Stat of the Day, 23rd November 2012
No play yesterday, as Diplomatic was withdrawn shortly after lunch, so we turn our attention to Friday’s programme and I’m playing it safe weather-wise by staying away from the turf meetings and their small fields, which seem to offer little value today.
We’re off to the Black Country for a spin on Dunstall Park polytrack, where nine runners are set to contest a Class 5 maiden for 3 to 4 yr olds. It’s a modest, but competitive-looking 6 furlong race as we take on the…
2011/12 have been good times for David Simcock in non-handicap events here at Wolverhampton, as he has saddled up 13 winners from 61 (21.3%) and a total of 32 of those runners have made the frame for a place strike rate of 52.5%, which is a decent return in what can often prove tricky types of races to be successful in.
David has actually got four runners at Wolverhampton this afternoon/evening, but three of those are running in handicap contests, leaving us with one: Saunta.
Saunta is making only her third outing today after what can best be described as modest form previously. Last of three on Ffos Las ground that was too soft for her and a more respectable 5th last time out here at Wolverhampton. On that occasion, she looked like she wanted further than the bare minimum trip and the extra furlong today should suit her. She’s a half-sister to several winners at 6 furlongs and beyond and her breeding tends to suggest that today’s trip will be right for her.
She was ridden by Martin Lane on her previous two outings, but the booking of Phillip Makin for today’s event is seen as a positive move. Phillip is in truly magnificent form himself, scoring 5 winners from 12 over the last week.
At 10.35am the best price available was 17/2 BOG with BetVictor and 8/1 BOG generally, so today’s call is a 0.5pts E/W bet on Saunta at 17/2 with BetVictor, but if you prefer to use a different bookmaker, you can always…