Well I Declare, 6th December

Well I Declare, 6th December

Action today from Leicester, Market Rasen, Wincanton & Lingfield. here’s a quick reminder of Mal Boyle’s Well I Declare feature for…

…THURSDAY (06/12):

Leicester:

General stats: Tony McCoy’s 43% strike rate (via twenty winners) stands head and shoulders above his rivals whilst on the training front, both Fergal O’Brian and Richard Harper boast 2/2 ratios.

Market Rasen:

General stats: Couple Nicky Henderson’s strike rate in December last year (see stats above) with his 41% ratio here at Market Rasen and you have a recipe for plenty of winners.

Wincanton:

General stats: Tim Vaughan (24% strike rate) and Emma Lavelle (22%) are emerging as understudies to the lead role of Paul Nicholls (27%) at Wincanton via recent results.

Two and three-quarter mile novice handicap hurdle event scheduled for 1.40: All nine winners during the last decade carried a maximum burden of 11-4 during which time, five winners were returned at odds ranging between 16/1 and 50/1.  Four five-year-olds won during the study period, accompanied by just two successful market leaders who represented the vintage.

Class 4 ‘Silver Buck’ handicap chase event due to be contested at 2.10: Last year’s 2/1 market leader could only finish second (beaten three lengths) following six consecutive successful favourites.

Two mile Class 3 handicap hurdle event scheduled for 2.10: Fiver-year-olds secured six of the nine contests during the last decade during which time, seven winners carried a minimum burden of eleven stones.  Three joint favourites have obliged though successful clear favourites were only conspicuous by their absence.

Wincanton’s closing conditional jockey’s event set for 3.40: Favourites have won four of the eight renewals, whilst Venetia Williams has won with her last two runners in the contest.  At the time of writing, Venetia only had Last Shot entered up in the race.

Lingfield (transferred from Wolverhampton):

General stats: The 46% strike rate of favourites in the non handicap sector at Lingfield stands close inspection, whilst the 33% ratio of market leaders in three-year-old handicaps is a perfectly decent return during the last five years.