Stat of the Day, 4th December 2012
So, we finally got the month underway yesterday, but it was another runner-up position for us, I’m afraid. Madame Jasmine gave her usual gutsy determined Plumpton effort, but she found one just too good, as “the Champ” hustled and cajoled the favourite to a victory, beating our mount by less than two lengths. We’re staying on the turf again today, but we’re going to tackle the larger obstacles, as we head off to Northamptonshire for a nine runner, Class 4 Handicap Chase over 2 miles 3.5 furlongs, it’s the…
Grant Cann’s chasers seem to go particularly well at Towcester, which is probably why he sends more chasers here than he does anywhere else with the exception of Exeter which is his local track, less than 20 miles from his Cullompton base. Over the years, Grant has sent a total of 12 chasers on the 350-mile, 6 hour round trip to Towcester, where has been rewarded with figures of 12114PU13215. Five winners from the twelve (41.67%) have produced level stakes profits of 28.63pts at SP, a return of almost 240% profit.
Each Way backers of these twelve horses have also seen eight trips (66.67%) back to the payout counter to collect profits of 36.33pts (151.38% profit).
Grant has, of course, just the one chaser at the track today in the shape of Arctic Watch, our SotD selection.
Today represents just Arctic Watch‘s second start in a chase, but he showed plenty of promise when finishing fourth at Taunton last month and may go better now in handicap company. He’s receiving quite a chunk of weight from the more fancied runners today and this should help our 7 yr old grey on the soft ground, because he’d ideally prefer it a bit quicker, if I’m honest.
He’s already won a couple of hurdle races, including one over today’s trip and another over a further 3 furlongs, so he’s not totally averse to getting his head in front.
Today’s selection is really about weighing up the pros and cons, the trainer has an excellent record here in these events, the horse isn’t overexposed as a chaser, but hasn’t won yet and would prefer firmer ground than he’s going to get. He has however shown the stamina to win over a trip 3 furlongs longer than today and his last chase outing was another furlong further than that.
I’m optimistic that Grant Cann will be wanting to at least cover his petrol money by getting this one into the frame and any potential doubts have been reflected in the market, where our selection is currently available at 9/1 BOG with several firms, whilst Sporting Bet go 10/1 non-BOG. I prefer to use a BOG bookmaker and today I’m using up some of non-runners refund money by staking 0.5pts E/W on Arctic Watch at 9/1 BOG with Paddy Power, but please feel free to choose your own bookmaker by going to…