Stat of the Day, 8th December 2012
Ammunition went well enough yesterday and travelled nicely throughout. However, he did seem to idle a little in the later stages, allowing the front three to get too far away from him and although he was making up ground with every stride, he narrowly failed to grab a place for us. The end result as a 4th place finish at 6/1, half a length away from a payout.
We’re going back to the All-Weather today to look at a course & distance specialist on the polytrack. Two non-runners mean we now have nine horses competing over 7 furlongs in a Class 5 handicap for the…
I’m not generally one for picking favourites for this column, but I think today’s selection has an outstanding chance of improving an already excellent record.
Paphos has won six races to date at either 7f or 1 mile, with five of those victories on Polytrack. Meanwhile, his record here on Lingfield’s A/W surface reads 111519 for a profit of 17.5pts.
More relevant is the fact that all those four victories have been over course & distance, where his record is quite simply 4/4. I’m happy to back him today, despite showing as favourite as I fully expect him to be 5/5 over C&D come lunchtime today.
The withdrawal at 9.00am of a main rival Rosetti has impacted the price, but Paphos is still widely available at 7/2 BOG, so that’s the play for today: a 1pt win bet on Paphos at 7/2 BOG, I’m using William Hill today, but please feel free to…