Andy Newton has six in-form trainers to look out for this week……
WILLIE MULLINS (6 winners from his last 9 runners, 66% strike-rate): Ireland’s leading jumps trainer has already fired in a staggering 56 winners this jumps season and we’re only in September! 138 is what they managed last term, while 146 is their best yet so they’ve already eaten into a third of that tally. They’ve comfortably broken the £2million prize barrier for the last 4 seasons, and with almost £500,000 already banked then they are firmly on target to bank that much for a fifth time. Ruby returned to the saddle recently after his latest injury, and he’s ridden six of the yards last 7 winners. We can expect big raids at the main UK jumping festivals again over the next 6 months or so, but it did surprise me to see that they only managed 5 winners in the UK in 2011-12 – and that was their best-ever season over here!
Upcoming entries and track stats: Downpatrick (16 from 52, 31%), Dundalk (4 from 38, 11%), Navan (34 from 112, 30%)
CLIVE BRITTAIN (3 winners from his last 7 runners, 42% strike-rate): It goes without saying that the stable’s 125/1 winner last Wednesday at Yarmouth was a big highlight, but they’ve followed that up since with two more successes, and with their runners often going a little bit under the radar these days then anything they are sending to post should be respected. True, they are only on 16 winners now, and that’s still 3 short of 12 months ago, and a long way from the normal 40ish they’d been getting between 1999 and 2010. If there is one word of caution then it’s surrounding their 2 year-olds as they are just 2 from 46 this year with their juveniles, while if you like your track stats then be wary of anything they run at Newmarket this week as they have just 4 winners from their last 121 runners. In contrast they do very well with the horses they send to Wolverhampton – a track they have a 20% strike-rate at.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Newmarket (4 from 121, 3%), Wolverhampton (18 from 91, 20%), Chester (1 from 27, 4%), Epsom (0 from 21)
ED DUNLOP (3 winners from his last 8 runners, 38% strike-rate): Still some way short of last season’s tally of 54 winners, as they are currently on 29 for the campaign, but despite that we know their horses are in fine fettle with 3 winners from just 8 runners over the last week or so. They are another yard that have had a lot more 3 year-old winners – with 17 of their 29 coming in that age bracket. As we move into October then note any runners they send to Catterick and Newcastle, while with the AW racing at Southwell set to get more frequent in the coming months then take a second look at any runners there as they currently have a 32% strike-rate at the track.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Goodwood (2 from 65, 3%), Redcar (0 from 5), Newmarket (4 from 83, 5%), Pontefract (3 from 18, 17%), Wolverhampton (32 from 160, 20%), Ripon (4 from 23, 17%), Haydock (3 from 38, 8%)
JONJO O’NEILL (3 winners from his last 9 runners, 33% strike-rate): After a mini-break the jumping action is back, and with a Uttoxeter double last Sunday then the Jonjo O’Neill team are seemingly ready to hit the ground running. They are now already on 35 winners for the season and we’ve barely got going yet, so the 97 they managed last term looks odds-on to be surpassed. 126 in the 2006-07 season was their best yet in terms of winners, but it goes without saying they will be hoping to once again break the £1 million total prize barrier – something they’ve managed in 8 of the last 10 campaigns. At present they are doing slightly better with their hurdlers than their chasers, but looking back over the last 5 seasons they had 207 hurdle winners and 201 chase successes, so there is never a lot in it. Looking ahead make a note of any hurdlers they run at Worcester this week as they have a 23% record in that sphere at the track.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Stratford (14 from 116, 12%), Worcester (41 from 202, 20%), Market Rasen (31 from 185, 17%)
ROGER VARIAN (5 winners from his last 16 runners, 31% strike-rate): With 60 winners in 2012 then they have already bettered their 2011 tally by 7 and this classy outfit look to be going from strength to strength. Yes, they’ve probably lacked a few horses to go to war with in the very top level, but that will come and after all that statement probably applies to most yards. A double a Wolverhampton on Friday came after a winner at Lingfield earlier that afternoon, while with 60% of their runners this season finishing fourth or better then you know that you’ll get a run for your money when backing a Varian horse more times than not. Looking at their age splits they’ve had by far their best performances with their 3 year-olds – 38 or their 60 winners this season. Looking ahead they are still hunting their first winner at Goodwood (0-from-18), so will be hoping to break that duck this week, while make a note of anything they run at Haydock, Ripon and Wolverhampton over the next few days – they are all tracks they’ve traditionally done well at.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Goodwood (0 from 18), Kempton AW (3 from 42, 7%), Newmarket (5 from 26, 19%), Pontefract (0 from 5), Haydock (12 from 38, 32%), Wolverhampton (9 from 20, 45%), Chester (1 from 12, 8%), Ripon (2 from 6, 33%), Epsom (3 from 16, 19%)
MARCUS TREGONING (4 winners from his last 16 runners, 25% strike-rate): Four recent winners, but they’ve also had plenty of placed runners and need just one more success to beat last season’s tally of 21 winners. They are another yard that are not quite the force they have been in previous years with 56 winners in 2003 their best-ever final win tally for the season. Hayley Turner gets the majority of the stable rides these days, but it’s worth pointing out she was only on one of their 4 recent winners. Finally, looking ahead and with some entries at Wolverhampton later this week then, again, the track stats lovers might want to know they are actually 0 from 30 at that particular AW venue.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Newmarket (4 from 40, 10%), Wolverhampton (0 from 30)
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