Andy Newton continues this week with 8 flat trainers to look out for…..
ALAN JARVIS (4 winners from his last 14 runners, 29% strike-rate): If you’ve been following the Alan Jarvis yard of late then you’ll have been rewarded with two 16/1 winners and a 25/1 success in the last few weeks. They are certainly making use of jockey Michael Murphy’s 7lb claim – he’s been on all of their recent 4 winners – including both of their Glorious Goodwood victories last week. That puts them on just 10 for the season, but more importantly they are showing a +£26 level stakes profit, while last season they ended on +£92 – suggesting they are not shy of firing in a few big-priced winners.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Haydock (2 from 28, 7%)
JAMES TATE (3 winners from his last 11 runners, 27% strike-rate): Not a name most punters will recognise, but this small Newmarket-based yard are certainly worth keeping on the right side of at present with a double up at Leicester last Wednesday and a 20/1 second at Kempton this week the highlights. Jockey Martin Dwyer gets the bulk of their rides, while this recent purple patch puts them on 8 winners now for the season – three 2 year-olds and five 3 year-olds.
Upcoming entries and track stats:Yarmouth (0 from 5), Brighton (0 from 1), Sandown (0 from 2), Lingfield AW (0 from 11), Newmarket July (0 from 6), Leicester (3 from 5, 60%)
JEREMY NOSEDA (6 winners from his last 22 runners, 27% strike-rate): With 21 winners so far they are still some way off the 50+ they’ve managed for the past 5 seasons, and the fact we are now into August then it looks unlikely they will get near those figures. That said, their horses are in tip-top form at the moment and actually of their 125 runners this season 53% have finished fourth or better. 17 of their 21 winners have been with their 3 year-olds, but their juvenile The Gold Cheongsam has been a real breath of fresh air for the yard of late – winning her last two outings under Frankie Dettori – and with a whole host of entries on the horizon she could be worth following over the closing months of the season. Away from Frankie the stable always seem to attract the top jockeys – with Ryan Moore and William Buick other big names to have ridden winners for them of late.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Yarmouth (7 from 41, 17%), Haydock (8 from 37, 22%), Brighton (11 from 29, 38%), Sandown (13 from 43, 30%), Newmarket July (20 from 88, 23%), Folkestone (1 from 3, 33%)
PAUL COLE (4 winners from his last 15 runners, 27% strike-rate): Clearly not the force of old, but this former Derby-winning yard have fired in 11/1, 8/1 and 4/1 winners of late should be followed. This puts them on 10 winners for the season, and still way off the 22 they managed in 2011 and a million miles off the 86 (their best-ever) back in 1992. Chris Catlin is the man to look out for in the plate – he’s been on their last 2 winners – while they seem to have a fair bunch of 3 year-olds with 5 of their 10 winners this season coming in that age bracket.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Brighton (3 from 34, 9%), Chepstow (1 from 23, 4%), Lingfield AW (11 from 101, 11%), Folkestone (7 from 26, 27%)
SIR MARK PRESCOTT (8 winners from his last 30 runners, 27% strike-rate): It’s no real secret that the Prescott team do well at this time of the year and despite only being on the 21 winner mark for the season you can expect that total to go up rapidly over the next 3-4 weeks. Again, it’s no secret that the stable like to find an unexposed handicapper and run up winning sequences with them, so looking at their future entries is a must for this stable – if a horse has multiple engagements in the space of a week then take note! After the George Duffield and Seb Sanders eras it’s now Luke Morris’ turn at the helm of the Prescott yard, but also note any Chris Catlin rides too- he’s ridden 4 winners for the yard of late. Of their 21 winners this term 13 have been with their 3 year-olds, but they have also had 16 placed 2 year-olds from 27 runners (4 winners).
Upcoming entries and track stats: Haydock (6 from 32, 19%), Brighton (8 from 28, 29%), Southwell AW (23 from 119, 19%), Yarmouth (14 from 54, 26%), Lingfield AW (24 from 131, 18%), Musselburgh (1 from 9, 11%), Haydock (6 from 32, 19%), Newmarket July (2 from 16, 13%), Ascot (1 from 15, 7%), Ayr (5 from 15, 33%), Folkestone (7 from 23, 30%), Leicester (2 from 19, 11%), Curragh (0 from 2)
WILLIAM KNIGHT (5 winners from his last 21 runners, 24% strike-rate): Aussie Reigns winning at 20/1 at Glorious Goodwood last week was a major highlight for the yard, but they’ve also had 3 winners sandwiched between that winner on the AW tracks and anything they run at Lingfield and Kempton should be given a second glance. Jim Crowley has been on 4 of the 5 recent winners, with up-and-coming pilot Darren Egan riding the other. They are now on 18 for the season and that’s 5 more than 2011, but they did have a few issues last term and their best-ever was 34 in 2010. Looking ahead they’ve still got one of their stable stars – Palace Moon – going in a Group 3 over at the Curragh on Sunday.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Yarmouth (6 from 35, 17%), Lingfield AW (30 from 153, 20%), Newmarket July (2 from 50, 4%), Lingfield (30 from 153, 20%), Folkestone (4 from 13, 31%), Curragh (0 from 1)
TOM DASCOMBE (6 winners from his last 26 runners, 23% strike-rate): With 44 winners now in 2012 the Manor House yard are ticking along nicely and look sure to better last year’s tally of 51, and they best-ever total of 58 (2009). Dream Maker was a decent 2 year-old winner up at Chester on Sunday before the meeting got called off and is worth looking out for if turned out again quickly – that was their 11th juvenile success of the campaign. Richard Kingscote is the main man in the saddle, but they have used youngsters Ross Atkinson and Ryan Tate of late too.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Haydock (20 from 94, 21%), Southwell AW (14 from 87, 16%), Sandown (3 from 25, 12%), Lingfield AW (32 from 121, 26%), Ascot (5 from 44, 11%), Redcar (2 from 37, 5%) Newmarket July (3 from 34, 9%), Leicester (4 from 54, 7%)
MARK JOHNSTON (26 winners from his last 119 runners, 22% strike-rate): Okay there are plenty of yards operating at a higher strike-rate at the moment, but the fact the Johnston team have so many runners does make it hard for them to hit the 25%+ mark. It goes without saying you will need to be selective with their runners, but if you are it’s clear after a number of Glorious Goodwood winners last week, plus 9 more winners already this week, the yard are in much better form then they were 2-3 weeks ago. I guess if there is one clue then it’s if they use either Silvestre De Sousa or Joe Fanning in the saddle as they’ve ridden the most winners for the ‘Always Trying’ stable in recent weeks. Looking ahead they do have some entered at this stage over at the Curragh on Sunday, including recent winners Heavy Metal and Van Ellis – also make a note of anything they send to Brighton on Thursday as they rarely leave the southern venue empty-handed.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Haydock (17 from 224, 8%), Brighton (13 from 44, 30%), Southwell AW (79 from 309, 26%), Sandown (16 from 170, 9%), Chepstow (9 from 32, 28%), Musselburgh (32 from 174, 18%), Lingfield AW (77 from 386, 20%), Newmarket July (26 from 193, 13%), Ascot (25 from 277, 9%), Lingfield (turf) (4 from 27, 15%), Leicester (26 from 126, 21%), Curragh (4 from 14, 29%)
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