Well I Declare: 12th October

Well, I Declare! 12th October

Friday’s action is set to come from Bath, Carlisle, Newton Abbot (abandoned after we went to press!), York and Wolverhampton.

As ever, Mal Boyle’s got the inside line for everything happening on…

…FRIDAY 12/10:

Bath:

General stats: Richard Ford and John Mackie offer identical 40% strike rates via 2/5 winners at Bath thus far.

Carlisle:

General stats: Tim Walford had two horses entered up in the Honeypot Lane Novice Hurdle event earlier in the week, the trainer having saddled three of his twelve runners at the venue to winning effect in recent times. 

Class 4 seventeen furlong novice hurdle event scheduled for 3.55: Four-year-olds have won four of the last five renewals whist five favourites have prevailed during the last eleven years.  Ten of the last eleven winners have been returned at 7/2 or less.

Three mile handicap chase scheduled for 3.20: Four renewals have slipped by since a successful market leader was recorded following success of the first two market leaders.

Class 3 two-mile handicap chase scheduled for 4.30: Nine of the last ten winners have carried 11-7 or less to victory.

Bumper event scheduled for 5.30: Donald McCain held four options at the time of writing in a race he has secured twice in the last five years.  Four and five-year-olds have won the last nine renewals (‘juniors’ lead 6-3), though just two favourites have won during the study period, a poor ratio in terms of bumper contests.

Newton Abbot:

General stats: Donald McCain is a rare visitor to these parts but his 4/7 ratio is impressive given his two potential runners on Friday. 

Wolverhampton:

General stats: Mark Johnston remains on the ninety-nine winner Mark at Wolverhampton during the last five years but it can only be  matter of time this week before three figures is reached.

York:

General stats: John Dunlop and York racecourse went together like strawberries and cream for so many years and it would be wonderful if the trainer could sign off at the Knavesmire in style this weekend. 

Nursery event scheduled for 2.00: Just one favourite has prevailed via the last nine contests. The last four winners have carried 8-12 or less.

Conditions event scheduled for 2.30: Three-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals.  Three of the five market leaders have finished in the frame, statistics which include one winner.

Class 2 mixed vintage handicap scheduled for 3.05: Seed Bin Suroor held five options at the time of writing in a race he has won twice in the last four years, without a representative in one of the ‘missing’ contests.

Class 4 2YO event scheduled for 4.50: Four favourites have won via six renewals thus far, though the other two market leaders finished out with the washing from a toteplacepot perspective.