Sat TV Trends: 15th Dec 2012

A great card at Cheltenham this Saturday

We’ve got all this Saturday’s LIVE C4 action from Cheltenham and Doncaster covered from a trends and stats angle…..

Cheltenham (C4/RUK)

1.55 –Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle Race) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 3m

8/8 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/8 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/8 – Placed favourites
7/8 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
7/8 – Aged 6 or younger
7/8 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
7/8 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Irish bred
6/8 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (2 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
6/8 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
6/8 – Winning favourite (1 co, 1 joint)
6/8 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
5/8 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
5/8 – Won last time out
5/8 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
4/8 – Had won at Cheltenham before
2/8 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/8 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 3.75/1

2.30 – Paul Stewart IronSpine Charity Challenge Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4  2m5f

10/10 – Won between 2-4 races (fences) previously
10/10 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
8/10 – Run at Cheltenham (fences) previously (4 won)
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 in their last race
8/10 – Favourites unplaced
8/10 – Raced within the last month
8/10 – Won by a horse aged either 6 or 7 years-old
8/10 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (none won)
7/10 – Won by a French-bred horse
7/10 – Won over at least 2m5f (fences) previously
7/10 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
7/10 – Officially rated 142 or higher
6/10 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
4/10 – Raced in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/10 – Placed in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup in their last race
4/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/10 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
3/10 – Won their latest race
2/10 – Won by an Irish-trained runner
2/10 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
1/10 – Favourites that won (last winning fav 1996)
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 9.5/1

3.05 – stanjames.com International Hurdle Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m1f

10/10 – Raced within the last month
10/10 – Placed in the top 3 in their latest race
10/10 – Raced over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
8/10 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
8/10 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
8/10 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
8/10 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle later that season (4 placed)
7/10 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/10 –  Favourites placed
7/10 – Won their latest race
7/10 – Priced 5/2 or shorter
6/10 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
6/10 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
5/10 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle last time out
5/10 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
5/10 – Rated 162 or higher
4/10 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/10 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
2/10 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
2/10 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
1/10 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2
The last horse to win this race back-to-back was Relkeel (1997,98,99)

3.40 – Unicoin Homes Relkeel Hurdle Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f110y

9/9 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Aged 7 or younger
8/9 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
8/9 – Raced at Cheltenham before
7/9 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before in the UK
7/9 – Ran at either Ascot (3), Cheltenham (2) or Aintree (2) last time out
6/9 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/9 – Won by a French-bred
6/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 won)
6/9 – Ridden by either AP McCoy (2), Barry Geraghty (2) or Robert Thornton (2)
5/9 – Had won at Cheltenham before
4/9 – Winning favourites
4/9 – Had won a hurdles race over at least 2m4f before
3/9 – Trained by Alan King
2/9 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 years is 7/2

Doncaster (C4/ATR)

2.45 – BetVictor.com Summit Juvenile Hurdle Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (3yo) CH4 2m110y

One previous running
Nicky Henderson has a 24% record with his hurdlers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 23% record with his hurdlers at the track
Tim Vaughan is 2 from 5 (40%) with his runners at the course
Richard Johnson has a 23% record when riding over hurdles here
Jockey Brian Hughes is just 2 from 40 (5%) when riding over hurdles here

3.20 – BetVictor Non Runner Free Bet At Cheltenham Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-150) CH4 3m

3 previous runnings
No winning favourite
3/3 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
2/3 – Carried 10-4 or less
Paul Nicholls has a 32% record with his chasers at the track
Emma Lavelle is 2 from 4 with her chasers here