Well I Declare: 6th September

Well I Declare: 6th September

Good Morning, there’s plenty of racing action planned for today. Mal Boyle’s main focus is on the meeting at Salisbury, but we’ve also got the important stats and facts for Haydock, Kempton and Sedgefield for you.

THURSDAY 06/09:

Haydock:

General stats: Paul D’Arcy (3/5) and William Jarvis (4/11) are alternative trainers to consider if you want to look beyond Roger Varian’s impressive 34% strike rate via figures of 12/35 since taking over the license from Michael Jarvis not so long ago.

Amateur rider event scheduled for 5.10: Favourites have secured a medal of each colour via just the three renewals thus far.  This is another meeting during this ‘silly season’ (after a Bank Holiday wreaks havoc on the sport from a ‘corresponding fixture’ perspective).

Salisbury:

General stats: Whilst the Sir Henry Cecil media bandwagon is dominated by Frankel (was there ever any doubt that the champion would run in the relevant event at Ascot next?), it’s as well to focus on Henry’s record at ’lesser venues’ like here at Salisbury where the trainer boasts a 30% strike rate in recent years.

Novice event for juveniles scheduled for 2.10: Six of the last nine favourites have obliged, the other gold medallists having been sent off at 7/4, 9/4 & 6/1.  Richard Hannon is the only trainer to have saddled two recent winners and the trainer was responsible for four of the sixteen five-day declarations last weekend.

Juvenile maiden event for fillies due to be contested at 2.40: Four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have scored via the last eighteen renewals (many of which were spilt via divisions) whilst three of the last nine contests have been snared by horses starting at 66/1 and 33/1 (twice).  Fifteen of the nineteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the period.

Listed juvenile event for fillies over six furlongs scheduled for 3.15: Five favourites have won in the last fourteen years, whilst the biggest priced winner during the study period was a 10/1 chance.  Ten of the gold medallists have won at 7/2 or less, whilst eight of the sixteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Seven furlong Class 2 handicap scheduled for fillies/mares at 3.45: Three-year-olds have won ten of the last fourteen renewals of this event, whilst eleven of the last thirteen gold medallists have carried weights of 9-2 or less.  Four favourites have won during the last fifteen years, whilst eleven of the eighteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Fourteen furlong conditions event set for 4.20: Four-year-olds have secured five of the last nine renewals.  Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last six years, the other gold medallists having been returned at 7/1 and 4/1 for good measure.  Indeed, the biggest priced winners during the last decade were two 4/1 scorers.

Apprentice event scheduled for 5.20: Three and four-year-olds have (equally) shared four of the six renewals to date during the which time, two favourites have prevailed.  Three and four-year-old representatives have secured six win and place positions apiece from just eighteen opportunities.

Kempton:

General stats: There is little to add to what seems like a weekly comment that Frankie Dettori and Saeed Bin Suroor continue to dominate the sport at the Sunbury circuit.

Sedgefield:

General stats: Jason Maguire’s 26% strike rate owes much to the training talent of Donald McCain.  Meanwhile, any runners hailing from Lawney Hill’s stable should be kept on the right side given her 3/3 ratio at Sedgefield!