Well I Declare, 10th August

Well, I Declare! 10th August

Hi everyone, just a quick reminder of Mal Boyle’s hints, tips and stats for today’s action from Brighton, Haydock, Musselburgh, Newmarket and Lingfield:

FRIDAY 10/08:

Brighton:

General stats: Andrew Haynes saddled an 8/1 double on the card twelve months ago via 7/2 and even money winners.

Haydock:

General stats: It is hardly surprising that Natasha Eaton (4/9) and Daniel Byrne (2/5) already have booked rides at Haydock given their success at the track thus far.

Musselburgh:

General stats: Roninski (scheduled to contest the 4.00 event) is Bryan Smart’s only potential runner on the Musselburgh card, with the trainer boasting a 24% strike rate in Edinburgh, backed up by forty-six points of level stake profits.

Newmarket:

General stats: Given that Richard Hannon has saddled 341 runners on the July course during the last five years, it is surprising in the extreme that his fifty winners have produced a level stake profit of forty-three points during the period.

Nursery event scheduled for 5.40: Seven of the ten winners of this two-year-old event during the last decade carried a maximum burden of 8-13.  Six favourites have won this contest (including four of the last eight) during the study period, whilst ten of the nineteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Seven furlong juvenile seller scheduled for 6.10:  The last eleven winners of this juvenile event have been returned at odds of 7/1 or less, albeit just one successful favourite was recorded during the study period.  Two favourites have won in the last fourteen years, whilst six of the fifteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.

Juvenile maiden event over seven furlongs due to be contested at 6.45: I’m not certain of my facts, though I cannot recall any other meeting during the course of the year when three seven furlong events open a meeting, especially when the three events are all of the juvenile variety.  Seven clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last fifteen years.  Eleven of the sixteen market leaders have secured a toteplacepot position during the study period.  Mahmood Al Zarooni held five entries earlier in the week coming into the gig on a hat trick.

Class 3 all aged ten furlong handicap event scheduled for 7.15: Seven of the last eight winners have carried weights of 9-0 or more, whilst five favourites have won via eleven renewals during the last thirteen years.  Eight of the twelve market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.  Market leaders come to the party on a hat trick this time around.

Ten furlongs conditions event scheduled for 7.50: Saeed Bin Suroor has secured two gold and one silver medal to date via four renewals.  Potential stable representative Invisible Hunter was one of only six runners declared for the contest at the five-day stage. All four favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far (two winners).

Class 3 six furlong all aged handicap scheduled for 8.20: Eleven of the last fifteen winners have carried weights of 9-4 or more. One clear market leader and one joint favourite have scored during the last fifteen years, whilst six of the sixteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the process. The last eleven winners have scored at 16/1-14/1-12/1-10/1-9/1-9/1-8/1-6/1-6/1-6/1-2/1, without a successful market leader being recorded.

Lingfield:

General stats: Tom Dascombe has had secured six gold, seven silver and three bronze medals via his last twenty-three runners at the time of writing.  The fact that Tom boasts an LSP figure of fifty-nine points via a 26% strike rate at Lingfield of late suggests you need to keep his runners in mind with the stable enjoying an (each way) purple patch at present.