Sat TV Trends: 10th Nov 2012
Can First Mohican win the November Handicap?
Did you know the last favourite to win the November Handicap was in 1995?
Doncaster (C4/ATR)
2.00 – Betfred E B F Gillies Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) CH4 1m2f60y
9/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/9 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
7/9 – Had 3 or more runs that season
7/9 – Ran at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
7/9 – Had won at least twice before
6/9 – Unplaced favourites
6/9 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
6/9 – Had won over 1m2f before
6/9 – Unplaced last time out
5/9 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
5/9 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
3/9 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites (1 co)
1/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 12.5/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor
2.35 – Betfred November Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+) CH4 1m4f
9/10 – Won by a horse aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/10 – Favourites unplaced
9/10 – Won between 2 and 4 races previously
9/10 – Raced at least 5 times that season
8/10 – Came from draw 9 or higher
8/10 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
8/10 – Raced at Doncaster before (5 had won)
8/10 – Won over 1m4f previously
7/10 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
7/10 – Won at a double-figure price
6/10 – Placed in their most recent race
4/10 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Won their latest race
2/10 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
0/10 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
The last winning favourite was in 1995
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor
10/10 – Had at least 7 previous runs that season
9/10 – Aged 4 or older
9/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Had won over 6f before
8/10 – Won from stall 11 or lower
7/10 – Rated 99 or higher
7/10 – Had won at least 5 times before in their career
6/10 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
6/10 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/10 – Had won at Doncaster before
4/10 – Won last time out
4/10 – Ran at York (2) or Newmarket (2) last time out
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/10 – Winning favourites
1/10 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor
3.45 – Betfred “The Bonus King” Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) Winner £12,938 CH4 7f
4 previous runnings
4/4 – Carried 8-13 or less
4/4 – Officially rated between 88 and 93
4/4 – Had run at least 6 times before that season
4/4 – Won at least 3 times in their career
4/4 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
3/4 – Returned a double-figure price
3/4 – Unplaced last time out
3/4 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/4 – Won over at least 7f before
2/4 – Had run at Doncaster before
1/4 – Winning mares/fillies
0/4 – Winning favourite
The average winning price in the last 4 years is 17/1
Wincanton (C4/RUK)
2.15 – totepool Rising Stars Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) RUK 2m5f
8 previous runnings
8/8 – Aged 7 or younger
7/8 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles/chase) before
7/8 – Placed favourites
7/8 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Winning favourites
6/8 – Had only run once or twice over fences before
6/8 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
5/8 – Had a recent run
5/8 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
5/8 – Placed last time out
4/8 – Had never won over fenced before
4/4 – Won by a Frech-bred horse
4/8 – Had run at Wincanton before
4/8 – Won by Paul Nicholls
3/8 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/8 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/8 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/8 – Won last time out
3.25 – Badger Ales Trophy Handicap Chase (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-150) CH4 3m1f110y
10/10 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
10/10 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
9/10 – Won at least two chase races previously
8/10 – Raced at the course previously (3 won over fences)
8/10 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
8/10 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
8/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
7/10 – Placed in the top four in their last race
6/10 – Raced already that season
6/10 – Raced at either Sandown (2), Wincanton (2) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
6/10 – Irish-bred horse
5/10 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
5/10 – Priced at double-figures
5/10 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
4/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/10 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
3/10 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 3 of the last 4 years)
3/10 – Won their latest race
2/10 – Ridden by Timmy Murphy
2/10 – Ridden by Andrew Thornton
2/10 – Won by the Pipe stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1
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