Stat of the Day, 1st November
We finished October in much the same vein as the month as a whole: in Clunkerville. That’s how it is sometimes, and we have to ride the bad wves just the same as we surf the good ones. The market was beaten by 50% again (advised at 9/1, returned 6/1) and with that kind of value edge, we can only come out in front. (To the ‘helpful’ people who keep rating this post ‘1’, perhaps you don’t understand value. I hope to be able to show you why its crucial soon, but of course we need winners for that!)
Today, we’re going p-p-plundering over fences, in the…
Charlie Longsdon is a trainer headed for the top. He’s a very good trainer, and an excellent placer of his horses too.
His record at Stratford is exemplary, especially with chasing types. In such races, he’s run 27 horses, with seven of them coming home in front, for a profit of 23.74 points.
His sole chase representative this afternoon is a horse with form figures of PPP (pulled up/pulled up/pulled up), which sound a bit like my own SotD form just now.
And, despite that, I’m hoping Rossmore Lad makes a big improvement this afternoon. Two of those P’s were last season, and the third of them was on debut this term. That run was his first attempt at a steeplechase under rules (he’d previously won a point-to-point in Ireland) and, although he ultimately pulled up, he jumped quite well and just ran out of juice.
He’s dropped in class for this first effort in handicap chase company and is interesting in that context. Prior to his three P’s, all in Class 3 company, he’d won a Class 4 hurdle race. This is more his level, and although we do need him to recover his old lustre, it’s far from impossible in a pretty moderate race.
His trainer is in pretty good form, and if Rossmore Lad is to show a return to winning ways, it will be in a race like this.
Each way at 8/1 BOG, and I’m hoping we can turn the corner now that November is here. Good luck.