based in Lambourn the John Hills team have sent out 3/1, 6/1 and 8/1 winners of late and despite only being on 8 for the season there should be a lot more runners in the next few months. So far they’ve only sent 98 to post, but generally manage 250-320 in a season, so if that trend continues you can expect their haul of 8 winners to get close to the 22 they managed in 2011 – 37 in 1999 is their best yet. 6 of their 8 winners have been with 3 year-olds, while they are 1 from 10 with their 2 year-olds.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Brighton (5 from 46, 11%), Bath (5 from 43, 12%), Doncaster (1 from 21, 5%), Haydock (2 from 16, 13%), Nottingham (2 from 30, 7%), Ascot (3 from 38, 8%), Newmarket (July) (3 from 25, 12%), Lingfield AW (9 from 99, 9%)
RAE GUEST (3 winners from his last 12 runners, 25% strike-rate): A trainer that does very well with fillies and mares, with all of his recent three winners coming with the female sex. Based in Suffolk, the yard are now on 21 winners for the season, 6 more than 2011, while they need just 7 more to make this their best-ever campaign. Followers of their horses blindly this season will be laughing all the way to the bank as they are showing a +£49 level stakes profit, with the bulk of their winners (17) coming with their 3 year-olds. On the horizon keep a look out for anything they send to Bath – they currently have a 24% strike-rate at the track, while Musselburgh (40%), Lingfield turf(21%) and Newcastle (33%) are other venues to note.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Bath (6 from 25, 24%), Epsom (0 from 6), Nottingham (2 from 26, 8%), Haydock (1 from 8, 13%), Pontefract (1 from 8, 13%), Newmarket (July) (4 from 24, 17%), Ascot (0 from 10), Lingfield AW (4 from 51, 8%), Redcar (2 from 8, 25%)
RON HARRIS (3 winners from his last 13 runners, 23% strike-rate): I bet if I asked you to guess how many winners the Ron Harris team have had this season you wouldn’t have said 37! I’m surprised too, but they are going along very well indeed and with 51 last term and 52 (2007) their best ever then there is a very good chance they can make this a season to remember. In terms of jockey’s James Doyle and the promising Darren Egan are getting the majority of their rides, while they often use Luke Morris when they can too. They’ve only sent out 2 juvenile winners from 23 runners so far this season, with the bulk of their winners coming with their 4+ year-olds, and mainly with sprinters! Looking at their entries they do have plenty of runners at the AW tracks, are currently boast a +£60 level stakes profit at Kempton, while they also have a lot of runners at Bath, but it is worth pointing out they are only 13 from 228 there in recent years.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Brighton (8 from 98, 8%), Leicester (2 from 67, 3%), Bath (13 from 228, 6%), Nottingham (2 from 30, 7%), Ascot (4 from 34, 12%), Newmarket July (1 from 9 11%)
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