Stat of the Day, 30th December 2012

Stat of the Day, 30th December 2012

No joy again yesterday, despite not being beaten far, and December’s barren spell continues. It is worth remembering that December was a tough month for SotD last year too, but we’re striving for a couple of winners to close out the year.

We’ll begin our recovery mission in the…

4.00 Taunton

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Let’s talk about Venetia Williams. An excellent trainer having a brilliant season, and with her string in top form currently.

She has a fine track record at Taunton, particularly with her hurdling entries, and even more especially with her handicap hurdlers.

In the last five years, Venetia has run 22 horses in handicap hurdles at the track. Seven have won (32% strike rate) and eleven (50%) have placed. Those winners were worth 35.5 units profit to boot.

This afternoon she runs Kingcora in a Class 3 handicap hurdle, but I’m pretty sure he’s being readied for a tilt at the Cheltenham  Festival and I don’t expect today to be his day.

On the other hand, if Jupiter Rex is ever going to have a day, it is likely to be this afternoon. He’s a plodder and was fifth over two and a half miles last tme. The time before he was also fifth, only beaten eleven lengths, over nearer three miles, and this extended three mile trip might see him in his best light.

I’m hoping he’s going to improve in what looks a weak race, despite a couple with 1’s in their form string at the top of the handicap, and I think that bet365’s 16/1 BOG with four places is worth taking. Half a point each way.

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