With Glorious Goodwood just around the corner, this week Andy Newton gives you 7 flat trainers that are in-form…
SAEED BIN SUROOR (8 winners from his last 21 runners, 38% strike-rate): Of the two Godolphin yards at the moment it’s the more experienced Bin Suroor team that are holding sway with 8 winners from their last 21 runners. It’s still a lottery in terms of jockey bookings with Frankie, Silvestre and Mickael all riding winners for the yard in recent weeks – but with Barzalona winning his last two rides than he could be the one to look out for when getting the leg-up. They are, however, still only on 32 winners for the season, but to be fair they’ve only had 153 runners. There is no chance of them getting anywhere near the 148 (their best ever) now there are two Godolphin yards, but they will be hoping to get near the 58 they managed last term. Look out for their 2 year-olds as they are 4 from 10, and actually 7 of those 10 managed to finish in the top three. Thirsk and Pontefract are the two tracks to look out for any runners over the coming days.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Sandown (10 from 69, 14%), Thirsk (4 from 14, 29%), Ascot (12 from 125, 10%), Newmarket – July (24 from 112, 21%), York (14 from 101, 14%), Salisbury (8 from 40, 20%), Pontefract (11 from 37, 30%)
HENRY CANDY (5 winners from his last 14 runners, 36% strike-rate): With 4 of their last 8 runners winning then anything this Oxon-based yard send to post at present should be respected. Yes, that puts them on just 15 for the season, but they’ve always been a more ‘quality-over-quantity’ stable and it might surprise some that their best-ever tally for a season is just 32 (2008). They normally have around 200 runners a season, so with just 110 so far then we can expect that total of 14 winners to at least double, while in terms of jockeys they rarely have a runner that doesn’t have either Dane O’Neill, Fergus Sweeney or Amy Scott doing the steering. No 2 year-old winners yet, but they’ve only had 4 runners, but looking ahead to their future entries it could pay to keep anything they run at either Pontefract or Lingfield (turf) on your side – both are tracks they often do well at.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Sandown (6 from 45, 13%), Bath (8 from 40, 20%), Ascot (3 from 40, 8%), Chepstow (2 from 26, 8%), Newmarket – July (8 from 48, 17%), York (1 from 11, 9%), Lingfield – turf (4 from 15, 27%), Salisbury (10 from 67, 15%), Pontefract (5 from 17, 29%)
SIR MICHAEL STOUTE (5 winners from his last 15 runners, 33% strike-rate): Carlton House and Sea Moon were a tad disappointing at the weekend at Ascot, so some might want to take stock before backing the Stoute runners, but they still had Gospel Choir go in at Ascot on Saturday, and another at Newmarket, plus a double at Lingfield on Wednesday. Add in that the trip probably beat Carlton House, plus Sea Moon only finished 2 ¼ lengths adrift of the winner then I still think the Stoute horses are in cracking form. That said, in contrast to Richard Hughes, who has the powerful Hannon team backing him for the jockeys’ title race, I suspect that if Ryan Moore is going to land his third title then he’ll need to do so with plenty of outside rides. The Stoute yard are now only on 36 winners, while they’ve not broken the 100 mark now since 2007 – all the more reason in my eyes to back Hughes for the title. No 2 year-old winners of yet, from 10 sent to post, with 32 of their 36 winners coming with their 3 year-olds. Looking ahead to the coming days if they do have any runners up at Carlisle (2 from 3), or down at Folkestone (7 from 17) then take note.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Sandown (36 from 170, 21%), Folkestone (7 from 17, 41%), Doncaster (10 from 68, 15%), Thirsk (1 from 7, 14%), Ascot (20 from 136, 15%), Newmarket – July (15 from 116, 13%), York (15 from 89, 17%), Carlisle (2 from 3, 67%), Pontefract (5 from 23, 22%).
RICHARD HANNON: (15 winners from their last 46 runners, 33% strike-rate): After a poor Royal Ascot the Hannon team look like they’re back in business and with their number one rider, Richard Hughes, battling for the jockeys’ title then the next month will be a really key period in that clash – that said, Ryan Moore (rode 3 winners for the stable on Weds) often picks up a lot of spare rides for the Hannon team too – and if the yard stay in this sort of form then they will have a huge impact on the jockeys’ race. The Hannon team are now on 105 for the season, but with 189, 188, 210 & 218 totals over the past 4 campaigns then you can expect a lot more winners over the next few months – with the bulk of those going to Richard Hughes too! It’s no surprise that 48 of their 105 winners have been with their 2 year-olds, but despite only having a 14% strike-rate with their 3 year-olds it is worth pointing out the do boast a +£24 level stakes profit in that age bracket this season.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Sandown 941 from 313, 13%), Bath (26 from 148, 18%), Doncaster (28 from 166, 17%), Folkestone (17 from 77, 22%), Epsom (17 from 117, 15%) Ascot (24% from 312, 8%), Newmarket – July (48 from 324, 15%), Chepstow (17 from 105, 16%), York (8 from 77, 10%), Lingfield – turf (15 from 6, 17%), Salisbury (72 from 426, 17%), Pontefract (2 from 22, 9%)
MICHAEL APPLEBY (5 winners from his last 16 runners, 33% strike-rate): Based in Notts, not many punters will know a lot about the Appleby yard – and if I’m honest I’m in that group too. I do, however, know their horses are in tip-top order at present and having been in operation since 2004 it was last year that they really made a breakthrough with 15 winners. They’ve already smashed that tally with 20 successes so far this season, and should be attracting more owners to take a gamble on them. Most of their winners come in the 4+year-old age group (15 this season), while in terms of jockeys look out for Tom Eaves, and Luke Morris.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Doncaster (3 from 15, 20%), Thirsk (no runners), York (no runners), Pontefract (0 from 9)
RICHARD FAHEY (10 winners from his last 36 runners, 28% strike-rate): Another yard that have plenty of runners from day-to-day, but after a slow start to the season things are starting to pick up at the Fahey yard. They are now on 74 wins for the season, and, yes, they are still someway short of the 165, 181 and 151 totals they notched over the last three campaigns, but breaking the 100 mark for the fifth year on the bounce looks a certainty. They are also doing well in the prize money stakes with almost £1.3 banked in total winnings – and that’s just £350,000 short of what they managed in the whole of 2011. Yes, Mayson’s July Cup win helped as that bagged them over £250,000, and with that horse seemingly in the upgrade then there should be more big pots to land with that 4 year-old. They’ve sent out 20 juvenile winners so far this season from 103 runners, and are currently +£50 in that age group, but the bulk of their winners this season (29) have been with their 4+year-olds. Looking ahead keep a note of any 2 year-olds they send to Thirsk – they are currently 12 from 39 with their youngsters there.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Doncaster (37 from 342, 11%), Epsom (5 from 53, 9%), Thirsk (23 from 146, 16%), Ascot (5 from 122, 4%), York (47 from 490, 10%), Newcastle (34 from 216, 16%), Newmarket (7 from 92, 8%), Carlisle (22 from 151, 15%), Pontefract (26 from 185, 14%)
TOM DASCOMBE (6 winners from his last 24 runners, 25% strike-rate): In fact the Manor House yard have had all-bar-one of their last 10 runners placed, including 4 winners, so depending on how to like your stats then they could look even better. That puts them on 38 winners for the season, and ticking along nicely – with 51 to beat from last season and 58 their best yet in 2009. Ceiling Kitty has been their big highlight of the season so far when winning the Queen Mary, while despite coming seventh in the King George their stable star Brown Panther was only beaten 4 lengths and can pick up a decent prize before the season is out. Looking at their age splits, they’ve had 9 juveniles successes, 16 with their 3 year-olds and 13 with their older horses,
Upcoming entries and track stats: Bath (6 from 54, 11%), Epsom (0 from 25), Doncaster (2 from 44, 5%), Thirsk (0 from 15), Folkestone (1 from 11, 9%), Chepstow (2 from 18, 11%), Newmarket – July (3 from 34, 9%), Newcastle (2 from 15, 13%), Ascot (5 from 43, 12%), Salisbury (5 from 39, 13%), Pontefract (6 from 32, 19%), Carlisle (0 from 14), York (2 from 24, 8%).
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