Sat TV Trends: 28th July 2012


If you like your trends we’ve got every LIVE C4 race covered this Saturday from York, Ascot and Newmarket…..

 

 

 

 

YORK (C4/RUK)  

 

2.05 – Sky Bet Mobile EBF Fillies´ Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 3) (3yo+ 0-90) CH4 Good To Firm 1m2f88y

8/8 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
8/8 – Had won at least one race before
7/8 – Came from single-figure stall
7/8 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
7/8 – Had never raced at York before
6/8 – Placed last time out
6/8 – Placed horses from stall 3
6/8 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
5/8 – Carried 9-3 or more
5/8 – Previous winners over 1m2f
5/8 – Aged 3 years-old
4/8 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/8 – Ran at either Newbury (2) or Newcastle (2) last time out
1/8 – Winner aged 4 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 9/2

York Jockey/Trainer Stats:

Mahmood Al Zarooni has a 36% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds
Ed Dunlop is 2 from 8 with his 3 year-olds
Saeed Bin Suroor is just 1 from 25 with his 3 year-olds
Kieren Fallon is just 1 from 26 when riding 3 year-olds
Neil Callan is only 1 from 24 when riding 3 year-olds


2.35 –
sportinglife.com Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) CH4 Good To Firm 7f

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Carried 9-3 or more
4/4 – Had 5 or more previous runs that season
4/4 – Won from stall 11 or lower
4/4 – Finished 5th or better last time out
3/4 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
3/4 – Had won a race before at York
3/4 – Had won 5 or more times in their career
3/4 – Aged 5 or older
3/4 – Had won over 7f before
3/4 – Didn’t win their previous race
1/4 – Winning favourite (joint)
The average winning SP in the last 4 years is 5/1

York Jockey/Trainer Stats:

John Dunlop has a 28% record with his older horses
Kevin Ryan is only 3 from 90 with his older horses
Ruth Carr is just 2 from 38 with her older horses
Kieren Fallon has a 21% (+£48) record when riding older horses
Michael Hills is 0 from 24 when riding older horses

 

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3.10- Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) CH4 Good To Firm 1m2f88y

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Won by a Newmarket-based yard
5/6 – Aged 4 or older
5/6 – Placed favourites
5/6 – Won from a single-figure stall
5/6 – Had won 4 or more times during their career
5/6 – Finished third or better last time out
4/6 – Had run at York before
4/6 – Won at Listed or better class before
4/6 – Ran at that season’s Dubai Carnival
4/6 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Won by Saeed Bin Suroor
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 7/2

York Jockey/Trainer Stats:

Sir Henry Cecil has a 28% record with his older horses
Kieren Fallon has a 21% record riding older horses
Jimmy Fortune is just 3 from 47 when riding older horses
Michael Hills is 0 from 24 when riding 4+year-olds

3.45 – Sky Bet Dash Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) CH4 Good To Firm 6f

8/8 – Had previously won over 6f
7/8 – Won from a single-figure stall
7/8 – Didn’t win their previous race
7/8 – Had 3 or more previous runs already that season
7/8 – Had raced at York before (3 won)
7/8 – Carried 8-12 or more
7/8 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Had won 4 or more races in their career
6/8 – Aged 5 or younger
5/8 – Favourites placed 4th or better
5/8 – Finished unplaced last time out
2/8 – Winning favourites
2/8 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/8 – Trained by Richard Fahey
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 7/1

York Jockey/Trainer Stats:

Ruth Carr is just 2 from 38 with her older horses
Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 90 with his older horses
Kieren Fallon is only 1 from 26 when riding 3 year-olds

 

 

ASCOT (C4/ATR)

2.20 – Battersea Dogs & Cats Home Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) CH4 Good 1m4f

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Had won 2 or more times already in their career
5/6 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/6 – Had run at Ascot before
5/6 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
5/6 – Had won over 1m4f before
4/6 – Ran at either Newmarket or Haydock last time out
4/6 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
4/6 – Unplaced last time out
3/6 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
1/6 – Aged 3 years-old
1/6 – Winning favourite (joint)
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 12/1

Ascot Jockey/Trainer Stats:
Luca Cumani is just 1 from 43 (2%) with his older horses
Richard Fahey is just 2 from 76 (3%) with his older horses
John Dunlop is only 2 from 27 (7%) with his older horses
Richard Hughes has a +£40 level stakes profit when riding older horses
Joe Fanning has a 15% record when riding 3 year-olds


2.55 –
Betfred Mobile Sports Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+) CH4 Good 5f

No previous runnings

Ascot Jockey/Trainer Stats:

Brian Meehan is just 2 from 48 with his older horses
David Barron is 0 from 24 with his older horses
Kevin Ryan is just 3 from 53 with his older horses
Martin Dwyer is just 3 from 60 riding older horses
Richard Hughes has a +£40 level stakes profit riding 4+year-olds


3.25 –
Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) CH4 Good 6f

9/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
8/10 – Ran at either Ascot (5) or Newmarket last time out (3)
8/10 – Had already won a race
7/10 – Finished in the top three last time out
6/10 – Had won over 6f before
6/10 – Had 2 or more previous runs
5/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
3/10 – Won their previous race
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

Ascot Jockey/Trainer Stats:

Michael Bell has an 18% record with his 2 year-olds
Jamie Spencer has a 27% record when riding juveniles
Martin Harley is 2 from 9 when riding 2 year-olds


NEWMARKET – July (C4/RUK)

4.00 – boylesports.com Mobile Betting Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) CH4 Good 6f

1 previous running

Newmarket Jockey/Trainer Stats:

Richard Fahey is just 1 from 31 with his 3 year-olds
Mick Channon is only 2 from 40 with his 3 year-olds
Peter Chapple-Hyam is only 1 from 23 with his 3 year-olds
Andrew Balding has a 19% record with his 3 year-olds
William Buick has a 22% record riding 3 year-olds
Robert Havlin has a 21% (+£62) record riding 3 year-olds
Liam Jones is just 1 from 31 riding 3 year-olds

 

Note: All trainer and jockey stats correct as of 26th July 2012

 

 

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