Well I Declare: 20th September

Well I Declare: 20th September

Well I Declare: 20th September

Some decent racing in store for us today, so let’s remind ourselves of Mal Boyle’s preview of all the action scheduled for Ayr, Pontefract, Yarmouth and Kempton on…



General stats: Seven pound claimer Shirley Teasdale has already lit up Ayr racecourse, boasting a strike rate of 29% (5/17), statistics which have produced an LSP figure of twenty-six points.



General stats: Henry Candy has one horse entered at the time of writing (Gouray Girl in the scheduled 4.40 event), the trainer boasting a strike rate of 29% via a ratio of 5/15 (five points of LSP into the bargain).

Six furlong apprentice handicap scheduled for 2.30: Alan McCabe potentially saddles Opus Dei in an event where the trainer has saddled a medallist of each colour despite there having been only two renewals to date.  The inaugural 7/2 favourite duly obliged before last year‘s 3/1 market leader could only finish fourth, missing out on a toteplacepot position.

Five furlong juvenile event due to be contested at 3.00: Market leaders have won seven of the twelve renewals to date, whilst ten favourites have snared toteplacepot positions in the process.  The biggest priced winner thus far started at just 13/2, whilst eleven of the winners were returned at 100/30 or less.

All aged one mile handicap scheduled at 4.00: Horses carrying weights of 9-1 or more have secured five of the last six renewals, whilst Michael Dods held two entries earlier in the week for a race in which he has saddled three of the last six winners.  Two of the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date, stats which include one winner.

Six furlong handicap for fillies due to be contested at 4.00: Five of the thirteen favourites (via twelve renewals) have claimed toteplacepot positions thus far (three winners).

‘Draw factor’ (six furlongs):

6-4-1 (12 ran-good to firm)

14-8-15 (15 ran-good)

2-3 (6 ran-good to firm)

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4-11-6 (9 ran-good to soft)

6-2 (7 ran-firm)

6-4-3 (9 ran-good)

14-13-6 (9 ran-good to soft)

2-1-3 (9 ran-firm)

11-3-8 (11 ran-good to firm)

5-10-8-2 (17 ran-firm)

11-9-15 (15 ran-firm)

8-2-11 (13 ran-good to firm)

Seventeen furlong handicap scheduled for 4.30: All six winners to date have carried weights of 8-12 or more, whilst four of the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (four winners) via five renewals (one dead heat) to date.

All aged ten furlong maiden event scheduled for 5.00: Three-year-olds have won eleven of the last twelve renewals, whilst six of the eleven favourites have won to date during the study period, whilst 10 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.

‘Draw factor’ (ten furlongs)

3-2-11 (12 ran-good to firm)

12-8-3 (12 ran-good)

10-4-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

16-11-6 (17 ran-good to soft)

2-6-3 (8 ran-firm)

13-16-1 (14 ran-good to soft)

8-9-6 (12 ran-good to soft)

2-4 (5 ran-firm)

2-1 (5 ran-good to firm)

1-2-7 (8 ran-firm)

9-11-2 (8 ran-firm)

5-2-6 (11 ran-good to firm)



General stats: Ed Walker’s 7/11 stats are truly outstanding, especially having produced over fifty points of level stake profits in the process.  Peter Chapple-Hyam also does well with his runners here and his team are showing signs of coming back into top form. 



General stats: Michael Murphy’s 38% strike rate from the saddle hails from a ratio of 6/16, statistics which have produced an LSP figure of eighteen points.

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