Stat of the Day, 7th September 2012

Stat of the Day 7/9

Stat of the Day, 7th September 2012

It was another case of near yet so far again yesterday. I highlighted the two Alan Jarvis runners as potential E/W gambles: Martinas Delight a 10/1 BOG chance) finished 4th at 12/1, just a neck outside the places and staying on at the end, whilst the SotD selection Diaminda suffered a similar fate. Our advised 8/1 shot eased out by half a point on the off and finished her race very strongly. Unfortunately for her, she had left it a little late and she also finished 4th, a head away from a place and less than two lengths off the winner. Had our horses got going a little sooner over the past few days, we’d be sitting on some decent profits.

Unfortunately ifs and buts don’t boost the bank, so we go again today with an old friend of SotD, who takes us to the South Coast for a tea-time Class 5 Fillies Handicap. The ground is expected to be good to firm for the twelve runners tackling 6 furlongs in the…

5.25 Brighton

Last Sunday (2/9/12) our SotD selection was the Joseph Tuite-trained Efistorm, based purely on the horse’s own record at Folkestone. Efistorm ran poorly that day and seemed to need the run. He runs again here today in the 4.20 and whilst he might have an outside squeak of a place at 16/1 or bigger, it’s his travelling partner we’re more interested in today.

Trainer Joseph Tuite has a very good record here at Brighton with 6 winners from 21 (28.6%) returning profits of 13.5pts (64.3% on stakes), with a further 5 place finishes. Today’s selection Interakt is a 5yr old horse with a decent record at the track himself, which I’ll come to in a moment. I just want to define Mr Tuite’s stats a little further by looking at his Brighton record with horses aged 4 and over, because they’re even more impressive than his overall figures. 5 wins and 5 places from 16 is very good indeed and the five winners have produced a level stakes profit at SP of 16pts, so you’re doubling your money at SP and who backs at SP nowadays?

Now, let’s take a closer look at our selection Interakt: he won twice over Course & Distance last season and has already opened her account for this season with a win at Yarmouth back in May. She has since struggled after stepping up to Class 4 racing, but dropped back to this grade last time out, where she found the 5 furlongs here a little too sharp for her liking. She’s back up to 6 furlongs today which will suit her more on a track she loves. She has scored 3 wins and 6 places from 11 Brighton outings and her record here since moving to Joseph Tuite reads 2031122.

The trainer and the horse are both proven here and the filly clearly gets the trip. With all this in mind, I actually think that the 5/1 BOG currently on offer from BetVictor represents decent value, so it’s 1pt win at 5/1 BOG, but you should always…

Click here for the latest odds for the 5.25 Brighton.