Andy Newton has seven more ‘hot trainers‘ to look out for this week…..
SHEENA WEST (1 winner from her last 2 runners, 50% strike-rate): Okay, so she’s not had many runners of late, but we did flag her up a few weeks back as a trainer to look out for and she didn’t let us down. Captain Cardington was a gutsy 9/1 winner on the flat at Windsor on Monday, while her improving hurdler Hi Note was a very respectable second in a decent race at Cheltenham on Saturday. This now puts them on exactly 7 winners on both the flat and over jumps, but we can expect to see a lot more runners for them over the sticks in the coming months, with 14 (their 2011-12 tally) sure to be their target. Six of their 7 NH winners have been with their hurdlers, and looking ahead they’ve got two more in that category entered at Fakenham this Friday – a track they’ve yet to have a runner at!
Upcoming entries and track stats: Fakenham (no runners)
PAUL HENDERSON (3 winners from their last 8 runners, 38% strike-rate): With a name like that then maybe’s he’s a clone of Nicholls and Henderson – god help the rest of the trainers if he is! Based in Rockbourne, Hants, this yard might not be the most familiar with punters, but they are certainly one of the more up-and-coming. Having learnt his trade with David Elsworth then he’s had a excellent tutor and that seems to be paying off now. Since 2008, when he first took out a licence, the winners were few and far between, but it was really last season that things started to click with 13 winners. They are already on 7 this campaign, so we can fully expect this to be their best-ever season, while it could pay to know that 6 of their 7 winners this term have been with their chasers. Look out for anything Richard Johnson has been booked to ride – his last two mounts for the yard have been winners, plus Paddy Brennan made the trip to Kempton on Sunday for just one ride and that was a winning one onboard Lucy’s Legend. The only downside it that they’ve not got any entered in the coming days, so you’ll just have to keep checking. In terms of their track stats you’ll find the bulk of their runners at Newton Abbot, Wincanton, Fontwell, Plumpton and Stratford – but make a special note of anything they send to Folkestone as they’ve currently got a 44% strike-rate at the course.
Upcoming entries and track stats: No Entries
ROBIN DICKIN (3 winners from his last 9 runners, 33% strike-rate): Got a big mention last week and although they’ve only had one runner since that was a decent 20/1 third (Thomas Crapper). So they are still on just 5 winners for the season (18 is their best ever tally), but it’s clear their horses are in cracking order and with plenty entered at Worcester and Ludlow later this week then they’ll be hoping to bag another winner or two. The under-rated Charlie Poste is their main man in the saddle – he’s been on two of their three recent winners, with Henry Oliver getting the leg-up on the other. Finally, they are also 1-from-1 with their NH Flat runners so far this season.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Ludlow (4 from 48, 8%), Worcester (1 from 22, 5%)
SIR MARK PRESCOTT (6 winners from his last 18 runners, 33% strike-rate): With 43 winners so far this season then the Prescott team look bang-on track to end as normal with around 50-60 winners. 77 in 1999 was their best ever, but since then they’ve consistently fired in between 44 and 67 successes every year. Luke Morris (4) and Chris Catlin (2) have ridden all of their last 17 runners between them recently, while three of their last 4 horses to be sent of favourite have all gone in too. With just 7 juvenile winners from 83 sent to post then a word of caution is advised on that front, but in contrast all their 3 year-olds should be given a second glance as 33 of their 43 winners (77%) this term have come in that age bracket.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Lingfield AW (24 from 135, 18%), Newmarket (2 from 18, 11%), Kempton AW (31 from 180, 17%), Southwell AW (23 from 122, 19%), Wolverhampton AW (37 from 169, 22%), Doncaster (2 from 19, 11%)
GORDON ELLIOTT (5 winners from his last 17 runners, 29% strike-rate): Having plenty of runners both in the UK and Ireland at the moment, so you have to be on your toes to keep a track of all their entries, but with 12 of their last 17 runners finishing fourth or better then the form of their runners is excellent. They had plenty of runners at Cheltenham last week and came out of it with two winners – Bondage and Carlito Brigante, while their Fisher ran well to finish a clear second in what looked a fair contest at Kempton on Sunday. That puts them on 12 UK winners and 16 over in Ireland, but you can expect those figures to rapidly increase over the next few months. If their recent seasons are anything to go by then you can expect around 30 UK jumps winners, and approx 50 in their native land. Interestingly they fire in a lot more hurdles successes than over fences in both countries (almost double), but their wins-to-runs ratio is far better in the UK – they’ve been operating between 21 and 29% in all of the past 5 seasons. In terms of UK track stats make a note of anything they run at Uttoxeter (45%), Southwell (75%), Perth (29%), Newton Abbot (39%) and Musselburgh (46%) , while over in Ireland Tramore and Killarney are the courses they’ve currently got the best records at. Finally, looking ahead they have one entered at this stage at Fakenham this Friday and if it runs that’ll be their first runner at the track.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Fairyhouse (10 from 96, 10%), Navan (12 from 110, 11%), Thurles (5 from 37, 14%), Fakenham (no runners), Down Royal (17 from 107, 16%)
SIR HENRY CECIL (4 winners from their last 15 runners, 27% strike-rate): Well done to Sir Henry with the way he handled Frankel, especially on Saturday when we all witnessed just what a true champion he is – fast-forward a few years when we can start to see if his offspring can live up to the hype! Frankel’s win meant that Cecil has now banked over £2,265,000 in total prize money this term, while not that I suppose he cares he needs just two more winners to better last season’s win tally of 55. With 6 juvenile winners from only 27 sent to post and 28 winners with their 3 year-olds then although they won’t have Frankel to bring in the bacon next term things are looking good for the future. Looking ahead, keep a look out for anything they send to Wolverhampton later this week, especially any older horses as they are currently 2-from-2 with their 4+ year-olds at the track.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Kempton AW (16 from 92, 17%), Wolverhampton AW (10 from 44, 23%), Newbury (18 from 90, 20%), Doncaster (11 from 44, 25%)
PAUL NICHOLLS (7 winners from his last 29 runners, 24% strike-rate): With Nicholls on 27 winners and Henderson just two behind on 25 then this battle looks set to continue through the winter, but as we all know the title is now settled on prize money and with Nicholls already around £50,000 ahead on his main rival then he’ll be hoping to maintain that. That said, we’ll start to see a lot more prize money on offer from now and when Henderson starts to unleash some of his big-guns then I suspect that deficit will be quickly overturned. Back to Nicholls and in terms of numbers and potential targets then 155 winners in the 2008-09 season is their best yet, but I suspect they’d be happy just getting nearer the 138 they managed last season with this year being somewhat of a ‘planning for the future’ season with a lot of his star names now either retired or injured. Looking a bit further ahead then it’s interesting he’s got four entered (Tidal Bay, Silviniaco Conti, Join Together & Kauto Stone) at this stage for the JNWine.com Champion Chase over at Down Royal – a race he’s used plenty of times in the past in this early part of the season and at a track he’s currently got a massive 75% strike-rate at!
Upcoming entries and track stats: Exeter (33, 114, 29%), Worcester (22 from 76, 29%), Fontwell (32 from 90, 36%), Fakenham (5 from 19, 26%), Aintree (20 from 146, 14%), Chepstow (35 from 171, 20%), Stratford (18 from 63, 29%), Wincanton (50 from 182, 27%), Down Royal (6 from 8, 75%)
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