Stat of the Day, 6th September 2012
There was no disgrace yesterday as Wooden King gave us a pretty good run for our money and belied his 18/1 SP. If I’m a touch critical, then I’d say that jockey had him covered up for a little too long and he had to switch outside late on to get a run. He’d been held up for the majority of the race and took a little longer than we’d like in finding a clear run. That said, he finished strongly and despite coming home in 6th place, he was less than a length away from an E/W payout and less than 2 lengths from the winner.
But nearly doesn’t payout, so we go again today in what looks a much tougher race. Twelve runners are set to tackle 6 furlongs on good ground for the Listed Dick Poole Fillies Stakes aka the…
Today’s trainer in focus is Alan Jarvis: a trainer who doesn’t seem to send many runners to Salisbury for some reason. In fact, just 2% of his total career output has competed at this scenic Wiltshire outpost. This is quite surprising really, as his recent record here is very good indeed. In fact, he has only sent 4 runners here in the last 12 months. Well I say 4, it should actually be 3, as one horse (Oetzi) has run twice in that time. And those 4 runners have returned form figures of 2112 with winners at 17/2 and 4/1.
The 2% output at Salisbury is mirrored in his 2yr olds too, having sent just 16 entries in his entire career to this track, but the record with those 2 yr olds is equally impressive: 4 wins and 4 places from the 16, generating a level stakes profit of 14.5pts. And so it is that he has two runners at Salisbury today and they are both two year olds.
His first runner goes in the 2.10 race: Martinas Delight (currently 10/1 BOG), she’s quite probably the form pick in that race, but over half the field enter the contest as unknown quantities and whilst there’s every chance she’ll go well today, we’ll look elsewhere for our official selection. The race we’ve chosen is the feature race at the meeting and is a decent quality Listed race, where Alan runs Diaminda for us.
Diaminda was impressive on her debut at Doncaster (29/06/12) when finishing second at 40/1 over today’s 6 furlong trip and she followed that up with a nice win at Ascot almost three weeks ago. 6 furlongs is the right trip for her and she looked like she’d plenty to spare last time out. She’s a half-sister to Fayr Jag who was a decent sprinter at this trip too: 10 wins and 10 places from 50.
This race is a step up for her and this is reflected in the bookies odds where Diaminda is currently available at 8/1 BOG with betVictor and Boylesports and I think that price represents decent E/W value today. But, as always, please feel free to…
Click here for the latest odds for the 3.15 Salisbury.