Andy Newton gave you last weekend’s Cambridgeshire-winning trainer – Marcus Tregoning – to look out for, so who’s on his ‘hot list’ this week?
PAUL NICHOLLS (3 winners from his last 5 runners, 60% strike-rate): Yes, the champion trainer might be up against it in terms of retaining his title this season with the powerful Henderson team looking as strong as ever, but one thing you can be sure of is the Ditcheat handler won’t go down without a fight. Of course, they’ve got a huge void to fill without the likes of Kauto Star, Denman and Master Minded, but they’ve got a fair few coming through the ranks. They’ve only had a handful of runners so far (71), but have sent out 19 winners and over the next few weeks you can expect those figures to rise rapidly. With Ruby still over in Ireland and only just returning from his latest spell on the sidelines then Grand National-winning jockey Daryl Jacob has been getting the bulk of the rides and even when the silver fox does get more involved such is the strength of this yard that Daryl can still expect to play a huge role. Like Twiston-Davies the up-coming Cheltenham meetings will have been a target for a lot of their horses, so that’s certainly something to look forward too, but in the shorter term they’ve got plenty heading to Fontwell this Friday and Saturday – a track they boast a huge 35% strike-rate at!
Upcoming entries and track stats: Bangor (5 from 24, 21%), Fontwell (31 from 88, 35%)
JOHN GOSDEN (8 winners from his last 20 runners, 40% strike-rate): It was set to be a huge weekend for the powerful John Gosden team with Nathaniel running in the Prix de l’ Arc de Triomphe – but as we all know he won’t be running now due to a bad blood test. With 95 winners then the yard will break the 100 winners in a season mark very soon, but with over £2.8 million in total prize money banked then in that respect this has been by far their best-ever campaign. A lot will depend on Champions Day at Ascot later this month, but Gosden is also in with a great shout of becoming champion trainer, something that in a recent interview at Newmarket he didn’t really seem too bothered about – but I’m sure he is! They sent out 15 juvenile winners from just 74 runners, but the main chunk of their success this term has been with their 3 year-olds (48).
Upcoming entries and track stats:Salisbury (7 from 54, 13%), Nottingham (11 from 77, 14%), Kempton (54 from 274, 20%), Yarmouth (26 from 112, 23%), Ascot (21 from 150, 14%), Wolverhampton (23 from 112, 23%), Redcar (1 from 5, 20%), Newmarket (40 from 259, 15%)
JEREMY NOSEDA (5 winners from his last 15 runners, 33% strike-rate): A yard that have always favoured quality over quantity and that is backed-up in their figures. Yes, only 38 winners, but they’ve raked-up over £600,000 in prize money so far this season and with a few more big meetings to go I suspect they’ve not finished yet. They tend to use jockey William Buick when they can – when he’s not riding for the Gosden team – but have also started to use former jump jockey Graham Lee a bit too. With 11 juvenile winners this season then keep a look out for any backend 2 year-olds they run, but the main winners have been with their 3 year-olds (25) as opposed to just 2 winners from their 4+year-olds.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Warwick (2 from 7, 29%), Yarmouth (7 from 46, 15%), Wolverhampton (23 from 73, 32%), Redcar (1 from 13, 8%), Newmarket (12 from 142, 8%), Ascot (7 from 92, 8%).
NIGEL TWISTON-DAVIES (4 winners from his last 13 runners, 31% strike-rate): The yard introduced a very decent type in The New One at Newton Abbot on Monday, and although last season’s Aintree bumper winner was entitled to win as he liked he still had to jump round on his hurdling debut and looks a horse heading to the top. It’s no secret that around this time of year the yard do well, especially at the early Cheltenham meetings and it looks as if they’ve got their horses in their normal good form during this early part of the NH season. From their last 13 runners they’ve had 8 placed and with son Sam set for a big season then everything is looking rosy at the Twiston-Davies camp. Last term they managed just 24 winners, so will be looking to turn that around as since around 1995 they generally fire in between 50-80 successes. Looking ahead they’ve got a few entered from Thursday, but it could pay to have anything they run at Uttoxeter on Sunday on your side – they’ve got a 20% strike-rate at the Midlands venue.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Bangor (7 from 65, 11%), Fontwell (7 from 42, 17%), Uttoxeter (30 from 148, 20%), Huntingdon (7 from 78, 9%)
STUART WILLIAMS (3 winners from his last 12 runners, 25% strike-rate): I was most taken with their Pearl Reward winning at Pontefract last week. The money came late for this one, and he didn’t let backers down after dotting up by 8 lengths – surely one to follow next time out! In terms of winners they are only on 19 for the season, and that’s a tiny bit quiet for them, but there is still a bit of time for them to get nearer the 30 mark that they managed for the past three campaigns or so. With just 1 juvenile winner from 18 this season then you might want to steer away from their 2 year-olds, but in contrast 12 of their 19 winners have been with their 3 year-olds this season. Looking ahead they’ve got plenty of entries, but it’s interesting that they are still looking for their first winners from the last 5 years at Nottingham, Redcar and Ascot.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Nottingham (0 from 42), Kempton (30 from 240, 13%), Southwell AW (4 from 30, 13%), Warwick (1 from 26, 4%), Wolverhampton (23 from 121, 19%), Yarmouth (11 from 107, 10%), Ascot (0 from 13), Redcar (0 from 9)
MARCUS TREGONING (4 winners from his last 17 runners, 24% strike-rate): Last weekend’s Cambridgeshire winning trainer got a huge mention in last week’s hot trainers list and he didn’t let us down. That big handicap win was a huge shot in the arm for this classy yard that have just not quite had the quality of horses in recent seasons. This former Derby-winning yard, have never really been one for firing in loads if winners – with 56 in 2003 then best they’ve managed – but since 2002 they have broken the £1million prize barrier three times. Interestingly they are showing a +£18 level stakes profit with all their runners this term, while 49% of their runners have managed to finish fourth or better. They’ve fired in 3 juvenile winners from 22 runners, but the most of their successes have been with either their 3 year-olds (9) or the brigade (10). In terms of their up-coming track stats, you might want to think twice about backing anything they send to Wolverhampton this week with a 0-from-30 strike-rate, but in contrast do seem to do well with their runners at Yarmouth. Finally, keep a close eye on anything he runs in the Cumberland Lodge at Ascot on Saturday – he’s won the race 4 times in the last 10 years!
Upcoming entries and track stats: Salisbury (3 from 31, 10%), Warwick (0 from 3), Wolverhampton (0 from 30), Yarmouth (7 from 30, 23%), Ascot (6 from 50, 12%), Newmarket (5 from 42, 12%)
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