Well I Declare: 14th September

Well I Declare : 14th September

It’s a busy old day today and plenty of water has gone under the bridge since Mal Boyle filed his weekly racing preview, so let me just remind you what his thoughts were about today’s racing from Doncaster, Chester, Sandown and Wolverhampton on…

…FRIDAY 14/9:

DONCASTER:

General stats: Watch out for any David Lanigan runners at Donny this week, the trainer boasting prolific figures of 6/13 to date. 

‘Flying Childers’ juvenile event scheduled for 1.15: Seven favourites have won during the last fifteen years, whilst eight of the sixteen market leaders (joint favourites were returned in 1999) secured toteplacepot positions.  Fifty five horses contested this event at odds of 12/1 or more during the last decade without success.

‘Draw factor’ (five furlongs):

2-4-1 (10 ran-good)

2-11-10 (12 ran-good)

9-2-4 (10 ran-good to firm)

11-7-6 (12 ran-soft)

4-3-6 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-9-4 (9 ran-heavy)

7-3-12 (11 ran-firm)

6-12-3 (13 ran-good)

8-7-1 (14 ran-good to firm)

13-12-14 (13 ran-good)

3-6-2 (11 ran-good to firm)

13-7-9 (14 ran-good to firm)

2-8-6 (13 ran-good)

5-1 (7 ran-good to firm)

‘Mallard Stakes’ scheduled for 1.50: Twelve of the last fifteen winners have carried weights of 9-4 or less, whilst eight three-year-olds have won during the study period.  Four clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last fifteen years, though only three of the other fourteen favourites claimed toteplacepot positions.

‘Doncaster Cup’ due to be contested at 2.20: Four favourites have won the Doncaster Cup since 1998, though ten of the other eleven favourites during the study period finished out of the frame.

‘May Hill Stakes’ scheduled for 2.55: Richard Hannon has secured two of the last seven renewals (the only potentially represented trainer to have saddled two winners during the last decade) and Light Up My Life was Richard’s only option at the five-day stage.  Six market leaders have won during the last fifteen years, whilst ten of the fifteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

Seven furlong Conditions event scheduled for 3.30: Saeed Bin Suroor has won this race twice in the last seven years and Saeed’s only entry at the five-day stage was Tarikhi.  Six clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won via the last 14 renewals, whilst nine of the fifteen ’jollies’ snared toteplacepot positions.

Six and a half furlong all aged handicap scheduled for 4.05: Richard Fahey had saddled gold and silver medallists via just three renewals before last year’s 33/1 selection (typically) finished fourth in the fifteen runner handicap event!  Richard held two options at the five-day stage this time around.  The 5/2 favourite secured a toteplacepot position in the inaugural running before the last two market leaders finished down the field.

‘Draw factor’ (six and a half furlongs)

3-2-10 (15 ran-good)

11-7-13-14 (18 ran-good)

2-3-10 (11 ran-good to firm)

Classified event over ten furlongs scheduled for 4.35:

CHESTER:

General stats: Paul Mulrennan is a jockey who does not receive the plaudits he deserves often enough.  Paul’s strike rate at Chester in recent years stands at 23%, backed up by twenty-four points of level stake profits.

SANDOWN:

General stats: Jeremy Noseda held five entries at Sandown at the time of writing and with current stats standing at Sandown of 15/48 (31%), Jeremy’s LSP figure of eighteen points at the venue adds icing on the cake.

WOLVERHAMPTON:

General stats: Shirley Teasdale (you have got to love that name) has ridden four winners via seventeen opportunities at Dunstall Park with more winners waiting to happen.  It’s just a case of how soon the gold medallists will arrive.