Well I Declare: 27th October

Well I Declare: 27th October

Plenty of action to take aim at today, with meetings scheduled for Aintree, Chepstow, Doncaster, Newbury, Stratford and Wolverhampton, so here’s a quick reminder of Mal Boyle’s preview of…

…SATURDAY 27/10:

Aintree:

General stats: Here’s an unusual name for you to note, because James Bethell has saddled two of his three runners at Aintree to winning effect in recent years.

Class 3 handicap hurdle over seventeen furlongs scheduled for 1.50: Philip Hobbs has saddled the winner of two of the last three renewals and Philip held two options at the five-day stage.  Six of the seven winners have carried a minimum weight of 11/2, whilst two favourites have prevailed thus far.

Monet’s Garden Chase scheduled for 3.30: Only one favourite has obliged via eight renewals to date.

Novice handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.00: Peter Bowen has saddled three of the last six winners and Peter only had Catch The Fire involved at the five-day stage.  Favourites of one description or another have won four of the last six renewals.

Class 3 two and a half mile novice chase scheduled for 4.35.  Four of the last six market leaders have won during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 6/1.  Paul Nicholls has saddled three winners and the trainer was only represented by Unioniste at the time of writing.

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 5.10: Jonjo O’Neill’s only entry at the five-day stage was Tominator who finished third in the Cesarewitch the other week, a horse which reached three figures on the level.  Jonjo has won the race three times in the last eight years.

Chepstow:

General stats: Keith Goldsworthy matches more obvious trainers at the low-end of the twenties in terms of strike rates at Chepstow.

Persian War hurdle scheduled for 3.30: Paul Nicholls held one option (Wonderful Charm) at the time of writing for a race he has secured three times in the last five years.

Doncaster:

General stats: Sir Henry Cecil had won with three of his last seven runners at the time of writing and boasting a 25% strike rate at Doncaster in the last five years, Henry’s lone entry on the card (Tiger Cliff) would be an interesting runner if offered the green light.

Class 2 five-furlong handicap scheduled for 2.30: Four-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests.  Five renewals have slipped by since a successful favourite was recorded, whilst the last three winners have scored at 25/1-10/1-9/1.

Racing Post trophy scheduled for 3.05: Aidan O’Brien was responsible for six of the fifteen runners at the penultimate stage, having saddled four winners of this Group 1 event during the last eleven years.  Seven of the last ten renewals have fallen the way of favourites.

Conditions event scheduled for 4.45: The last seven contests have slipped by without a winning favourite being registered.  The biggest priced winner during the period was returned at 10/1 (last year).

Newbury:

General stats: Mahmood Al Zaarooni boasts a 30% strike rate via 6/20 figures and in a week in which the trainer excelled last year, more winners could be on the cards at the Berkshire venue.

‘Horris Hill’ juvenile event scheduled for 2.15: Just one favourite has prevailed during the last eleven years.  Richard Hannon has saddled 14/1 and 7/1 winners during the last three years and the trainer was responsible for three of the eighteen five day declarations.

Group 2 St Simon Stakes scheduled for 2.45: Three and four-year-olds have won seven of the last eight renewals between them (juniors lead 4-3).  Ten of the last eleven winners were returned at odds of 8/1 or less, statistics which include three winners.

Class 2 ten furlong handicap scheduled for 3.45: Three-year-olds have won six of the last eight renewals, vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a five timer.  Four of the last eight renewals have been won by favourites of one description or another which is terms of the competitive nature of the race, is a very decent record.

Stratford:

General stats: John Berry has won with four of the nine runners he has saddled at Stratford in recent times.

Class 3 handicap chase scheduled for 3.20: Seven-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests.  Four years have drifted by without a successful market leader being recorded after the first three renewals were secured by favourites.

Class 5 Handicap Chase over seventeen furlongs scheduled for 4.30: The last eleven winners were returned at odds of 9/1 or less (four winning favourites).  Seven-year-olds have won four of the last five contests.

Maiden hurdle event scheduled for 5.05: The last eight contests have been won by four and five-year-olds with the juniors having secured five of those renewals.

Wolverhampton:

General stats: Keith Dalgleish went through a quiet spell as all trainers do recently, though his yard is firing in the winners again and his 19% strike rate (backed up by an LSP reading of forty-four points) make for good reading at Wolverhampton.