Sat TV Trends: 11th Aug 2012
This week Andy Newton takes a look at the Shergar Cup meeting at Ascot, plus the supporting C4 races at Haydock and Newmarket.
ASCOT (C4/ATR)
2.05 – Barclays Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) CH4 Good 5f
4 previous runnings
4/4 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
4/4 – Had run at Ascot before
4/4 – Had 4 or more runs already that season
4/4 – Didn’t win last time out
4/4 – Carried 9-3 or more
3/4 – Had won over 5f before
3/4 – Winning distance of 1 or more lengths
3/4 – Placed favourites
3/4 – Had won at least 3 races already in their career
3/4 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/4 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
2/4 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 4 years is 9/2
2.40 – Titanic Belfast Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (CLASS 3) (3yo 0-95) CH4 Good 1m4f
3 previous runnings
3/3 – Carried 9-3 or more
3/3 – Had won over 1m3f or further
3/3 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
3/3 – Rated between 84-90
2/3 – Placed favourites
2/3 – Winning distance of ¾ lengths or less
2/3 – Had run at Ascot last time out
1/3 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 3 years is 19/2
3.15 – Titanic Belfast Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap) (CLASS 3) (3yo 0-95) CH4 Good 1m4f
9 previous runnings
9/9 – Aged 6 or younger
8/9 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
7/9 – Aged 4 years-old
7/9 – Rated between 88 and 94
7/9 – Winning distance 1 length or less
7/9 – Carried 9-0 or more
6/9 – Had won over 1m4f before
5/9 – Placed last time out
5/9 – Unplaced favourites
5/9 – Had run at Ascot before
5/9 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
4/9 – Ran at Ascot (2) or Goodwood (2) last time out
3/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 9/1
3.50 – Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-100) CH4 Good 6f
9 previous runnings
8/9 – Had won over 6f before
8/9 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
7/9 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
7/9 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Placed last time out
6/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Carried 9-1 or more
4/9 – Ran at Newmarket (2) or Haydock (2) last out
3/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/2
HAYDOCK (C4/RUK)
2.20 – nationwidevehiclecontracts.co.uk Levy Board Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo) CH4 Good 1m3f200y
No previous runnings
William Haggas has a 35% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Mrs K Burke has a 25% record with her 3 year-olds at Haydock
Michael Bell has a 22% record with his 3 year-olds at the course
Tom Queally has a 35% record when riding 3 year-olds here
Jamie Spencer has a 24% record riding 3 year-olds at the track
Franny Norton is just 1 from 51 when riding 3 year-olds here
2.55 –Talk To Victor Rose of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) CH4 Good 1m2f95y
9 previous runnings
9/9 – Rated 105 or higher
8/9 – Aged either 3 or 5 years-old
8/9 – Winning distance of 1 ¼ or more
8/9 – Placed favourites
8/9 – Had won over 1m2f or further
8/9 – Had never run at Haydock before
7/9 – Rated between 105 and 109
7/9 – Had won a Listed or better race already
7/9 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
7/9 – Had won 3 or more times during their career
7/9 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Ran at either Newbury, York or Sandown last time out
6/9 – Finished unplaced last time out
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/9 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/1
NEWMARKET – JULY (C4/RUK)
10/10 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Placed last time out
10/10 – Had won over 6f or 6f before
9/10 – Had 1 or 2 previous runs that season
8/10 – Won last time out
8/10 – Foaled in March or earlier
7/10 – Had won over only 6f before
6/10 – Placed favourites
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Ran at Sandown (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
3/10 – Had run at the track before
3/10 – Trained by the Hills stable
3/10 – Won by Godolphin (2 Bin Suroor, 1 Al Zarooni)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/3
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