Stat of the Day, 25th September 2012
No joy for the backers or the placers yesterday, I’m afraid. Wicked Wilma got off to a good start and raced prominently for the first half mile or so. She was headed around the furlong pole and seemed to go into reverse from that point. She eventually finished back in 7th place some 12 lengths or so from the winner and with only one other horse behind her. The only bright spot from the race was that we managed to beat the market once again: our selection was advised 11/2 and was sent off as the 7/2 2nd favourite.
Today looks pretty grim if I’m honest. As I type this, I don’t know whether Folkestone will go ahead or not and the going at Newton Abbot is already soft with more (possibly heavy) rain on the way, so by avoiding that one too, I’m stuck with Hobson’s Choice.
Which means we’re off to East Yorkshire for a 10-furlong Class 6 Amateur Riders’ Handicap with (at 0930) 16 of the 17 original runners still set to go to post. Hopefully, no more horses will pull out and we’ll be able to aim for 4 places in the…
Last year’s renewal of this contest saw Karen Tutty’s horse Harare win at 40/1 and this year her entrant is Shy: our SotD selection. Shy has a decent record at this level with 2 wins and 8 other place finishes from 16 races at Class 6. This 62.5% place strike rate is what we’re interested in today, allied to her form at the 1m 2f distance with 3 place finishes from 5.
Her overall career place strike rate is a decent-enough 48% with 20 places from 42, including making the frame on both her previous outings here at Beverley.
She is basically a generally consistent type, who doesn’t often threaten to win, but is generally there or thereabouts. Further rain shouldn’t affect her chances, she seems to have plenty of stamina, as decent performances at a mile and a half have shown.
It is a pretty poor day to be fair and some of the racing on offer is flaky at best, but I feel Shy has a decent enough chance of making the first four home today and whilst she may not win, I think there’s still enough in the current 9/1 BOG generally on offer to interest us in an E/W bet, especially if we do get 1/4 odds on the first 4.
As always, however, I suggest that you…
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