Sat TV Trends: 17th Nov 2012

Grands Crus in Action This Weekend

It’s Paddy Power Gold Cup day at Cheltenham, plus there is LIVE C4 action at Lingfield & Wetherby.

Cheltenham (RUK/C4)

1.55 – Henrietta Knight Handicap Chase Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 3m3f110y

10/10 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won a 3m+ race over fences before
9/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before
8/10  – Had won between 3 and 5 times over fences before
7/10 – Carried 10-10 or less in weight
7/10 – Aged 8 or younger
7/10 – Officially rated between 135 and 146
6/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
6/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Had won over fences at Cheltenham before
5/10 – Irish bred
5/10 – Ran within the last month
5/10  – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Sandown (2) last time out
4/10 – French bred
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/10 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/10 – Ridden by AP McCoy
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6.3/1

2.35 – Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f110y

10/10 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
10/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
9/10 – Won by a UK-based stable
8/10 – Won by a horse aged 6 or 7 years-old
7/10 – Won only 2 or 3 times (fences) previously
7/10 – Placed in the top 4 in their latest race
7/10 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
7/10 – Won at Cheltenham previously
6/10 – Came from the first 3 in the betting
6/10 – Favourites placed
6/10 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old
4/10 – Won on their latest outing
5/10 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
4/10 – Trained by the Pipe yard
3/10 – Favourites to win
3/10 – Raced at Carlisle last time out
3/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – Ridden by jockey Timmy Murphy
1/10 – Irish-trained
2 Irish-trained winners since 1960
The Pipe yard have won the race 9 times (1987, 1996, 1998, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2004, 2005 & 2011)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1
The last horse to win aged in double-figures was in 1975
Champion trainer Paul Nicholls has sent out just 6 placed horses (no winners) from his last 21 runners

3.05 – Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 3m1f110y

10/10 – Had between 2 and 5 previous hurdles wins
9/10 – Aged 7 or younger
9/10 – Officially rated 126 to 137
9/10 – Carried 10-11 or less in weight
8/10  – Ran at either Cheltenham (3), Aintree (3) or Chepstow (2) last time out
8/10 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
8/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/10 – Had won over at least 2m6f (hurdles) before
7/10 – Irish bred
7/10 – Ran within the last month
5/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/10 – Had run at Cheltenham before
5/10 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
5/10 – Won their last race
2/10 – Won by the Pipe stable
1/10 – Won by an Irish-trained stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

3.40 – Centaur Novices´ Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 3) (3yo+ 0-125) CH4 2m110y

9/10 – Aged 5 or younger
9/10 – Carried 10-10 or more
9/10 – Never raced at Cheltenham before
9/10 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
8/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/10 – Officially rated between 105 and 109
6/10 – Carried 11-7 or more
6/10 – Won a hurdles race before
6/10 – Won between 1 and 2 times over hurdles before
6/10 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Irish (3) or French (3) bred
6/10 – Won last time out
5/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won by the Pipe stable
3/10 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/10 – Ridden by Timmy Murphy
2/10 –Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
1/10 – Irish-trained winner
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

Lingfield (ATR/C4)

2.15 – Blue Square Bet Churchill Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) CH4 1m2f

10/10 – Had won at least 3 times in their career before
9/10 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won over 1m2f before
9/10 – Officially rated between 100 and 110
9/10 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
8/10 – Winning distance – 1 length or shorter
8/10 – Came from stall 7 or lower
7/10 – Won a Listed race previously
7/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Aged 6 or younger
6/10 – Came from the top three in the betting
5/10 – Unplaced last time out
5/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
4/10 – Won over course and distance (1m2f)
3/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Winners from stall 1
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Clive Brittain
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

2.50 – Blue Square Bet Golden Rose Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) CH4 6f

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 4 or older
5/5 – Failed to win last time out
5/5 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Won over 6 or 7f before
5/5 – Ran within the last month
4/5 – Won at least 5 times before in their career
4/5 – Aged 5 or older
4/5 – Officially rated between 102-105
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
3/5 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
3/5 – First three in the betting
3/5 – Horse from stall 2 being placed
2/5 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/5 – Previous course and distance winner
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 11/2

Wetherby (RUK/C4)

2.55 – Book Online @ wetherbyracing.co.uk Novices´ Hurdle (CLASS 4) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Didn’t win their last race
5/5 – Yet to win a hurdles race
5/5 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
4/5 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
4/5 – Priced at 13/8 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Winning favourites
3/5 – Winning distance – neck
2/5 – Ran at Carlisle last time out
2/5 – Ridden by Brian Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 5 years is 5/2

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