Sat TV Trends: 27th Oct 2012
Racing Returns To Aintree
There’s decent flat action at Newbury and Doncaster, while we see the first jumps meeting of the new season at Aintree…..
Doncaster (C4/ATR)
2.00 – Racing Post iPad App Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-100) CH4 1m4f
9/10 – Had 3 or more runs that season
9/10 – Rated between 82 and 86
8/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/10 – Carried 9-3 or less
7/10 – Drawn in a single-figure stall
7/10 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or less
7/10 – Had won over 1m2f before
6/10 – Unplaced last time out
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Returned a double-figure price
5/10 – Aged 3 years-old
5/10 – Returned between 9/2 and 6/1 in the betting
3/10 – Had run at Doncaster before
2/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
1/10 – Won last time out
0/10 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1
2.30 – Genting Casinos Levy Board Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+) CH4 5f
9/9 – Aged 5 or younger
8/9 – Had won over 5f before
9/9 – Ran 5 or more times that season
7/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/9 – Carried 8-10 or less
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)
6/9 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
5/9 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Winners from stall 1
2/9 – Winning favourites
1/9 – Winning mare/filly
Steps won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the 9 years is 10/1
3.05 – Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) CH4 1m
10/10 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ lengths or further
10/10 – Winners foaled in February or later
9/10 – Won just 1 or 2 races previously
8/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Ran within the last month
8/10 – Came in the top 2 in their latest race
8/10 – Winners foaled in February or March
7/10 – Raced at least twice before
6/10 – Ran at either Newmarket (3) or the Curragh last time
6/10 – Won their previous race
6/10 – Favourites that won
4/10 – Montjeu colt winner
4/10 – Won by an Irish-based stable
3/10 – Won the Epsom Derby the following season
3/10 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/10 – Won the Beresford Stakes (Curragh)
1/10 – Won the 2,000 Guineas the following season
Average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1
Five winners went onto win the following season’s Epsom Derby
Trainer Aidan O’Brien has 6 wins – 1997, 1999, 2001, 2002, 2009 & 2011
Newbury (C4/RUK)
9/10 – Foaled in Feb or later
8/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Never raced at Newbury before
8/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/10 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
7/10 – Had won just 1 or 2 races before
7/10 – Had at least 3 previous career runs
6/10 – Had won over 7f before
6/10 – Foaled in February
6/10 – Winning distance – ¾ lengths or less
5/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
9/10 – Had won at least twice before
9/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
9/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Had at least 4 runs that season
8/10 – Rated 107 or higher
8/10 – Had run at Newbury before (3 won)
7/10 – Drawn in stall 6 or higher
7/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/10 – Placed horses from stall 6
7/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/10 – Winners from stalls 6 or 8
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Won by a filly or mare
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/10 – Won last time out
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
3.15 – Betfair. Don´t Settle For Less Radley Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) CH4 7f
10/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over at least 6f before
9/10 – Winning distance 2 lengths or less
9/10 – Placed favourites
9/10 – Had 6 or less runs that season
8/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/10 – Won from stalls 2 to 6
8/10 – Foaled in Feb or March
7/10 – Had won just once before
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Ran at Ayr last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 4/1
3.45 – Bathwick Tyres Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) CH4 1m2f6y
10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
8/10 – Carried 9-0 or less
8/10 – Won just 3 or 3 times before
8/10 – Ran at either York (4), Ascot (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
8/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
7/10 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
7/10 – Had at least 5 runs that season
4/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
4/10 – Ran at York last time out
2/10 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/10 – Won last time out
1/10 – Filly or mare winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Aintree (C4/RUK)
3.30 – Betfred Monet´s Garden Old Roan Chase (Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4
2m4f
8/8 – Won over 2m4f before
7/8 – Won this on their first run of the season
7/8 – Ran last 6 months+ ago
6/8 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
6/8 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Aintree (3) last time
6/8 – Had raced at Aintree before
5/8 – Won by an Irish bred runner
5/8 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
4/8 – Had won at Aintree previously
4/8 – Officially rating between 165 and 168
3/8 – Trained by Nicky Richards
1/8 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 6/1
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