Well I Declare: 28th September

Well, I Declare: 28th September

Good Morning, I thought I’d just refresh your memory about Mal Boyle’s stats for today’s action on…

FRIDAY 28/09:

HAYDOCK:

General stats: We are living in different times, with Hayley Turner having changed the attitude of many men regarding lady riders, notwithstanding the emergence of Shirley Teasdale whose ability is a joy to behold.  Somewhere in the middle lies Natasha Eaton who boasts a 40% strike rate at Haydock which few men have ever matched after just ten rides at the track!

NEWMARKET:

General stats: Although Ralph Beckett’s strike rate stands at just 11% on the Rowley Mile, his LSP figure reads at one hundred and thirty-one points at the time of writing!

Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes scheduled for 1.15: Three of the last eight winners were returned in double figures (two at 25/1) whereby any notion of a win investment should be treated with caution.  Two clear market leaders and two joint favourites have won during the last 15 years, whilst 10 of the 17 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.

Group 2 Joel Stakes scheduled for 2.20: Three-year-olds have won eight of the last fourteen renewals of this Group 3 contest, though four-year-olds come to this year’s gig on a five timer.  Three clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last fifteen years, though just two of the other twelve market leaders managed to secure toteplacepot positions.

Group 1 Fillies Mile due to be contested at 2.55:  John Gosden has saddled the winner of the ‘Fillies Mile’ three times in the last eight years and Winsili was John’s only potential runner in the race earlier in the week.  Six of the last fifteen favourites have scored, whilst eleven market leaders secured toteplacepot positions in the process.

Seven furlong maiden event scheduled for 3.25: Ten of the last eleven winners have scored at odds of 10/1 or less, stats which include five successful market leaders.  Sir Michael Stoute has saddled three winners during the eleven years and Michael held three options at the five-day stage.  Eleven of the last fourteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

Listed Godolphin Stakes scheduled for 4.00: Three and four-year-olds have (equally) shared the last eight renewals.  Five of the last twelve renewals have fallen the way of the favourites in one form or another.

Ten furlong ‘Challenge Whip’ due to be contested at 5.10: Three-year-olds have won the last six renewals during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at 6/1.  Three of the last seven contests have gone to favourites.

WOLVERHAMPTON:

General stats: Mark Johnston and Tom Dascombe are two other names to add to the positive list at Wolverhampton.

STRATFORD:

General stats: Phil Middleton (5/17) matches the 29% strike rate of Paul Nicholls at Stratford (no mean effort), albeit via only 27% of the number of runners saddled by the two trainers!

WORCESTER:

General stats: Aside from legendary names, Brian Ellison (5/10) is the main challenger to the Rachel Green/Anthony Honeyball roadshow at the track these days.