Stat of the Day Update: 22/10 to 11/11

SotD Update 12/11

Stat of the Day Update: 22/10/12 to 11/11/12

As you’re all probably aware, I’ve been away for a couple of weeks, hence the lack of weekly SotD updates of late. So, here’s the review of the last three weeks, bringing us up to date. It’s not particularly pleasant reading, but long-term followers of SotD have still plenty of profits tucked away in the bank, even if the strike rate and ROI has deteriorated somewhat recently.

Those of you relatively new to SotD might well be wondering what’s hit you, but we’re extremely confident that we’ll soon be returning to the winners’ enclosures with increasing regularity as the jumps/AW seasons settle down to some form of normality.

As things currently stand, October ended with an overall loss of 4.67pts (just over 15.5% of stakes) and became only our 3rd losing month in 11 since we started. November hasn’t got off to a flyer either, but as we approach SotD’s 1st birthday (Saturday 17th November), we’re still ahead of the game.

After 335 bets, we’re still running at a strike rate of over 31% and the near-125pts profit on the year represents a 37% profit on stakes invested. We still believe that’s good going for a free service, but everyone is of course entitled to their own opinions.

Selections & Results: 22/10/12 to 28/10/12

22/10: 3.20 Pontefract: Breezolini (advised 8/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 7/2
23/10: 3.20 Yarmouth: Clumber Place (advised 9/2 BOG): 2nd at 4/1
24/10: 8.50 Kempton: Good Authority (advised 20/1 E/W BOG) : 4th at 8/1
25/10: 4.15 Ludlow: St Georgina (advised 8/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 14/1
26/10: 5.00 Doncaster: Mistress of Rome (advised 8/1 E/W BOG) : 3rd at 11/2
27/10: 4.15 Chepstow: Robinson Collonges (advised 10/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 16/1
28/10: 1.55 Wincanton: Minella Stars (advised 9/2 BOG) : unplaced at 5/2

22/10 to 28/10:
1 winning bets from 7
P/L: -5.70pts

Selections & Results: 29/10/12 to 04/11/12

29/10: 3.20 Leicester: Barista (advised 7/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 13/2
30/10: 1.20 Catterick: Blue Shoes (advised 9/1 E/W BOG): 3rd at 10/1
31/10: 2.40 Lingfield: Galatian (advised 9/1 E/W BOG) : 4th at 6/1
01/11: 3.10 Stratford: Rossmore Lad (advised 8/1 E/W BOG) : non-runner
02/11: 1.10 Newmarket: Cousin Melchior (advised 5/1 BOG) : 4th at 11/2
03/11: 2.35 Ascot: War Singer (advised 6/1 BOG) : 4th at 8/1
04/11: 4.05 Leopardstown: Giants Quest (advised 25/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 16/1

29/10 to 04/11:
1 winning bets from 6
P/L: -4.50pts

October:
12 winners from 30 = 40.00% S.R
P/L: -4.67pts
POI = -15.57%

Selections & Results: 05/11/12 to 11/11/12

05/11: 2.40 Kempton: Mush Mir (advised 11/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 14/1
06/11: 3.40 Southwell: Place That Face : 3rd at 5/2
07/11: 12.50 Warwick: Aegean Destiny (advised 14/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 8/1
08/11: 3.00 Musselburgh: Everaard (advised 11/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 11/2
09/11: 4.10 Fontwell: Beforeall (advised 11/4 BOG) : 3rd at 9/4
10/11: 2.00 Doncaster: Dorcas Lane (advised 9/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 5/1
11/11: 2.30 Ffos Las: Jackies Solitaire (advised 4/1 BOG) : non-runner

05/11 to 11/11:
0 winning bets from 6
P/L: -6.00pts

November:
0 winners from 9 = 0.00% S.R
P/L: -9.00pts
POI = -100.00%

Overall:
105 winners from 334 = 31.44% S.R
P/L: +112.93pts
POI: +33.81%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +124.93pts from a 335pt outlay = +37.29% POI

P.S. The full SotD story can be be found right here.