It’s Friday, and I haven’t got much time to write, but I have been through the Cheltenham card already, so why not kill a couple of birds with one big placepot stone?
Yes, it’s a Friday placepot perm! Feel free to join in, or ignore entirely. And good luck! (Note, though, that I’ve gone ‘off piste’ in a couple of races, so there’s a fair prospect of nil return… that’s the gamble!)
Race 1: Revolves around Broadbackbob, who is obviously well liked, but does have something to find on form with the best of these. Super Duty has the best form, and although this is his first try at Cheltenham, he deserves a shot at the more undulating contours here.
Hildisvini and Forgotten Gold are both capable too, should anything untoward befall Super Duty.
A – 2, 5
B – 1, 3
Race 2: A tricky contest, but I like the look of Sound Stage, who has some decent form here, including when winning this three years ago. He still retains ability and has come down to a handy enough weight on ground which will be optimal.
Lexicon Lad goes on the ground whereas Valley View still has to prove that after a couple of failed attempts. The latter looks better on quicker and is swerved. The ten year olds, Bene Lad and French Ties, are both interesting and the former makes the ticket.
A – 7, 8, 10
Race 3: Seventeen runner handicap hurdle should sort the wheat from the chaff, and I’m taking two from the top and four from the bottom please, Carol.
Specifically, Dark Lover and Tom de Lys will go on A; and Open Day, Falcarragh, Gallox Bridge and Talkin Thomas on B.
A – 4, 7
B – 11, 14, 15, 17
Race 4: Every placepot perm needs at least ‘one brave race’, in my opinion, and this is one for me. Midnight Chase, today’s Stat of the Day, has a very, very solid place chance, and will be my placepot banker accordingly.
If things are shaping up ok in terms of the how it might pay, this is the first opportunity to ‘insure’ the bet by laying for a place. (If you don’t know what that means, don’t worry! I’ll explain another day. 🙂 )
A – 1
Race 5: The cross country race, and it might not even be on. There’s a further inspection at midday. As such, I’m going to gamble on a single entry. Uncle Junior is the entry. He stays, he’s won over the track, and he’s from the Mullins yard. I unkindly suggested he was one of the slowest horses in training last time when he won, and in his defence he’s racing against many others of the slowest horses. (Also, they went an unusually quick pace that day for these races).
Again, it’s a potential insurance position if the race is run. (I’m not sure about Arabella Boy on the ground and Bostons Angel, though very talented at his peak, has to put two decent runs together for the first time since winning the RSA Chase almost two years ago).
A – 1
Race 6: A huge field handicap hurdle to finish with, and the obvious starting point is the easy (and gambled) last time out winner, At Fishers Cross. He readily makes A. On B, I’m taking a few chances, headed up by the returning-from-a-break Simarian. He’s got form at the trip, on the ground and over the course. Big price today too.
Buachaill Alainn is also worth another try on this track at a big price. Saint Roque’s form looks more like a bad scrabble rack than a horse with a chance and that’s why he makes the ticket. Often, these are overlooked. This fellow was closing last time when brought down and has his chance under an unfashionable jockey (which may also put people off).
Cross Kennon and Monetary Fund also join the B party.
A – 8
B – 1, 5, 10, 13, 16
If you just want to perm them all up on a single ticket, it will be 4 x 3 x 6 x 1 x 1 x 6 = 432 lines.
Or just all the A’s would be 12 bets.
Or, if you’re a permutation maniac like me, you’ll run them through the bet builder here. http://geegeez.co.uk/ppot/
And that will produce something like this: [click the image to see it full screen]
And that’s it. Have a great weekend and look out for Stat of the Day and Andy’s TV Trends tomorrow, and Sunday Supplement on… well, sunday!