Well I Declare: 21st November

Well I Declare: 21st November

Hexham, Kempton, Lingfield and Warwick come under the watchful eye of Mal Boyle today as he assesses the action scheduled for…

…WEDNESDAY 21/11:

Hexham:

General stats: Decent ratios are hard to come by at Hexham but Hobb’s Dream might be worth a saver if given the green light to contest the scheduled 12.50 event.  Neil Mulholland is a very rare raider and the eight-year-old will be attempting to maintain Neil’s one hundred per cent record at the track by securing his second winner!

Juvenile maiden hurdle due to be contested at 12.40: Six of the seven favourites have finished in the frame via six renewals (three winners), whilst the biggest priced gold medallist to date was returned at 7/1.

Class 5 handicap hurdle event over two and a half miles scheduled for 2.40: Six of the eight winners have carried weights of 11-1 or less.

Kempton:

General stats: Marco Botti has his runners in fine form just now and the trainer boasts over twenty-two points of level stake profits at Kempton to date. 

Lingfield:

General stats: Tobago (3.00) is saddled by Lady Herries (only runner this week at the time of writing) who boasts a 26% strike rate at Lingfield during the last five years.

12.30: Favourites have secured five of the last nine renewals, whilst the biggest priced winner was sent off at just 11/2 during the period.

1.00: Ten winners during the last eleven year have won at odds of 13/2 or less (four successful favourites), whilst the last ten winners have carried a minimum weight of nine stones.

1.30 & 2.00 (two divisions): Three of the five winners to date were returned at 33/1–33/1–25/1 whilst eleven of the fifteen available each way/toteplacepot positions have been secured by horses starting at 7/1 or more.

Warwick: ABANDONED

General stats: Jennie Candlish and Lucy Wadham both boast 2/6 stats whilst showing a slight LSP profit at Warwick thus far.

Nineteen furlong handicap hurdle event scheduled for12.50: Five and six-year-olds have dominated this event during the last eleven years, five-year-olds leading 5-4 during the period with vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a four timer.

Twenty one furlong novice hurdle event due to be contests at 1.50: Henry Daly saddled back-to-back winners of this race in 2006/2007, whereby Lord Grantham (Henry’s only option at the weekend) would be of interest if the five-year-old was offered the green light.  Perhaps of particular interest, given the fact that five-year-olds have secured three of the last four contests.

National Hunt novice hurdle over two miles scheduled for 2.50: Four-year-olds have secured seven of the last eight renewals and a 12/1 chance was the shortest priced vintage representative in the year that four-year-olds ‘missed out’.  Out of interest, an 18/1 four-year-old finished third that year (2010).

Three and a quarter-mile chase scheduled for 3.20: Six favourites have prevailed during the eleven years whilst the same number of gold medallists carried weights of 11-0 or more, as have ten of the last fifteen horses to have secured toteplacepot positions.