Trainer Stats – 19th Sept 2012

Al Zarooni Fresh From His Leger Win

This week Andy Newton’s got six in-form flat trainers to look out for, plus one high profile name you might want to avoid.


ISMAIL MOHAMMED (3 winners from his last 7 runners, 43% strike-rate): Not a name many punters will be familiar with but this Newmarket-based outfit are certainly putting their yard on the map at present. That said, they’ve only had 5 winners from 60 runners in 2012, but you suspect that with a bit more backing and the fact this is their debut year then there will be more to come. Interestingly all of their 5 winners have been with their 3 year-olds, while jockey Royston Ffrench gets the bulk of the rides. You will find most of their runners at Kempton and Wolverhampton, but they are also currently 1-from-1 with their runners at Brighton and 2-from-6 at Yarmouth.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Yarmouth (2 from 6, 33%)


SIR HENRY CECIL (7 winners from his last 17 runners, 41% strike-rate): Thomas Chippendale was a bit of a disappointment in the St Leger last week, but Wild Coco provided the stable with a big winner at the meeting and if you add winners at Bath, Yarmouth and Wolverhampton since then their current strike-rate is more than healthy. They are now on 44 winners and have amassed over £1.8 million in total prize money this season and its hard to think that just back in 2005 they only had 12 winners and won just £144,000! Only a couple of 2 year-old winners from 16 sent to post tells you a story there, but despite the bulk of their successes this term coming with their 3 year-olds they’ve had the best strike-rate with their 4+ year-olds – 25%. One of their stable stars, Timepiece, is in action in a decent race at Yarmouth this Wednesday.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Yarmouth (10 from 70, 14%), Kempton (15 from 89, 17%), Pontefract (4 from 28, 14%), Brighton (3 from 12, 25%), Lingfield (11 from 35, 31%), Wolverhampton (10 from 41, 24%), Newmarket (25 from 126, 20%), Newbury (18 from 89, 20%), Ayr (no runners), Gowran Park (no runners)

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(5 winners from his last 13 runners, 38% strike-rate):
They finally found the key to If So at Kempton on Saturday as she broke her maiden and now she’s got that confidence booster she could go onto land a few more races if kept to the AW tracks for now (entered at Kempton on Thurs). Society Rock was, of course, a big highlight when he took the Betfred Sprint Cup a few weeks ago and that win helped them get over the £500,000 total prize money barrier. Not a bad feat as they’ve actually only had 25 winners so far, it’s just a shame Deacon Blues has been injured this season as you suspect he might have cleaned up in the leading sprint races. They’ve done best with their 4+year-olds which is not too surprising as this yard do like to take their time with their horses, while in terms of 2 year-olds they are 1-from-3 in that age group so far.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Yarmouth (13 from 107, 12%), Pontefract (1 from 16, 6%), Kempton (39 from 184, 21%), Newbury (5 from 28, 18%), Lingfield (turf) (3 from 9, 33%), Wolverhampton (12 from 61, 20%), Hamilton (0 from 1)

(4 winners from his last 11 runners, 36% strike-rate):
Encke’s shock St Leger win was a big highlight for the yard last week, but they followed that up with another win at Kempton that night too – which means 3 of their last 5 runners have won. It’s interesting that Frankie has only ridden one of their last 33 runners, with Silvestre De Sousa and Mickael Barzalona getting the bulk of the action. They also had Certify win the May Hill Stakes last week at Doncaster and she’s now heads to next May’s 1,000 Guineas as one of the leading contenders. The yard are now on 49 winners for the season – but that’s still some way off the 81 they managed in 2011, but on a plus they are only around £10k shy of breaking the £1million mark for the second successive year. Keep a look out for any 2 year-olds they run now towards the backend of the season as they’ve already sent out 27 juvenile winners this season, while in contrast it could pay to know they’ve only had 4 winners in the 4+ year-old bracket.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Sandown (8 from 44, 18%), Kempton (16 from 97, 16%), Yarmouth (3 from 26, 12%), Newbury (6 from 20, 30%), Wolverhampton (4 from 40, 10%)

(7 winners from his last 20 runners, 35% strike-rate):
With sseven recent winners and a whole host of placed horses then the Manor House yard are certainly having a good time of it at present – their stable star, Brown Panther, was also a close third on Saturday in the Irish St Leger. This puts them on 62 winners for the season and I must admit I was a bit shocked when I saw that figure as I thought they were more around 40. This means they’ve already beaten last season’s tally by 11, while this is now their best-ever campaign – with 58 their previous best in a season. This term they’ve so far fired in 18 juvenile winners , but with a 22% AW strike-rate then keep an eye out for anything they run on the sand tracks – in particular Lingfield and Wolverhampton.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Yarmouth (2 from 21, 10%), Pontefract (6 from 34, 18%), Ayr (3 from 17, 18%), Lingfield (turf) (1 from 12, 8%), Wolverhampton (54 from 283, 19%), Newbury (8 from 83, 10%), Hamilton (4 from 18, 22%)


PETER CHAPPLE-HYAM (3 winners from his last 10 runners, 33% strike-rate): Sunday City was a surprise winner of a the Group 3 Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster last week, but with winners at Chester and Wolverhampton last Friday too then all is going well at the Chapple-Hyam team at the moment. Jamie Spencer has been on two of their three recent winners, while with 23 successes so far they have already bettered the last two seasons win tallies. Keep a very close eye for any 2 year-olds they run as with 10 winners from just 34 runners (29%) this is by far their best age group strike-rate this season. Finally, with a 21% winning record up at Pontefract then anything they run at the northern venue this Thursday should be given a second glance.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Yarmouth (15 from 78, 19%), Pontefract (4 from 19, 21%)


A Trainer To Avoid?………..

RICHARD FAHEY (3 winners from his last 45 runners, 7%): With Barefoot Lady winning a lucrative Group 2 prize over in Canada on Sunday then I guess the yard probably don’t care too much that they are on a bit of a mini-drought in the UK. Saying that they’ve had plenty of placed horses and despite only seeing 3 recent domestic winners you suspect that this might change very soon. With 116 successes already in 2012 then they are well on their way to getting near the 151 they managed in 2011, but with over £1.7 in prize money already won this year they will be hoping to get near the £2m mark – something they’ve only managed once before (2010). A word of caution is advised until you start to see a few more winners go in.
Upcoming Entries and Track Stats: Beverley (41 from 315, 13%), Sandown (1 from 27, 4%), Kempton (11 from 157, 7%), Ayr (55 from 315, 13%), Pontefract (30 from 198, 15%), Wolverhampton (59 from 446, 13%), Catterick (19 from 132, 14%), Newmarket (7 from 90, 8%), Newbury (2 from 49, 4%)




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