Stat of the Day, 2nd January 2013
Well, our 10/1 E/W shot Theatrical Star almost got 2013 off to a flying start as he attempted to make all for us at Exeter yesterday. He attracted quite a bit of market attention, but the presence of a short-priced favourite at least ensured an SP of 6/1.
He gave us a cracking run for our money, but was unfortunately overhauled in the last 100 yards or so, eventually going down by just over a length. Still, it’s a half point profit to start the year as we now turn back to the All-Weather to look at one becoming somewhat of a Course & Distance specialist in today’s…
No trainer stats today, but back to one of our occasional “horses for courses” type of selection and today we’re looking at Balti’s Sister.
Balti’s Sister had a largely unsuccessful thirteen race career for Michael Easterby, recording just one victory (at 11/4) from 12 turf outings and winning her only A/W race at 9/2 here at Wolverhampton some 18 months ago.
She moved to Terry Clement’s yard last summer and Terry has managed to bring the best out of this 4 yr old bay filly. She was placed second on her debut for the yard in a 6f Lingfield Handicap on good ground back in August and her overall record for the Clement yard now reads as an impressive 221611, with the 6th place finish coming on totally unsuitable heavy ground at Yarmouth over an equally unsuitable 1 mile trip, back at the end of October.
Since she moved to Terry Clement, her three wins from six have produced 8.38pts profit at SP and the 5 places from 6 have rewarded E/W backers to the tune of 14.72pts, so she’s clearly a beast in form.
Her overall A/W record now reads 12111 with all five races taking place here at Wolverhampton and producing 14.9pts profit for win backers and 20.85pts for E/W followers. All bar one of those five races have been at today’s favoured 7f trip, where her record is 2111 (+10.38pts to win and +15.22pts @ E/W).
Balti’s Sister won back to back races over C&D within 16 days in November/December 2012 and despite incurring a 6lb rise, she looks to have strong claims of landing a hat trick in this contest today. Incidentally the rise in weights is compensated by an apprentice’s claim of 7lbs from today’s jockey Georgean Buckell.
So, we have a quadruple course / triple C&D winner aiming for a hat-trick today running under her preferred conditions. I don’t expect her to have all her own way today, but provided the jockey doesn’t hold her up for too long and doesn’t get into any trouble, I’d expect her to be on the premises when the prizes are given out.
A quick check on the early prices shows that both Boylesports and bet365 are offering a fairly attractive 4/1 BOG, whilst there’s 6.4 currently available with betfair. There’s not a massive amount of liquidity on the exchanges at present, so the official SotD play today is a 1pt win bet on Balti’s Sister at 4/1 BOG. I’ve got yesterday’s winnings in my bet365 account, so I’ll use some of that, but please feel free to…