Sat TV Trends: 8th Sept 2012

Andy Newton is on hand with the key trends from Haydock, Ascot, plus the Irish Champions Stakes at Leopardstown.

Haydock (RUK/More4)

2.15 – Betfred “The Bonus King” Be Friendly Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-100) More4 5f

8/9 – Had 9 or more previous runs that season
8/9 – Had won 4 or more times before
6/9 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Rated 90+
6/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Drawn in stall 7 or lower
6/9 – Carried 8-11 or less
6/9 – Had run at Haydock before (1 won)
6/9 – Previous winners over 5f
5/9 – Winning distance ¾ length or less
5/9 – Unplaced last time out
5/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Dandy Nicholls
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 11/1
Zero Money won the race 12 months ago

2.50 – Celebrating 45 Years of Betfred Superior Mile (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) More4 1m

7/8 – Won over 1m or further before
7/8 – Won 3 or more times before
7/8 – Winning distance 1 length or more
6/8 – Placed favourites
6/8 – Had won a Listed or better race before
6/8 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Ran at either York or Ascot last time out
5/8 – Had 3 or more runs that season
5/8 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Had won at Haydock before
2/8 – Won last time out
2/8 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 11/2

3.25 – Betfred Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) More4 6f

9/10 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
9/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
8/10 – Rated 111 or higher
8/10 – Winning distance 1 length or less
8/10 – Aged 5 or younger
8/10 – Had 4 or more runs that season
8/10 – Had won over 6f before
8/10 – Didn’t win their previous race
7/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/10 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
6/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/10 – Ran at Deauville (3) or York (3) last time out
6/10 – Had won a Group race before
4/10 – Had run at Haydock before (2 had won)
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Had won a Group 1 before
1/10 – Placed horses from stall 1 (2nd 2007)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

4.00 – Betfred Mobile Lotto Old Borough Cup (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) More4 1m6f

9/9 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/9 – Aged 3, 4 or 5 years-old
8/9 – Had run 4 or more times that season
8/9 – Had won at least twice before
8/9 – Finished 4th or better last time out
7/9 – Rated 90 to 101
7/9 – Drawn in stall 8 or higher
6/9 – Winning distance ¾ lengths or less
6/9 – Carried 9-0 or more
5/9 – Ran at Haydock before
4/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/9 – Had run over 1m6f before
4/9 – Ran at York last time out
3/9 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/9 – Ridden by Joe Fanning
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 15/2

Ascot (ATR/More4)

3.45 – Fly London Southend Airport Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+) More4 7f

Only 1 previous running
Smarty Sock won the race 12 months ago
Mick Channon is just 1 from 53 (2%) with his older horses at the track
David Simcock is only 1 from 40 (3%) with his 4+year-olds here
Richard Fahey is just 2 from 77 (3%) with his older horses here
Paul Hanagan is just 1 from 38 (3) riding older horses here
Shane Kelly is only 1 from 41 (2%) riding older horses at the course

4.15 – Ladbrokes Mobile Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo) More4 1m4f

Only 1 previous running
Andrew Balding is just 4 from 69 (6%) with his 3 year-olds here
Jeremy Noseda is only 2 from 33 (6%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Michael Hills is only 1 from 30 (3%) riding 3 year-olds here
Paul Hanagan is just 1 from 23 (4%) riding 3 year-olds at the course
Robert Winston is 3 from 13 (23%) riding 3 year-olds here

Leopardstown (ATR)

5.45 – Red Mills Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) (3yo+) Winner €434,500 RTE2 1m2f

10/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Previous Group 1 winner
9/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Won 4 or more times before
9/10 – Trained in Ireland
8/10 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/10 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
8/10 – Ran at York, Sandown or Ascot last time out
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Rated 120+
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/10 – Previous course winners
6/10 – Aged 3 years-old
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Returned odds-on
2/10 – Won the Coral Eclipse last time out
2/10 – Trained by John Oxx
2/10 – Ridden by Seamie Heffernan

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