Stat of the Day, 27th November 2012

Stat of the Day 27/11/12

Stat of the Day, 27th November 2012

Davy Russell gave Knockfierna a virtually perfect ride yesterday, he held her up well, whilst remaining close to the leaders and when he sent her for home, she never looked like losing, other than getting a bit too close to the last hurdle. We banked 3pts yesterday thanks to using BOG again, as the SP was shorter at 11/4.

The weather is horrific today, with only Lingfield staging racing.

I had initially marked today down as a no bet day, but after looking at the latest reports/predictions from the Met Office and listening to clerk of the course Neil Mackenzie Ross, it would seem that the track is now likely to be spared from much more (if any) rain for the rest of the day. With this in mind, I’ve taken a look at a Class 5 Handicap Chase over the bare minimum 2 miles. The going is of course, heavy and we’re still expecting seven runners to contest the…

1.00 Lingfield

Over the last couple of years, trainer Laura Mongan has saddled up four winners from just seven entrants in Lingfield NH handicap events, an excellent 57% strike rate which has generated an amazing level stakes profit of some 37pts! In fact, only two of the seven have failed to make the frame.

Mrs Mongan has a couple of runners out today: Synthe Davis should put up a decent performance in the 2.30 race ( a decent E/W shout at 13/2), but the current conditions have steered me towards today’s selection: Rosoff.

Rosoff is one of only two C&D winners on show at the track today (Hidden Identity in the 12.30 is the other) and has decent form on heavy ground with 3 previous wins on such ground. The trip, although the bare minimum, won’t prove too sharp for this 10yr old warrior as he has already recorded 4 wins at today’s distance and he has previous form at this track: scoring 2 wins here before today’s contest. One of those victories was, as I alluded to earlier was a course and distance win.

Richard Johnson takes the ride on Rosoff today and his record on board this horse reads 212. I think we’ve another good chance of maintaining our recent run of good form and whilst the earlier 11/4 on offer from Stan James has gone, there’s plenty of 5/2 BOG available for our 1pt win bet, so you can pick your favourite bookie if you just…

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