Stat of the Day – 9th September 2012

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 9th September 2012

No joy again yesterday, as George Baker gave Primaeval a bizarre ride. The horse pinged the gates, meaning he could have readily taken up his customary prominent position. But no, the rider pulled him back off a moderate early pace. When it came time to ride to win, Primaeval picked up quite well under what might be described as an 80% ride, but couldn’t close the deficit ceded at the start. Sixth of eighteen, never nearer.

Society Rock of course did the bizzo up at Haydock.

Onwards, to Yorkshire…

4.00 York

A trainer very much on the wane overall, but still capable when he gets the material, is John Dunlop. And he loves a winner at York like Kevin Keegan would have loved to beat Manchester United all those years ago.

He sends just one animal up from Arundel today, and she ran her best race last time when winning over a mile and three quarters.

Today’s two mile trip should be well within her compass, and stepping handicappers up in distance has always been a Dunlop trait. The lass in question this afternoon is Mafeteng, a four year old filly by Nayef out of a Hernando mare.

She had taken eleven races to get off the mark, but there are reasons to believe she can double up here. Firstly, her trainer has an excellent record at York: eleven wins from forty runners (28%) and a profit of 57 units.

Secondly, that win last time was when stepped up from a mile and a half for the first time. It was also on a track similar in constitution to York – Yarmouth – with a long sweeping home straight to allow Mafeteng to find her stride.

That win was in a lowly Class 5 maiden handicap, but this is little better. And it’s only Mafeteng’s third run on proper fast ground, where her form is 51.

She wouldn’t be a strong fancy but Dunlop’s record here gives her the nod.

6/1 BOG is generally available so make sure you use a best odds guaranteed bookie…

Click here for the latest odds on the 4.00 York