Well I Declare, 11th August

Well I Declare: 11th August

Hi again, I just popped back in to remind you of Mal Boyle’s excellent Well, I Declare feature, highlighting all the relevant stats, facts and details you might need to help find those elusive winners. Saturday is notoriously difficult, so here’s a recap of Mal’s insights on the day’s action from Ascot, Ayr, Haydock, Newmarket, Lingfield and Redcar. I’m just about to set off for Haydock myself, so hopefully Mal will help me bag a few winners!

SATURDAY 11/08:

Ascot:

General stats: It’s Shergar Cup day which means that I will be looking elsewhere for my financial input on Saturday!  Those of you that will be playing however will want to know that on last year’s corresponding card, Andrew Balding secured a 21/1 double, with Mark Johnston headlining (again) via a 169/1 twosome.

Ayr:

General stats: Alan Swinbank saddled a 17/1 double on last year’s card.  Sir Mark Prescott’s ratio of 5/15 is worth noting.

Haydock:

General stats: Paul Green saddled a 26/1 double via two successful (9/2 & 4/1) favourites on the Saturday card at Haydock last year.

Nursery event scheduled for 1.45:  Seven of the last ten winners having carried weights of 9-2 or less.  Out of interest, the other three winners during the last decade were burdened with 9-7. The last clear favourite obliged back in 2001, since when six winners were returned in double figures ranging from 12/1 to 25/1.

Group 3 ‘Rose Of Lancaster’ event scheduled for 2.55: Three-year-olds had won nine of the previous twelve renewals, yet junior raiders were conspicuous by their absence last year!  Five clear market leaders and two joint favourites have scored via fourteen renewals.  Twelve of the sixteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

Ten furlong Class 2 handicap scheduled for 3.25: All eight winners have carried weights of 9-2 or less whilst three-year-olds have won four of the eight renewals.  Two of the eight contests have fallen the way of the favourite.  Three of the eight market leaders have finished in the frame.

Class 5 all aged six furlong handicap scheduled for 4.30: Paul Green has won with the last two horses he has saddled in this event (both returned as favourites) and Paul’s only entry at the five-day stage was Ferdy.  Four-year-olds have won three of the four renewals thus far.

The last three (of four) favourites have won following the third placed (dead heat) effort of the 15/8 inaugural favourite back in 2009.  Favourites have recorded a level stake profit of £1,150.00 to one hundred pound investments to date.

Class 3 all aged handicap over a mile due to be contested at 5.05: Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have prevailed in the last five years, whilst the last seven winners were burdened with a minimum weight of 8-13.

Newmarket:

General stats: Sir Henry Cecil was among the winners when securing a 21/1 double on the corresponding card twelve months ago. Five of Henry’s last nineteen runners have won, notwithstanding two silver medallists during the period.

Redcar:

General stats: A couple of handlers were in the money at Redcar on last year’s corresponding card with Tim Easterby (36/1 double) edging out Richard Fahey (23/1 double). Alakhan (scheduled to run in the 3.45 contest) would be worth an interest if given the green light by Ian Williams, the trainer having saddled four of his eight runners at Redcar to winning effect.  The six-year-old was Ian’s only potential runner on the card.

Lingfield:

General stats: John Gosden saddled a couple of short priced winners on last year’s card which equated to a 5/1 double.